Refinaria de Petróleos de Manguinhos S.A (RPMG3) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · BR · Market cap R$79.2M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from R$19.22 to R$1.25 (−93.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −10.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$1.15 – R$3.06 · fair‑value band R$0.9018 – R$1.60 · the R$1.15 price screens below the R$1.25 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Refinaria de Petróleos de Manguinhos S.A (RPMG3) currently trades at R$1.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$1.25, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Refinaria de Petróleos de Manguinhos S.A generated revenue of R$8.6B at a net margin of -19.2%. Revenue grew 77.0% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of R$93.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$0.9018 (bear case) to R$1.60 (bull case); at R$1.15, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at 9%, RPMG3 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Refinaria de Petróleos de Manguinhos S.A. refines petroleum products in Brazil. The company also offers gasoline A, Diesel A S10, and Marine Diesel. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Refinaria de Petróleos de Manguinhos S.A. is a subsidiary of XOROQUE Participações S.A.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Refinaria de Petróleos de Manguinhos S.A reported revenue of R$7.0B in FY2024 versus R$1.5B in FY2020, a compound +47.0%/yr. Reported net income was −R$1.0B in FY2024.
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10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Neste Oyj NESTE | €28.45 | €6.38 | -78% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 55.30 TWD | 25.02 TWD | -55% |
| ENEOS Holdings JXHLY | $15.55 | $17.72 | +14% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹144.38 | ₹417.35 | +189% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $72.83 | $35.64 | -51% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 93,700 KRW | 59,034 KRW | -37% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.