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RVCB Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $73.9M

R RVCB logo RVCB RVCB · US
Price$24.65
Fair Value$18.28
Upside-25.8%
Quality48/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 20.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $13.71 – $22.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −1.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($22.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$30.74 $7.49 Fair Value $18.28 Jul 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.49 – $30.74 · fair‑value band $13.71 – $22.84 · the $24.65 price screens above the $18.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

RVCB (RVCB) currently trades at $24.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.28, implying the stock looks roughly 25.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, RVCB generated revenue of $21.6M at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue grew 16.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at $20.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.71 (bear case) to $22.84 (bull case); at $24.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -26%, RVCB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $13.92 $13.97 $13.22 76
Gordon GGM $0.4900 $0.8200 $1.06 70
P/E Multiple $13.71 $18.28 $22.84 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.4900 $0.8200 $1.06 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.4900 $0.7700 $0.8800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.71 $18.28 $22.84 63
P/B Multiple $17.92 $23.90 $29.87 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.56 $12.81 $19.12 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.92 $13.97 $13.22 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($18.28) versus Dividend Discount ($0.7700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $21.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.9%
Net margin 20.1%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow $3.4M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.2
More key figures
Operating margin 18.9%
EPS (TTM) $1.37
EPS growth (YoY) -5.6%
Net debt $20.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

River Valley Community Bancorp, through its subsidiary, River Valley Community Bank provides various banking products and services in the United States. It accepts personal and business checking accounts; savings accounts; certificates of deposit; and IRA accounts.

Full company description

River Valley Community Bancorp, through its subsidiary, River Valley Community Bank provides various banking products and services in the United States. It accepts personal and business checking accounts; savings accounts; certificates of deposit; and IRA accounts. The company's loan products include agricultural operating loans and lines of credit, agricultural real estate and land development, farmer mac, commercial real estate, and construction loans, as well as SBA 504; home equity lines of credit; commercial loans and lines of credit; and agricultural operating loans and lines. It also offers debit, credit, money, and gift cards; and online banking and bill payment, ACH origination, text message banking, electronic statements, remote deposit capture, merchant card processing, payroll, cheques, automatic teller machine, drive-up teller window, safe deposit box, notary, night depository, overdraft protection, bank by mail, direct deposit, wire transfer, mobile banking, online, and card services. The company serves small to middle-market businesses and professionals. It operates branches in Yuba City, Grass Valley, Auburn, Marysville, and California. River Valley Community Bancorp was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Yuba City, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

RVCB reported revenue of $30.6M in FY2025 versus $17.4M in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was $4.4M in FY2025, compounding −4.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$30.6M
Latest YoY
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.4%
Revenue +15.2%/yr
FY21 $17.4M
FY22 $20.3M
FY23 $25.3M
FY24 $27.3M
FY25 $30.6M
Net income −4.7%/yr
FY21 $5.3M
FY22 $6.9M
FY23 $5.9M
FY24 $4.4M
FY25 $4.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.9 pp

of which total revenue +16.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.9 pp

EBIT margin −3.9 pp
Tax rate +0.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

RVCB screens 26% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RVCB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RVCB

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −26% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.23× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.42× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 21.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 39
FUTURE 85 · sector 44
PAST 30 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is RVCB overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.28 versus a price of $24.65, about −26% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RVCB?
Our model-based fair value for RVCB is $18.28 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $24.65.
What is the quality score of RVCB?
RVCB has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of RVCB?
RVCB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RVCB?
The net profit margin of RVCB is about 20.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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