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Sakuma Exports Limited (SAKUMA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹2.8B

SE Sakuma Exports Limited SAKUMA · NSE
Price₹1.60
Fair Value₹2.00
Upside+25.3%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: High Range ₹1.39 – ₹2.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹1.18 to ₹2.00 (+69.8%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price −7.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 25% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (₹1.39 to ₹2.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ₹1.39 (bear) to ₹2.60 (bull), base ₹2.00. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹9.75 ₹0.9686 Fair Value ₹2.00 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹0.9686 – ₹9.75 · fair‑value band ₹1.39 – ₹2.60 · the ₹1.60 price screens below the ₹2.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sakuma Exports Limited (SAKUMA) currently trades at ₹1.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.00, implying the stock looks roughly 25.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sakuma Exports Limited generated revenue of ₹17.1B at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹305M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹1.39 (bear case) to ₹2.60 (bull case); at ₹1.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 25%, SAKUMA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹16.12 ₹23.98 ₹35.06 80
Residual Income ₹3.22 ₹2.95 ₹2.14 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹6.00 ₹7.19 ₹8.71 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹15.99 ₹25.13 ₹38.97 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹6.00 ₹6.90 ₹7.71 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹6.09 ₹7.08 ₹7.99 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹6.39 ₹7.65 ₹8.81 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹9.53 ₹11.31 ₹13.21 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹9.60 ₹11.44 ₹13.42 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹9.78 ₹11.82 ₹14.05 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹0.4100 ₹1.44 ₹1.93 54
Lynch FV ₹0.3300 ₹0.4800 ₹0.6200 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹0.3300 ₹0.4800 ₹0.6200 46
EPV ₹0.3800 ₹0.4000 ₹0.4200 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹0.9600 ₹1.27 ₹1.59 63
P/S Multiple ₹0.7700 ₹1.03 ₹1.29 58
P/B Multiple ₹0.7700 ₹1.03 ₹1.29 55
EV/EBIT ₹0.6200 ₹0.7400 ₹0.8600 53
EV/EBITDA ₹0.7000 ₹0.8500 ₹1.00 54
EV/Revenue ₹0.5100 ₹0.6200 ₹0.7400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹2.39 ₹3.20 ₹4.78 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹16.12 ₹23.98 ₹35.06 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹6.00 ₹7.19 ₹8.71 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹3.22 ₹2.95 ₹2.14 76
ROIC Compounder ₹0.3800 ₹0.4000 ₹0.4200 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹0.8200 ₹1.18 ₹1.53 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹11.31) versus Economic Profit (₹0.4000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹17.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.3%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 1.3%
Free cash flow ₹2.2B FY2026
P/E ratio 26.7
More key figures
Operating margin 1.0%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.0600
EPS growth (YoY) +70.8%
Net cash ₹305M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sakuma Exports Limited engages in the trading of agro commodities in India. It buys, processes, markets, and imports agricultural commodities, including sugar, cotton, and various specialty crops; grains, such as rice, wheat, corn, barley, millet, and sorghum; pulses and beans; and spices comprising coriander and mustard seeds, turmeric, kalonji, fenugreek …

Full company description

Sakuma Exports Limited engages in the trading of agro commodities in India. It buys, processes, markets, and imports agricultural commodities, including sugar, cotton, and various specialty crops; grains, such as rice, wheat, corn, barley, millet, and sorghum; pulses and beans; and spices comprising coriander and mustard seeds, turmeric, kalonji, fenugreek seed, fennel, ajwain, nutmeg, mustard, cardamom, black pepper, dill seed, ginger, and various grounded spices and curry powder. The company also offers de-oiled cakes consisting of soya bean, rapeseed, ground nut, and castor meals; and oil and oil seeds, which include sesame seeds, groundnut kernels, and sunflower and safflower seeds. In addition, it generates renewable energy, as well as offers petrochemicals, petroleum, and minerals products. The company exports its products to the Middle East, South and Southeast Asia, the Far East, Australia, Europe, and Africa. Sakuma Exports Limited was founded in 1998 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sakuma Exports Limited reported revenue of ₹17.1B in FY2026 versus ₹28.5B in FY2022, a compound −12.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹95.1M in FY2026, compounding −23.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹17.1B
Latest YoY
−25.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue −12.0%/yr
FY22 ₹28.5B
FY23 ₹31.7B
FY24 ₹21.2B
FY25 ₹22.9B
FY26 ₹17.1B
Net income −23.3%/yr
FY22 ₹274M
FY23 ₹284M
FY24 ₹400M
FY25 ₹148M
FY26 ₹95.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −24.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share −24.8 pp

of which total revenue −4.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −20.8 pp

EBIT margin +6.6 pp
Tax rate −0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sakuma Exports Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAKUMA

Peer Group

Farm Products · 297 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +25% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.37× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 33.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 67 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 5 · sector 18
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.90 THB 43.24 THB +97%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,150 IDR 6,818 IDR +116%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,805 IDR 3,087 IDR +71%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,350 IDR 6,420 IDR -13%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,260 IDR 6,974 IDR +209%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,890 IDR 610.80 IDR -68%
PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS 860.00 IDR 402.24 IDR -53%
PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR 5,625 IDR 16,227 IDR +188%
PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG 1,320 IDR 2,696 IDR +104%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sakuma Exports Limited (SAKUMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.00 versus a price of ₹1.60, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SAKUMA?
Our model-based fair value for Sakuma Exports Limited is ₹2.00 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹1.60.
What is the quality score of SAKUMA?
Sakuma Exports Limited has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sakuma Exports Limited (SAKUMA)?
Sakuma Exports Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹17.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAKUMA?
The net profit margin of Sakuma Exports Limited is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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