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SBS Transit Ltd (S61) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SG · Market cap 1.2B SGD

ST SBS Transit Ltd S61 · SG
Price3.96 SGD
Fair Value3.64 SGD
Upside-8.1%
Quality70/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range 2.71 SGD – 4.56 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +8.8% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 2.71 SGD (bear) to 4.56 SGD (bull), base 3.64 SGD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 70/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3.96 SGD 1.85 SGD Fair Value 3.64 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.85 SGD – 3.96 SGD · fair‑value band 2.71 SGD – 4.56 SGD · the 3.96 SGD price screens above the 3.64 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

SBS Transit Ltd (S61) currently trades at 3.96 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.64 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SBS Transit Ltd generated revenue of 1.5B SGD at a net margin of 4.0%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at 19.4M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.71 SGD (bear case) to 4.56 SGD (bull case); at 3.96 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -8%, S61 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2.98 SGD 3.82 SGD 4.81 SGD 80
Residual Income 1.75 SGD 1.86 SGD 2.06 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 2.32 SGD 3.25 SGD 4.25 SGD 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.92 SGD 3.83 SGD 4.94 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 3.34 SGD 4.38 SGD 5.65 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 2.32 SGD 3.20 SGD 4.26 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 3.61 SGD 5.45 SGD 7.48 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 2.80 SGD 4.04 SGD 5.25 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 2.51 SGD 3.28 SGD 4.19 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 3.28 SGD 4.66 SGD 6.29 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 2.82 SGD 3.80 SGD 4.83 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.33 SGD 2.76 SGD 3.49 SGD 54
EPV 1.39 SGD 1.58 SGD 1.73 SGD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.08 SGD 4.10 SGD 5.13 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 2.49 SGD 3.32 SGD 4.15 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 2.49 SGD 3.32 SGD 4.15 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 2.81 SGD 3.73 SGD 4.66 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 4.72 SGD 6.29 SGD 7.85 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 2.01 SGD 2.86 SGD 3.71 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.09 SGD 1.46 SGD 2.18 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.98 SGD 3.82 SGD 4.81 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 2.32 SGD 3.25 SGD 4.25 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.75 SGD 1.86 SGD 2.06 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 1.39 SGD 1.58 SGD 1.73 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.25 SGD 3.22 SGD 4.18 SGD 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (3.83 SGD) versus Asset-Based (1.46 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.8%
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 8.5%
Free cash flow 104M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 19.8
More key figures
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.2000 SGD
EPS growth (YoY) -15.0%
Net debt 19.4M SGD FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SBS Transit Ltd engages in public transport operations and consultancy services relating to land transport in Singapore. It operates through Public Transport Services and Other Commercial Services segments.

Full company description

SBS Transit Ltd engages in public transport operations and consultancy services relating to land transport in Singapore. It operates through Public Transport Services and Other Commercial Services segments. The company offers basic, express, and city direct bus services; and rail services under the North East and Downtown lines, and the Sengkang and Punggol light rail transits to commuters traveling on public transport systems. It also provides advertising on buses, trains, bus interchanges, and rail stations; wheelchair-accessible bus services; and roadshow and shop spaces for rent at bus interchanges and rail stations. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a fleet of 3,384 buses. The company was formerly known as Singapore Bus Services Limited and changed its name to SBS Transit Ltd in November 2001. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Singapore. SBS Transit Ltd operates as a subsidiary of ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SBS Transit Ltd reported revenue of 1.5B SGD in FY2025 versus 1.3B SGD in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was 61.2M SGD in FY2025, compounding +4.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B SGD
Latest YoY
−2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY21 1.3B SGD
FY22 1.5B SGD
FY23 1.5B SGD
FY24 1.6B SGD
FY25 1.5B SGD
Net income +4.3%/yr
FY21 51.6M SGD
FY22 68.0M SGD
FY23 69.1M SGD
FY24 70.3M SGD
FY25 61.2M SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SBS Transit Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/S61

Peer Group

Railroads · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.6% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.34× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.78× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 23
FUTURE 24 · sector 19
PAST 34 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $293.73 $141.29 -52%
CSX Corporation CSX $50.08 $12.62 -75%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $92.69 $34.23 -63%
Canadian National Railway Company CNR C$176.01 C$92.68 -47%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $335.41 $114.55 -66%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $295.54 $144.80 -51%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 ¥5.04 ¥5.65 +12%
MTR Corporation 0066 HK$32.30 HK$17.85 -45%
CRRC Corporation 601766 ¥5.98 ¥9.53 +59%
Daqin Railway Co 601006 ¥4.72 ¥6.22 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SBS Transit Ltd (S61) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.64 SGD versus a price of 3.96 SGD, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of S61?
Our model-based fair value for SBS Transit Ltd is 3.64 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 3.96 SGD.
What is the quality score of S61?
SBS Transit Ltd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SBS Transit Ltd (S61)?
SBS Transit Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of S61?
The net profit margin of SBS Transit Ltd is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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