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River Financial Corporation (RVRF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $375M

RF River Financial Corporation logo River Financial Corporation RVRF · US
Price$46.00
Fair Value$70.06
Upside+52.3%
Quality50/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 35.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.08% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $52.54 – $87.57 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −4.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 52% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($52.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$52.25 $15.61 Fair Value $70.06 Oct 2018 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.61 – $52.25 · fair‑value band $52.54 – $87.57 · the $46.00 price screens below the $70.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

River Financial Corporation (RVRF) currently trades at $46.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $70.06, implying the stock looks roughly 52.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, River Financial Corporation generated revenue of $134M at a net margin of 35.7%. Revenue grew 32.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.7%. Net debt stands at $117M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $52.54 (bear case) to $87.57 (bull case); at $46.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 52%, RVRF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $35.21 $41.94 $83.37 76
P/E Multiple $52.54 $70.06 $87.57 63
P/B Multiple $40.30 $53.73 $67.16 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $52.54 $70.06 $87.57 63
P/B Multiple $40.30 $53.73 $67.16 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $19.19 $25.71 $38.38 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $35.21 $41.94 $83.37 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($53.73) versus Asset-Based ($25.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $134M
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.7%
Net margin 35.7%
Return on equity 17.7%
Free cash flow $47.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.9
More key figures
Operating margin 52.2%
EPS (TTM) $6.09
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +65.7%
Net debt $117M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

River Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for River Bank & Trust that provides commercial and consumer banking services to small to medium-sized businesses, organizations, entrepreneurs, and individuals in Alabama and the Florida Panhandle.

Full company description

River Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for River Bank & Trust that provides commercial and consumer banking services to small to medium-sized businesses, organizations, entrepreneurs, and individuals in Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. The company accepts demand, time, savings, and other deposits, including negotiable orders of withdrawal accounts, and amortization and prepayments of loans and investment; and interest-bearing transaction accounts, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. It also offers commercial real estate term loans, residential mortgage loans, and construction and land development loans; home equity lines of credit; commercial and industrial loans; loan approval; and consumer loans that consist of loans to purchase automobiles and other consumer durable goods. In addition, the company provides investment brokerage; commercial and retail online banking, automated bill payment, mobile banking, and remote deposit capture services; and loans and investment amortization and prepayment services. River Financial Corporation was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Prattville, Alabama.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

River Financial Corporation reported revenue of $208M in FY2025 versus $86.3M in FY2021, a compound +24.6%/yr. Reported net income was $42.1M in FY2025, compounding +13.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$208M
Latest YoY
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.8%
Revenue +24.6%/yr
FY21 $86.3M
FY22 $101M
FY23 $153M
FY24 $186M
FY25 $208M
Net income +13.9%/yr
FY21 $25.0M
FY22 $27.9M
FY23 $26.7M
FY24 $31.3M
FY25 $42.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +17.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +18.4 pp

of which total revenue +25.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.3 pp

EBIT margin −2.3 pp
Tax rate +1.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "River Financial Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RVRF

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +52% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.47× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.25× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.80× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 7.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 71 · sector 41
HEALTH 77 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is River Financial Corporation (RVRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $70.06 versus a price of $46.00, about +52% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of RVRF?
Our model-based fair value for River Financial Corporation is $70.06 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $46.00.
What is the quality score of RVRF?
River Financial Corporation has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of River Financial Corporation (RVRF)?
River Financial Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $134M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RVRF?
The net profit margin of River Financial Corporation is about 35.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does River Financial Corporation pay a dividend?
River Financial Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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