Sanford Ltd (SARDY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of Sanford Ltd $16.16, price $19.40, upside -16.7%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.67 – $22.62 · fair‑value band $11.51 – $20.86 · the $19.40 price screens above the $16.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Sanford Limited engages in the farming, harvesting, processing, storage, and marketing of seafood products. It operates through Wildcatch and Aquaculture segments. The company catches and processes inshore and deepwater fish species, as well as farms, harvests, and processes mussels and salmon.
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Sanford Limited engages in the farming, harvesting, processing, storage, and marketing of seafood products. It operates through Wildcatch and Aquaculture segments. The company catches and processes inshore and deepwater fish species, as well as farms, harvests, and processes mussels and salmon. Its products include Antarctic toothfish, arrow squid, gemfish, greenshell mussels, hake, hapuku, hoki, king salmon, ling, monkfish, New Zealand sole, orange roughy, scampi, silver warehou, smooth oreo dory, southern blue whiting, and yellowbelly flounder. The company operates in North America, China, New Zealand, Europe, Australia, Other Asian countries, Japan, South Korea, the Middle East, Hong Kong, Central and South America, Africa, and the Pacific. Sanford Limited was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand.
Stock analysis
Sanford Ltd ADR (SARDY) currently trades at $19.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.16, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $56.11 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the $19.40 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.06, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $11.51 (bear) to $20.86 (bull), the price of $19.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sanford Ltd ADR reported revenue of 584M NZD in FY2025 versus 490M NZD in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 63.7M NZD in FY2025, compounding +40.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $363M · P/E ratio 8.7 · P/S ratio 0.94 · EPS (TTM) $2.24 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 10.9% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −17%, SARDY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $11.51Fair Value $16.16Bull $20.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.11 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +10.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23% vs 11%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 224% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in NZD, New Zealand: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.0% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 296 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−17% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.16 versus a price of $19.40, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SARDY?
Our model-based fair value for Sanford Ltd ADR is $16.16 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.40.
What is the quality score of SARDY?
Sanford Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.16 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.51, optimistic scenario $20.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sanford Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.16, about −17% upside versus a price of $19.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $11.51, optimistic scenario $20.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
Sanford Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 568M NZD (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Sanford Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Sanford Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.82% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sanford Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -10.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SARDY use?
Our models discount Sanford Ltd ADR at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sanford Ltd ADR that is -10.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sanford Ltd (SARDY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sanford Ltd ADR grew +4.5 % a year. The price currently implies -10.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sanford Ltd (SARDY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sanford Ltd ADR (-10.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.53 %: that much free cash flow Sanford Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sanford Ltd ADR it is $16.16 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $19.40. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sanford Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SARDY trades above its calculated fair value: price $19.40, fair value $16.16, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SARDY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.16). For Sanford Ltd ADR the two are $3.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sanford Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Sanford Ltd ADR at about $363M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $19.40; our models calculate a fair value of $16.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SARDY?
Our models span a range for Sanford Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $11.51, base $16.16, optimistic $20.86 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $19.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SARDY?
Sanford Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.16 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 3.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sanford Ltd ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SARDY from its 52-week high?
Sanford Ltd ADR trades at $19.40, about 14% below its 52-week high of $22.62 and 26% above the low of $15.44 (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sanford Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sanford Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $19.40, calculated fair value $16.16 (−17%), Quality Score 68/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SARDY calculated?
We run Sanford Ltd ADR through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Sanford Ltd ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $19.40. Our model-based fair value is $16.16, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sanford Ltd ADR right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($11.51 to $20.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sanford Ltd (SARDY) come from?
Earnings per share at Sanford Ltd ADR grew +3.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.7 %, EBIT margin −4.8 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +5.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sanford Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
The market capitalisation of Sanford Ltd ADR is $363M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sanford Ltd ADR is 0.94 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
Earnings per share at Sanford Ltd ADR are $2.24 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
The dividend yield of Sanford Ltd ADR is 1.8% (payout 15.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
The net margin of Sanford Ltd ADR is 10.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sanford Ltd ADR is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sanford Ltd ADR is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
The operating margin of Sanford Ltd ADR is 23.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
Revenue at Sanford Ltd ADR is growing −5.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sanford Ltd (SARDY)?
Earnings per share at Sanford Ltd ADR are growing +24.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sanford Ltd (SARDY) carry?
The net debt of Sanford Ltd ADR is 140M NZD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026