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Safe at Sea AB (SAFE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 32.9M SEK

SA Safe at Sea AB SAFE · ST
Pricekr 1.19
Fair Valuekr 1.49
Upside+25.2%
Quality60/100
Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.5% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Moderate moat 56/100
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Evidence: High Range kr 0.8900 – kr 2.09 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated today

Share price +8.2% over the past month.

A solid business, and the price sits 25% below our fair value.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.8900 to kr 2.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 2.11 kr 0.5050 Fair Value kr 1.49 May 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.5050 – kr 2.11 · fair‑value band kr 0.8900 – kr 2.09 · the kr 1.19 price screens below the kr 1.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Safe at Sea AB (SAFE) currently trades at kr 1.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.49, implying the stock looks roughly 25.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Safe at Sea AB generated revenue of 19.8M SEK at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue declined 18.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.8900 (bear case) to kr 2.09 (bull case); at kr 1.19, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 25%, SAFE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 0.5000 kr 0.6900 kr 0.9900 72
Growth-Adj P/E kr 1.57 kr 2.24 kr 2.91 68
Rev-Margin DCF kr 0.9000 kr 1.63 kr 2.70 67
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 0.5100 kr 0.6700 kr 1.04 38
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.9000 kr 1.61 kr 2.85 39
5Y P/E Exit kr 1.11 kr 2.16 kr 3.50 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 0.7100 kr 1.35 kr 2.26 36
10Y P/E Exit kr 0.8600 kr 1.67 kr 3.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 0.5900 kr 3.93 kr 5.51 54
Lynch FV kr 1.15 kr 1.64 kr 2.13 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 1.15 kr 1.64 kr 2.13 46
EPV kr 0.7800 kr 0.8500 kr 0.9000 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 1.31 kr 1.75 kr 2.19 63
P/S Multiple kr 1.11 kr 1.49 kr 1.86 58
P/B Multiple kr 1.11 kr 1.49 kr 1.86 55
EV/EBIT kr 1.56 kr 2.00 kr 2.45 53
EV/Revenue kr 1.12 kr 1.51 kr 1.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.2700 kr 0.3600 kr 0.5400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 0.5000 kr 0.6900 kr 0.9900 72
Rev-Margin DCF kr 0.9000 kr 1.63 kr 2.70 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 0.5000 kr 0.6100 kr 1.24 61
ROIC Compounder kr 0.8700 kr 1.06 kr 1.30 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 1.57 kr 2.24 kr 2.91 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 2.24) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.3600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 19.8M SEK
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.3%
Net margin 12.5%
Return on equity 17.8%
Free cash flow 738K SEK FY2025
P/E ratio 13.2
More key figures
Operating margin 11.1%
EPS (TTM) kr 0.0900
EPS growth (YoY) +43.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Safe at Sea AB (publ) engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of search and rescue (SAR) equipment worldwide. It provides Rescuerunner, a close range rescue craft; GuardRunner, a small boat for military or law enforcement agencies; Saferunner, a close-range rescue craft for beach rescue and surveillance; Elecorunner, an electric boat used for …

Full company description

Safe at Sea AB (publ) engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of search and rescue (SAR) equipment worldwide. It provides Rescuerunner, a close range rescue craft; GuardRunner, a small boat for military or law enforcement agencies; Saferunner, a close-range rescue craft for beach rescue and surveillance; Elecorunner, an electric boat used for rescue missions, surveillance, or transports; Guardrunner X, a tactical watercraft; SeaRanger, a SAR boat for operations in shallow and rough waters; and launch and recovery solutions, such as cradles, trailers, and boatlift. The company also offers personal SAR equipment, including life vests, immersion suits, communication products, and other equipment under the Hansen Protection, Gecko Head Gear, NRS, and Baltic life vests brand names; SAR training and courses; and repairing and other services. Safe at Sea AB (publ) was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Hisings Backa, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Safe at Sea AB reported revenue of kr 20.4M in FY2025 versus kr 9.3M in FY2022, a compound +29.9%/yr. Reported net income was kr 2.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
20.4M SEK
Latest YoY
−7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+29.9%
Revenue +29.9%/yr
FY22 kr 9.3M
FY23 kr 10.1M
FY24 kr 22.1M
FY25 kr 20.4M
Net income
FY22 −kr 3.2M
FY23 kr 1.1M
FY24 kr 1.6M
FY25 kr 2.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Safe at Sea AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAFE.ST

Peer Group

Security & Protection Services · 115 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +25% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.20× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.66× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 67 / 12
FUTURE 0 / 38
PAST 71 / 20
HEALTH 0 / 99
DIVIDEND 0 / 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

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Allegion plc ALLE $137.24 $127.80 -7%
Securitas AB SECUB kr 162.10 kr 186.34 +15%
Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 ¥16.57 ¥23.58 +42%
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $169.00 $118.51 -30%
ADT Inc ADT $7.06 $17.10 +142%
The Brink's Company BCO $104.24 $101.84 -2%
Brady Corporation BRC $90.16 $73.43 -19%
The GEO Group GEO $29.46 $32.36 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Safe at Sea AB (SAFE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.49 versus a price of kr 1.19, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SAFE?
Our model-based fair value for Safe at Sea AB is kr 1.49 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 1.19.
What is the quality score of SAFE?
Safe at Sea AB has a Quality Score of 60/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Safe at Sea AB (SAFE)?
Safe at Sea AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.8M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAFE?
The net profit margin of Safe at Sea AB is about 12.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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