Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Richards Packaging Income Fund $17.76, price $21.25, upside -16.4%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.39 – $47.37 · fair‑value band $13.32 – $22.20 · the $21.25 price screens above the $17.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Richards Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes packaging containers and healthcare supplies and products in North America. It operates through two segments: Packaging and Healthcare. It offers glass and plastic containers and closures.
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Richards Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes packaging containers and healthcare supplies and products in North America. It operates through two segments: Packaging and Healthcare. It offers glass and plastic containers and closures. The Packaging segment distributes glass and plastic packaging products for food and beverage, as well as cosmetics industries. The Healthcare segment provides medical devices, consumables, and equipment for aesthetics, pharmacy, vision care, and other healthcare markets. Richards Group Inc. was formerly known as Richards Packaging Income Fund and changed its name to Richards Group Inc. in December 2025. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
Stock analysis
Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF) currently trades at $21.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.76, 16.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $24.39 per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the $21.25 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $5.36, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $13.32 (bear) to $22.20 (bull), the price of $21.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Richards Packaging Income Fund reported revenue of C$430M in FY2025 versus C$451M in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$16.4M in FY2025, compounding +67.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $243M · P/E ratio 19.9 · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) $1.07 · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin 3.8% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −16%, RPKIF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $13.32Fair Value $17.76Bull $22.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 8%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.3% a year for the price and +1.1% for the forecasts.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 262 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+17.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.3% · Above median
Return on assets7.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)9.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Richards Packaging Income Fund Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RPKIF
Frequently asked questions
Is Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.76 versus a price of $21.25, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RPKIF?
Our model-based fair value for Richards Packaging Income Fund is $17.76 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.25.
What is the quality score of RPKIF?
Richards Packaging Income Fund has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.76 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $13.32, optimistic scenario $22.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Richards Packaging Income Fund stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.76, about −16% upside versus a price of $21.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $13.32, optimistic scenario $22.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
Richards Packaging Income Fund reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$435M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Richards Packaging Income Fund pay a dividend?
Richards Packaging Income Fund currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Richards Packaging Income Fund would have to grow free cash flow by +2.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.5 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RPKIF use?
Our models discount Richards Packaging Income Fund at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Richards Packaging Income Fund that is +2.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Richards Packaging Income Fund grew -2.5 % a year. The price currently implies +2.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Richards Packaging Income Fund (+2.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.55 %: that much free cash flow Richards Packaging Income Fund produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Richards Packaging Income Fund it is $17.76 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $21.25. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Richards Packaging Income Fund stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, RPKIF trades above its calculated fair value: price $21.25, fair value $17.76, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RPKIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.76). For Richards Packaging Income Fund the two are $3.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Richards Packaging Income Fund worth?
The market values Richards Packaging Income Fund at about $243M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $21.25; our models calculate a fair value of $17.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RPKIF?
Our models span a range for Richards Packaging Income Fund: cautious scenario $13.32, base $17.76, optimistic $22.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $21.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of RPKIF?
Richards Packaging Income Fund trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 8.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Richards Packaging Income Fund (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RPKIF from its 52-week high?
Richards Packaging Income Fund trades at $21.25, about 10% below its 52-week high of $23.50 and 11% above the low of $19.12 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Richards Packaging Income Fund?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Richards Packaging Income Fund stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $21.25, calculated fair value $17.76 (−16%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RPKIF calculated?
We run Richards Packaging Income Fund through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Richards Packaging Income Fund itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $21.25. Our model-based fair value is $17.76, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Richards Packaging Income Fund right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Richards Packaging Income Fund
How large is the market capitalisation of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
The market capitalisation of Richards Packaging Income Fund is $243M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Richards Packaging Income Fund is 0.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
Earnings per share at Richards Packaging Income Fund are $1.07 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
The dividend yield of Richards Packaging Income Fund is 6.2% (payout 123%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
The net margin of Richards Packaging Income Fund is 3.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Richards Packaging Income Fund is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Richards Packaging Income Fund is 15.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
The operating margin of Richards Packaging Income Fund is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
Revenue at Richards Packaging Income Fund is growing +5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF)?
Earnings per share at Richards Packaging Income Fund are growing +44.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Richards Packaging Income Fund (RPKIF) carry?
The net debt of Richards Packaging Income Fund is C$97.7M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 27, 2026