ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of ArborGen Holdings Limited $0.03, price $0.03, upside +0.0%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0200 – $0.2480 · fair‑value band $0.0270 – $0.0330 · the $0.0300 price screens below the $0.0300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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ArborGen Holdings Limited engages in the forestry genetics business. The company provides its tree seedlings under the ArborGen brand name to forestry industry primarily in the United States and Brazil. ArborGen Holdings Limited was formerly known as Rubicon Limited and changed its name to ArborGen Holdings Limited in September 2019.
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ArborGen Holdings Limited engages in the forestry genetics business. The company provides its tree seedlings under the ArborGen brand name to forestry industry primarily in the United States and Brazil. ArborGen Holdings Limited was formerly known as Rubicon Limited and changed its name to ArborGen Holdings Limited in September 2019. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand.
Stock analysis
ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF) currently trades at $0.0300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0300, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0270 (bear) to $0.0330 (bull), the price of $0.0300 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
ArborGen Holdings Limited reported revenue of 111M NZD in FY2025 versus 61.3M NZD in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was −37.7M NZD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $26.1M · P/S ratio 0.38 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0100 · Net margin −34.0% · Return on equity −6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.5% · Operating margin 5.7% · Revenue (TTM) 68.2M NZD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 0%, RUBNF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0270Fair Value $0.0300Bull $0.0330
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.4/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.5% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.6% (2020) → −52.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare ArborGen Holdings Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−11% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
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Is ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0300 versus a price of $0.0300, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RUBNF?
Our model-based fair value for ArborGen Holdings Limited is $0.0300 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0300.
What is the quality score of RUBNF?
ArborGen Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0300 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0270, optimistic scenario $0.0330. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ArborGen Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0300, about +0% upside versus a price of $0.0300 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0270, optimistic scenario $0.0330. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
ArborGen Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 68.2M NZD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ArborGen Holdings Limited it is $0.0300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.0300. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ArborGen Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, RUBNF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0300, fair value $0.0300, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RUBNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0300). For ArborGen Holdings Limited the two are $0.0000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ArborGen Holdings Limited worth?
The market values ArborGen Holdings Limited at about $26.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.0300; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RUBNF?
Our models span a range for ArborGen Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.0270, base $0.0300, optimistic $0.0330 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.0300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for ArborGen Holdings Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −6.2%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RUBNF from its 52-week high?
ArborGen Holdings Limited trades at $0.0300, about 57% below its 52-week high of $0.0700 and 50% above the low of $0.0200 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ArborGen Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Simpson Manufacturing Co, UFP Industries, Inc, Boise Cascade Company, Century Plyboards (India) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ArborGen Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.0300, calculated fair value $0.0300 (+0%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RUBNF calculated?
We run ArborGen Holdings Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. ArborGen Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.0300. Our model-based fair value is $0.0300, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ArborGen Holdings Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of ArborGen Holdings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
The market capitalisation of ArborGen Holdings Limited is $26.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ArborGen Holdings Limited is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
Earnings per share at ArborGen Holdings Limited are $−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
The net margin of ArborGen Holdings Limited is −34.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ArborGen Holdings Limited is −6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ArborGen Holdings Limited is −3.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
The operating margin of ArborGen Holdings Limited is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
Revenue at ArborGen Holdings Limited is growing +10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF)?
Earnings per share at ArborGen Holdings Limited are growing −97.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF) generate?
The free cash flow of ArborGen Holdings Limited is −8.9M NZD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does ArborGen Holdings Limited (RUBNF) carry?
The net debt of ArborGen Holdings Limited is 51.0M NZD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026