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Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Reliance Power Limited ₹71.10, price ₹19.41, upside +266.3%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · IN · ISIN INE614G01033

RP Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Reliance Power Limited

RPOWER · NSE

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value ₹71.10 · Strongly undervalued (+266.3%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range ₹32.87 to ₹120.09

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹71.27 ₹9.15 Fair Value ₹71.10 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹9.15 – ₹71.27 · fair‑value band ₹32.87 – ₹120.09 · the ₹19.41 price screens below the ₹71.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Reliance Power Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of power projects in India and internationally. Its portfolio of power projects is based on coal, gas, hydro, wind, and solar energy.

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Reliance Power Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of power projects in India and internationally. Its portfolio of power projects is based on coal, gas, hydro, wind, and solar energy. The company owns and operates Sasan ultra mega power project, a coal-based power plant with a capacity of 3,960 megawatts; Rosa coal-based power project, with a capacity of 1,200; Butibori power project, a coal-based thermal plant with a capacity of 600 megawatts; Dhursar solar photovoltaic power project with a capacity of 40 megawatts; a concentrated solar power project with a capacity of 100 megawatts; and Ultra Mega power project, a coal-based power plant with a capacity of 3,960 megawatts. It also engages in the development of coal mines in India, including The Moher and Moher Amlohri Extension coal block, as well as the operation of a coal mine concessions in Indonesia. Reliance Power Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER) currently trades at ₹19.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹71.10, implying the stock looks roughly 72.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹79.60 per share, and 12 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹19.41 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹8.39, and 2 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹32.87 (bear) to ₹120.09 (bull), the price of ₹19.41 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Reliance Power Limited reported revenue of ₹76.2B in FY2026 versus ₹75.0B in FY2022, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was −₹3.4B in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹110B (≈ $1.1B) · P/S ratio 1.44 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.8200 · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity −2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin 19.7% · Revenue (TTM) ₹76.2B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 266%, RPOWER screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹32.87 Fair Value ₹71.10 Bull ₹120.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹65.93 ₹125.81 ₹264.10 75
Growth DCF ₹62.83 ₹131.76 ₹228.23 75
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹37.33 ₹79.60 ₹133.90 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹65.93 ₹125.81 ₹264.10 75
Owner Earnings ₹36.24 ₹87.24 ₹174.61 71
5Y Revenue Exit ₹30.23 ₹63.73 ₹109.12 70
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹37.33 ₹79.60 ₹133.90 72
10Y Revenue Exit ₹41.25 ₹77.86 ₹135.24 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹46.73 ₹88.99 ₹155.75 66
Earnings-Based
EPV ₹4.85 ₹8.39 ₹11.34 71
Multiples
EV/EBIT ₹20.62 ₹34.53 ₹48.44 64
EV/EBITDA ₹25.02 ₹40.40 ₹55.78 66
EV/Revenue ₹11.13 ₹24.95 ₹38.77 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹19.39 ₹25.98 ₹38.78 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹62.83 ₹131.76 ₹228.23 75
Rev-Margin DCF ₹30.23 ₹63.38 ₹109.84 69
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ₹4.85 ₹8.39 ₹11.34 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 48
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.0% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
51.0% (2020) → 20.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.9% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 72 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 2.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −4.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −4.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.62× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)69 · sector 71
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $254.02 $92.53 −64%
Vistra Corp VST $140.83 $20.60 −85%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹202.75 ₹75.57 −63%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥4.19 ¥2.18 −48%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 59.25 THB 65.18 THB +10%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $96.93 $74.44 −23%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,339 ₹335.95 −75%
Huaneng Power International, Inc 600011 ¥6.74 ¥9.10 +35%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.36 ¥3.65 −32%
China Resources Power Holdings 0836 HK$18.99 HK$36.45 +92%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Reliance Power Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RPOWER

Frequently asked questions

Is Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹71.10 versus a price of ₹19.41, about +266% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RPOWER?
Our model-based fair value for Reliance Power Limited is ₹71.10 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹19.41.
What is the quality score of RPOWER?
Reliance Power Limited has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹71.10 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹32.87, optimistic scenario ₹120.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Reliance Power Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹71.10, about +266% upside versus a price of ₹19.41 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹32.87, optimistic scenario ₹120.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
Reliance Power Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹76.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Reliance Power Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +9.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RPOWER use?
Our models discount Reliance Power Limited at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.85, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Reliance Power Limited that is +9.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Reliance Power Limited grew -0.8 % a year. The price currently implies +9.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Reliance Power Limited (+9.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.99 %: that much free cash flow Reliance Power Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Reliance Power Limited it is ₹71.10 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹19.41. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Reliance Power Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, RPOWER trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹19.41, fair value ₹71.10, a gap of about +266% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RPOWER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹19.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹71.10). For Reliance Power Limited the two are ₹51.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Reliance Power Limited worth?
The market values Reliance Power Limited at about ₹110B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹19.41; our models calculate a fair value of ₹71.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RPOWER?
Our models span a range for Reliance Power Limited: cautious scenario ₹32.87, base ₹71.10, optimistic ₹120.09 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹19.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Reliance Power Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −2.1%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RPOWER from its 52-week high?
Reliance Power Limited trades at ₹19.41, about 60% below its 52-week high of ₹48.58 and at the low of ₹19.41 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹71.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Reliance Power Limited?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Constellation Energy Corporation, Vistra Corp, Adani Power Limited, CGN Power Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Reliance Power Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹19.41, calculated fair value ₹71.10 (+266%), Quality Score 43/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RPOWER calculated?
We run Reliance Power Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹71.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Reliance Power Limited currently trades 73 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹19.41. Our model-based fair value is ₹71.10, about +266% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Reliance Power Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹32.87). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (₹32.87 to ₹120.09). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Reliance Power Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
The market capitalisation of Reliance Power Limited is ₹110B (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Reliance Power Limited is 1.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
Earnings per share at Reliance Power Limited are ₹−0.8200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
The net margin of Reliance Power Limited is −4.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Reliance Power Limited is −2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Reliance Power Limited is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
The operating margin of Reliance Power Limited is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
Revenue at Reliance Power Limited is growing −4.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER)?
Earnings per share at Reliance Power Limited are growing −38.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Reliance Power Limited (RPOWER) carry?
The net debt of Reliance Power Limited is ₹136B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 8.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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