Rand Mining Limited (RND) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$131M
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −4.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 79% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$2.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.9838 – A$2.87 · fair‑value band A$2.94 – A$4.91 · the A$2.20 price screens below the A$3.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Rand Mining Limited (RND) currently trades at A$2.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.93, implying the stock looks roughly 78.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Rand Mining Limited generated revenue of A$43.9M at a net margin of 34.8%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$3.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.94 (bear case) to A$4.91 (bull case); at A$2.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 79%, RND screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$9.94) versus Asset-Based (A$1.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rand Mining Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for silver and gold deposits. The company holds a 12.25% interest in the East Kundana Joint Venture located to the west northwest of Kalgoorlie and north east of Coolgardie. It also has a 50% interest in the Seven Mile Hill project.
Full company description
Rand Mining Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for silver and gold deposits. The company holds a 12.25% interest in the East Kundana Joint Venture located to the west northwest of Kalgoorlie and north east of Coolgardie. It also has a 50% interest in the Seven Mile Hill project. The company was formerly known as Rand Mining N.L. Rand Mining Limited was incorporated in 1966 and is based in South Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rand Mining Limited reported revenue of A$43.3M in FY2025 versus A$43.2M in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$13.1M in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch RND: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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