ArborGen Holdings (RUBNF) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $26.1M
ArborGen Holdings
RUBNF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.0760 to $0.0600 (−21.1%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −25.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 100% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0450). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0300 – $0.2480 · fair‑value band $0.0450 – $0.0690 · the $0.0300 price screens below the $0.0600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
ArborGen Holdings (RUBNF) currently trades at $0.0300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0600, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, ArborGen Holdings generated revenue of $68.2M at a net margin of -11.0%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.2%. Net debt stands at $51.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0450 (bear case) to $0.0690 (bull case); at $0.0300, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at 100%, RUBNF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ArborGen Holdings Limited engages in the forestry genetics business. The company provides its tree seedlings under the ArborGen brand name to forestry industry primarily in the United States and Brazil. ArborGen Holdings Limited was formerly known as Rubicon Limited and changed its name to ArborGen Holdings Limited in September 2019.
Full company description
ArborGen Holdings Limited engages in the forestry genetics business. The company provides its tree seedlings under the ArborGen brand name to forestry industry primarily in the United States and Brazil. ArborGen Holdings Limited was formerly known as Rubicon Limited and changed its name to ArborGen Holdings Limited in September 2019. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ArborGen Holdings reported revenue of $111M in FY2025 versus $61.3M in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$37.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $188.80 | $147.92 | -22% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$98.54 | C$51.55 | -48% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.93 | $108.78 | +27% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$78.93 | C$96.01 | +22% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $76.06 | $51.92 | -32% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹799.50 | ₹201.01 | -75% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥11.74 | ¥14.78 | +26% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.17 | C$4.54 | -68% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.45 | C$6.43 | -52% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.05 | ¥0.6700 | -78% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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