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George Risk Industries, Inc (RSKIA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $92.3M

GR George Risk Industries, Inc logo George Risk Industries, Inc RSKIA · US
Price$19.05
Fair Value$14.34
Upside-24.7%
Quality70/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 38.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.30% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 71/100
Evidence: High Range $10.27 – $19.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +1.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • A fairly wide model range ($10.27 to $19.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$21.10 $5.13 Fair Value $14.34 May 2017 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.13 – $21.10 · fair‑value band $10.27 – $19.82 · the $19.05 price screens above the $14.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

George Risk Industries, Inc (RSKIA) currently trades at $19.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.34, implying the stock looks roughly 24.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, George Risk Industries, Inc generated revenue of $24.1M at a net margin of 38.2%. Revenue grew 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $6.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.27 (bear case) to $19.82 (bull case); at $19.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -25%, RSKIA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $7.75 $9.58 $11.64 80
Residual Income $9.81 $10.94 $15.37 76
Rev-Margin DCF $8.34 $12.01 $16.01 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.70 $9.75 $12.18 38
Owner Earnings $13.09 $16.89 $21.38 31
5Y Revenue Exit $8.34 $11.94 $16.38 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.64 $16.07 $22.20 41
5Y P/E Exit $14.73 $23.42 $32.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit $7.80 $10.64 $14.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.21 $13.04 $17.84 37
10Y P/E Exit $11.41 $17.32 $24.15 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.92 $25.31 $32.92 54
PEG = 1.0 $4.72 $6.74 $8.76 46
EPV $7.54 $8.29 $8.90 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.88 $29.18 $36.47 63
P/S Multiple $8.64 $11.52 $14.41 58
P/B Multiple $18.60 $24.80 $31.00 55
EV/EBIT $18.55 $24.29 $30.03 53
EV/EBITDA $14.73 $19.21 $23.68 54
EV/Revenue $9.39 $12.85 $16.31 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.82 $7.79 $11.63 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.75 $9.58 $11.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.34 $12.01 $16.01 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.81 $10.94 $15.37 76
ROIC Compounder $7.54 $8.29 $8.90 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $17.03 $24.34 $31.64 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($24.34) versus Asset-Based ($7.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $24.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.2%
Net margin 38.2%
Return on equity 15.8%
Free cash flow $3.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.1
More key figures
Operating margin 23.3%
EPS (TTM) $1.87
Dividend yield 5.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +54.5%
Net cash $6.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

George Risk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells various electronic components worldwide. The company offers computer keyboards, proximity switches, security alarm components and systems, pool access alarms, EZ Duct wire covers, water sensors, electronic switching devices, security switches, and wire and cable installation tools, as well as …

Full company description

George Risk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells various electronic components worldwide. The company offers computer keyboards, proximity switches, security alarm components and systems, pool access alarms, EZ Duct wire covers, water sensors, electronic switching devices, security switches, and wire and cable installation tools, as well as door and window contact switches, environmental products, liquid detection sensors, and raceway wire covers, wire and cable installation tools, and various other sensors and devices. Its products are used for residential, commercial, industrial, and government installations. The company serves security alarm distributors, alarm installers, original equipment manufacturers, and distributors of off-the-shelf keyboards. George Risk Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1961 and is based in Kimball, Nebraska.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

George Risk Industries, Inc reported revenue of $22.5M in FY2025 versus $18.5M in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was $7.1M in FY2025, compounding −9.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$22.5M
Latest YoY
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.1%
Revenue +5.1%/yr
FY21 $18.5M
FY22 $20.7M
FY23 $20.0M
FY24 $21.8M
FY25 $22.5M
Net income −9.9%/yr
FY21 $10.8M
FY22 $3.6M
FY23 $4.8M
FY24 $7.6M
FY25 $7.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.6 pp

of which total revenue +7.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.3 pp

EBIT margin −1.2 pp
Tax rate +1.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

RSKIA screens 25% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "George Risk Industries, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RSKIA

Peer Group

Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.62× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 23.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 76 · sector 39
PAST 63 · sector 20
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB kr 348.40 kr 269.97 -23%
Verisure plc VSURE €10.26 €12.40 +21%
Allegion plc ALLE $137.24 $127.80 -7%
Securitas AB SECUB kr 162.10 kr 186.34 +15%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥16.57 ¥23.58 +42%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $169.00 $118.51 -30%
ADT Inc ADT $7.06 $17.10 +142%
The Brink's Company BCO $104.24 $101.84 -2%
Brady Corporation BRC $90.16 $73.43 -19%
The GEO Group GEO $29.46 $32.36 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is George Risk Industries, Inc (RSKIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.34 versus a price of $19.05, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RSKIA?
Our model-based fair value for George Risk Industries, Inc is $14.34 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $19.05.
What is the quality score of RSKIA?
George Risk Industries, Inc has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of George Risk Industries, Inc (RSKIA)?
George Risk Industries, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $24.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RSKIA?
The net profit margin of George Risk Industries, Inc is about 38.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does George Risk Industries, Inc pay a dividend?
George Risk Industries, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.30% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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