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Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc stock $2.84, price $2.50, upside +13.6%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Industrials US

RT Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc

RRTS · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs 12% less than our calculation considers fair.

Generates free cash flow
Fair value $2.84 · Fairly valued
Quality 42/100
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Revenue last quarter 27% below a year ago.
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.7 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -18.5% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 8/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$6.95 $0.2500 Fair Value $2.84 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2500 – $6.95 · fair‑value band $2.13 – $3.55 · the $2.50 price screens below the $2.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Roadrunner Transportation Systems, Inc. provides asset-right transportation and asset-light logistics services.

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It operates through four segments: Ascent Transportation Management (Ascent TM), Ascent On-Demand (Ascent OD), Less-than-Truckload (LTL), and Truckload (TL). The company offers domestic freight management solutions, including asset-backed truckload brokerage, specialized/heavy haul, LTL shipment execution, LTL carrier rate negotiations, access to its transportation management system, and freight audit/payment.

It also provides air and ground expedite services for the transportation of automotive and industrial parts, paper products, and steel, as well as frozen and refrigerated foods, including dairy, poultry and meat, and consumers products, such as foods and beverages.

In addition, the company arranges the pickup and delivery of TL freight through its 30 TL service centers in the United States; offers dry van truckload, temperature-controlled truckload, and logistics and warehouse services; and provides pickup, consolidation, linehaul, deconsolidation, and delivery of LTL shipments in the United States and Canada through 27 LTL service centers and approximately 140 third-party delivery agents.

Further, the company provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, regulatory compliance, project and order management, and retail consolidation services.

It operates through a network of independent brokerage agents, direct sales force, company brokers, and commissioned sales representatives. The company offers its services under the Roadrunner and Ascent Global Logistics brands.

Roadrunner Transportation Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Downers Grove, Illinois.

Stock analysis

Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS) currently trades at $2.50, while our estimate is $2.84, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 12.0%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $2.13 (bear) to $3.55 (bull), the price of $2.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc reported revenue of $406M in FY2025 versus $419M in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$23.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $97.7M Micro · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) $−4.93 · Net margin −5.7% · Return on equity −18,544% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −12.3% · Revenue growth (YoY) −27.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 14%, RRTS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $2.13 Fair Value $2.84 Bull $3.55
Price $2.50 · Upside +13.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 39
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 27
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 22
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 75
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 23
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 38
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 68
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −14.7% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17.0% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+74.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +69.9% a year for the price.

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Compare Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Trucking · 46 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside +13.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −10.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −18.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −12.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −27.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Trucking median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 66.7× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)51 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 35

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX $62.11 $98.32 +58% vs RRTS
TFI International Inc TFII $94.33 $112.09 +19% vs RRTS
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL $168.02 $174.14 +4% vs RRTS
Mullen Group MTL C$29.57 C$19.85 −33% vs RRTS
Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN $27.75 $16.48 −41% vs RRTS
Schneider National, Inc SNDR $29.05 $16.20 −44% vs RRTS
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 ¥4.11 ¥1.96 −52% vs RRTS
ArcBest Corporation ARCB $133.85 $52.83 −61% vs RRTS
XPO, Inc XPO $188.21 $71.58 −62% vs RRTS
Saia, Inc SAIA $339.48 $126.27 −63% vs RRTS

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Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RRTS

Frequently asked questions

Is Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $2.84 versus a price of $2.50, about +14% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RRTS?
Our estimate for Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc is $2.84 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.50.
What is the quality score of RRTS?
Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $2.84 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $2.13, optimistic scenario $3.55. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $2.84, about +14% upside versus a price of $2.50 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $2.13, optimistic scenario $3.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +74.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.7 % per year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RRTS use?
Our models discount Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc at 15.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 3.92, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc that is +74.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (15.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc grew -1.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +74.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (+74.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.50 %: that much free cash flow Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc it is $2.84 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $2.50.
Is Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, RRTS trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.50, fair value $2.84, a gap of about +14% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RRTS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.84). For Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc the two are $0.3400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc worth?
The market values Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc at about $97.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $2.50; our models calculate a fair value of $2.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RRTS?
Our models span a range for Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc: cautious scenario $2.13, base $2.84, optimistic $3.55 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $2.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RRTS from its 52-week high?
Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc trades at $2.50, about 53% below its 52-week high of $5.29 and 42% above the low of $1.76 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc, XPO, Inc, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings, Saia, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $2.50, calculated fair value $2.84 (+14%), Quality Score 42/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc currently trades 12% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $2.50. Our estimate is $2.84, about +14% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
The market capitalisation of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc is $97.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc is 0.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
Earnings per share at Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc are $−4.93. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
The net margin of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc is −5.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc is −18,544% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc is −13.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
The operating margin of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc is −12.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS)?
Revenue at Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc is growing −27.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc (RRTS) carry?
The net debt of Roadrunner Transportation Systems Inc is $138M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 94.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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