Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Universal Entertainment Corporation stock €4.58, price €3.67, upside +24.9%, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €3.30 – €22.36 · fair‑value band €1.85 – €7.60 · the €3.67 price screens below the €4.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
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Universal Entertainment Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, research, develops, manufactures, and sells pachislot and pachinko machines in Japan and the Philippines.
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It develops and provides Falcon X, a peripheral system; Hot Stadium, a digital signage system; Universal Kingdom, a members-only mobile website; Slot Street, a social casino game for smartphones; Fun, amusement equipment; and Pachislot and Pachinko machines and related equipment, as well as operates OKADA MANILA, a casino resort in the Philippines.
It also offers Okada Maa, the integrated resort facilities in Manila, the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Aruze Corp. and changed its name to Universal Entertainment Corporation in November 2009. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Universal Entertainment Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Okada Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ) currently trades at €3.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.58, implying the stock looks roughly 19.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €7.65 per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the €3.67 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at €3.60, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.85 (bear) to €7.60 (bull), the price of €3.67 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Universal Entertainment Corporation reported revenue of ¥123B in FY2025 versus ¥90.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −¥231B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €284M Small · EPS (TTM) €−15.95 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Return on equity −92.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Operating margin 14.0% · Revenue (TTM) ¥137B · Revenue growth (YoY) +37.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 21 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 24% fair-value upside, at 25%, RUZ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€1.85Fair Value €4.58Bull€7.60
Price €3.67 · Upside +24.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.8% (2020) → −2.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +36.9% a year for the price.
Compare Universal Entertainment Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 174 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+24.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−61.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−161.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)14.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)37.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)4.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.01× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Universal Entertainment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RUZ
Frequently asked questions
Is Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.58 versus a price of €3.67, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RUZ?
Our model-based fair value for Universal Entertainment Corporation is €4.58 (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.67.
What is the quality score of RUZ?
Universal Entertainment Corporation has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €4.58 (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.85, optimistic scenario €7.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Universal Entertainment Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €4.58, about +25% upside versus a price of €3.67 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.85, optimistic scenario €7.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
Universal Entertainment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥137B (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
Does Universal Entertainment Corporation pay a dividend?
Universal Entertainment Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 4.37% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Universal Entertainment Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +39.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.2 % per year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of RUZ use?
Our models discount Universal Entertainment Corporation at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Universal Entertainment Corporation that is +39.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Universal Entertainment Corporation grew +6.2 % a year. The price currently implies +39.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Universal Entertainment Corporation (+39.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.59 %: that much free cash flow Universal Entertainment Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Universal Entertainment Corporation it is €4.58 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of €3.67. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Universal Entertainment Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, RUZ trades below its calculated fair value: price €3.67, fair value €4.58, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RUZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.58). For Universal Entertainment Corporation the two are €0.9136 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Universal Entertainment Corporation worth?
The market values Universal Entertainment Corporation at about €284M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is €3.67; our models calculate a fair value of €4.58 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RUZ?
Our models span a range for Universal Entertainment Corporation: cautious scenario €1.85, base €4.58, optimistic €7.60 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price €3.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Universal Entertainment Corporation (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity −92.2%, debt of 1.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RUZ from its 52-week high?
Universal Entertainment Corporation trades at €3.67, about 29% below its 52-week high of €5.20 and 12% above the low of €3.28 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.58 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Universal Entertainment Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, Life Time Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Universal Entertainment Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price €3.67, calculated fair value €4.58 (+25%), Quality Score 41/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RUZ calculated?
We run Universal Entertainment Corporation through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €4.58, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Universal Entertainment Corporation currently trades 20 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was €3.67. Our model-based fair value is €4.58, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Universal Entertainment Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€1.85 to €7.60). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Universal Entertainment Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
The market capitalisation of Universal Entertainment Corporation is €284M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
Earnings per share at Universal Entertainment Corporation are €−15.95. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
The dividend yield of Universal Entertainment Corporation is 4.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Universal Entertainment Corporation is −92.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Universal Entertainment Corporation is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
The operating margin of Universal Entertainment Corporation is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
Revenue at Universal Entertainment Corporation is growing +37.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ)?
Earnings per share at Universal Entertainment Corporation are growing −13.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Universal Entertainment Corporation (RUZ) carry?
The net debt of Universal Entertainment Corporation is ¥93.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 52.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 27, 2026