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Red River Bancshares, Inc (RRBI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $585M

RR Red River Bancshares, Inc logo Red River Bancshares, Inc RRBI · US
Price$100.11
Fair Value$84.43
Upside-15.7%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 35.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.76% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range $63.32 – $105.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +4.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$102.00 $43.13 Fair Value $84.43 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $43.13 – $102.00 · fair‑value band $63.32 – $105.53 · the $100.11 price screens above the $84.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Red River Bancshares, Inc (RRBI) currently trades at $100.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $84.43, implying the stock looks roughly 15.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Red River Bancshares, Inc generated revenue of $126M at a net margin of 35.2%. Revenue grew 9.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $212M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $63.32 (bear case) to $105.53 (bull case); at $100.11, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -16%, RRBI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $47.92 $53.60 $81.67 76
P/E Multiple $63.32 $84.43 $105.53 63
P/B Multiple $58.23 $77.64 $97.05 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $63.32 $84.43 $105.53 63
P/B Multiple $58.23 $77.64 $97.05 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $27.73 $37.15 $55.45 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $47.92 $53.60 $81.67 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($77.64) versus Asset-Based ($37.15). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $126M
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.4%
Net margin 35.2%
Return on equity 12.6%
Free cash flow $42.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.3
More key figures
Operating margin 47.7%
EPS (TTM) $6.68
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.1%
Net cash $212M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Red River Bancshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Red River Bank that provides banking products and services to commercial and retail customers in the United States. The company offers various deposit products, including checking, saving, money market accounts, and time deposits.

Full company description

Red River Bancshares, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Red River Bank that provides banking products and services to commercial and retail customers in the United States. The company offers various deposit products, including checking, saving, money market accounts, and time deposits. It provides commercial real estate loans; one-to-four family mortgage loans and home equity lines of credit; construction and development loans; commercial and industrial loans; small business administration paycheck protection program loans; tax-exempt loans; consumer loans to individuals for personal, family, and household purposes, including secured and unsecured installment and term loans; home mortgage loans; and lines of credit and standby letters of credit. In addition, the company offers treasury management, private banking, and brokerage; investment advisory, financial planning, and a suite of retirement plans; debit and credit cards, direct deposits, cashier's checks, and wire transfer services; online banking services, including access to account balances, online transfers, online bill payment, and electronic delivery of customer statements; and banking services in person, through ATMs, drive-through facilities, night deposits, telephone, mail, mobile banking, and remote deposits. Red River Bancshares, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Alexandria, Louisiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Red River Bancshares, Inc reported revenue of $170M in FY2025 versus $101M in FY2021, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was $42.8M in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$170M
Latest YoY
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+10.7%
Revenue +13.9%/yr
FY21 $101M
FY22 $112M
FY23 $108M
FY24 $157M
FY25 $170M
Net income +6.7%/yr
FY21 $33.0M
FY22 $36.9M
FY23 $34.9M
FY24 $34.2M
FY25 $42.8M

RRBI screens 16% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Red River Bancshares, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RRBI

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 35% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 48% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 39
FUTURE 47 · sector 44
PAST 50 · sector 41
HEALTH 98 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Red River Bancshares, Inc (RRBI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $84.43 versus a price of $100.11, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RRBI?
Our model-based fair value for Red River Bancshares, Inc is $84.43 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $100.11.
What is the quality score of RRBI?
Red River Bancshares, Inc has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Red River Bancshares, Inc (RRBI)?
Red River Bancshares, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $126M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RRBI?
The net profit margin of Red River Bancshares, Inc is about 35.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Red River Bancshares, Inc pay a dividend?
Red River Bancshares, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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