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RugVista Group (RUG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 1.3B SEK

RG RugVista Group RUG · ST
Pricekr 63.80
Fair Valuekr 64.78
Upside+1.5%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.49% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range kr 47.69 – kr 81.00 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from kr 66.15 to kr 64.78 (−2.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from kr 47.69 (bear) to kr 81.00 (bull), base kr 64.78. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 156.06 kr 26.53 Fair Value kr 64.78 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 26.53 – kr 156.06 · fair‑value band kr 47.69 – kr 81.00 · the kr 63.80 price screens below the kr 64.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

RugVista Group (RUG) currently trades at kr 63.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 64.78, implying the stock looks roughly 1.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, RugVista Group generated revenue of 799M SEK at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at 2.6M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 47.69 (bear case) to kr 81.00 (bull case); at kr 63.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 2%, RUG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 47.42 kr 65.45 kr 89.97 80
Residual Income kr 23.92 kr 26.21 kr 34.18 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 44.20 kr 64.09 kr 88.35 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 47.56 kr 67.16 kr 95.09 38
Owner Earnings kr 37.99 kr 52.38 kr 72.87 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 44.20 kr 64.14 kr 90.06 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 52.29 kr 79.99 kr 113.28 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 52.81 kr 80.99 kr 111.73 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 44.24 kr 62.12 kr 87.19 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 49.90 kr 72.42 kr 104.09 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 50.21 kr 73.07 kr 102.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 20.45 kr 78.38 kr 106.20 54
Lynch FV kr 19.11 kr 27.30 kr 35.49 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 19.11 kr 27.30 kr 35.49 46
EPV kr 38.54 kr 42.21 kr 45.27 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 49.61 kr 66.15 kr 82.69 63
P/S Multiple kr 33.96 kr 45.29 kr 56.61 58
P/B Multiple kr 38.34 kr 51.11 kr 63.89 55
EV/EBIT kr 66.53 kr 84.83 kr 103.13 53
EV/EBITDA kr 60.32 kr 76.54 kr 92.77 54
EV/Revenue kr 43.34 kr 56.92 kr 70.51 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 14.27 kr 19.13 kr 28.55 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 47.42 kr 65.45 kr 89.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 44.20 kr 64.09 kr 88.35 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 23.92 kr 26.21 kr 34.18 76
ROIC Compounder kr 40.65 kr 47.79 kr 56.18 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 35.65 kr 50.92 kr 66.20 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 67.16) versus Asset-Based (kr 19.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 799M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 9.9%
Free cash flow 75.2M SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 21.7
More key figures
Operating margin 11.3%
EPS (TTM) kr 2.82
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.6%
Net debt 2.6M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

RugVista Group AB (publ) operates direct-to-consumer online platforms for carpet and rug sales in Sweden, Germany, Austria, Switzerland, and internationally. The company offers carpets and rugs under the RugVista and CarpetVista brands. It also provides rug accessories, including anti-slip articles and stain removers.

Full company description

RugVista Group AB (publ) operates direct-to-consumer online platforms for carpet and rug sales in Sweden, Germany, Austria, Switzerland, and internationally. The company offers carpets and rugs under the RugVista and CarpetVista brands. It also provides rug accessories, including anti-slip articles and stain removers. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Malmö, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

RugVista Group reported revenue of kr 784M in FY2025 versus kr 705M in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was kr 62.5M in FY2025, compounding −11.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
784M SEK
Latest YoY
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 kr 705M
FY22 kr 639M
FY23 kr 702M
FY24 kr 695M
FY25 kr 784M
Net income −11.1%/yr
FY21 kr 99.9M
FY22 kr 58.9M
FY23 kr 70.0M
FY24 kr 51.8M
FY25 kr 62.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RugVista Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RUG

Peer Group

Home Improvement Retail · 36 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Above median
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.59× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 25
FUTURE 38 · sector 11
PAST 39 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 50 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Home Depot, Inc HD $337.74 $236.85 -30%
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $209.66 $186.32 -11%
Wesfarmers Limited WES A$92.80 A$50.50 -46%
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $56.40 $32.81 -42%
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.70 MYR 1.47 MYR -14%
Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR 6.65 THB 6.31 THB -5%
Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL 7.50 THB 5.96 THB -21%
Dohome Public Company DOHOME 3.86 THB 2.90 THB -25%
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT $25.66 $22.53 -12%
Test-Rite International Co 2908 22.00 TWD 9.18 TWD -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RugVista Group (RUG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 64.78 versus a price of kr 63.80, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of RUG?
Our model-based fair value for RugVista Group is kr 64.78 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 63.80.
What is the quality score of RUG?
RugVista Group has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of RugVista Group (RUG)?
RugVista Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 799M SEK (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RUG?
The net profit margin of RugVista Group is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does RugVista Group pay a dividend?
RugVista Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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