Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL THB 45.60, price THB 22.80, upside +100.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 14.50 THB – 64.61 THB · fair‑value band 16.18 THB – 76.89 THB · the 22.80 THB price screens below the 45.60 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Srisawad Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Hire Purchase; Loan; and Asset Management segment.
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Srisawad Corporation Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial services in Thailand and internationally. It operates through Hire Purchase; Loan; and Asset Management segment. The company provides loan granting, non-performing assets management, PICO finance loan, and credit sales services; and management and consulting services for retail credit systems. It also offers loan and debt collection; digital loan platform; and secured loans. In addition, the company provides motorcycles, car, truck, agricultural vehicle, home and land, and motorcycle hire purchase loans, as well as car, travel, truck, loan protection, personal accident, health, home, and accident insurance. Further, it invests in other companies; and engages in real estate business and activities related to real estate. It provides its services online. The company was formerly known as Srisawad Power 1979 Public Company Limited and changed its name to Srisawad Corporation Public Company Limited in July 2017. Srisawad Corporation Public Company Limited was founded in 1979 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD) currently trades at 22.80 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 45.60 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 90.71 THB per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the 22.80 THB price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 6.22 THB, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 16.18 THB (bear) to 76.89 THB (bull), the price of 22.80 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Srisawad Power 1979 PCL reported revenue of 19.3B THB in FY2025 versus 10.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +17.2%/yr. Reported net income was 5.0B THB in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 37.9B THB (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 7.2 · P/S ratio 1.87 · EPS (TTM) 3.17 THB · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 26.0% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 100%, SAWAD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 16.18 THBFair Value 45.60 THBBull 76.89 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.81 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +18.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2% vs 11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.54% → 49%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.2% a year for the price and +2.1% for the forecasts.
Compare Srisawad Power 1979 PCL with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 332 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside+100% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)14% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)36% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)50% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.34× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Srisawad Power 1979 PCL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAWAD
Frequently asked questions
Is Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 45.60 THB versus a price of 22.80 THB, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SAWAD?
Our model-based fair value for Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 45.60 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22.80 THB.
What is the quality score of SAWAD?
Srisawad Power 1979 PCL has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 45.60 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.18 THB, optimistic scenario 76.89 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Srisawad Power 1979 PCL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 45.60 THB, about +100% upside versus a price of 22.80 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 16.18 THB, optimistic scenario 76.89 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
Srisawad Power 1979 PCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.6B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Srisawad Power 1979 PCL pay a dividend?
Srisawad Power 1979 PCL currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Srisawad Power 1979 PCL would have to grow free cash flow by -5.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SAWAD use?
Our models discount Srisawad Power 1979 PCL at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.72, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Srisawad Power 1979 PCL that is -5.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Srisawad Power 1979 PCL grew +11.9 % a year. The price currently implies -5.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (-5.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 29.28 %: that much free cash flow Srisawad Power 1979 PCL produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Srisawad Power 1979 PCL it is 45.60 THB per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 22.80 THB. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Srisawad Power 1979 PCL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SAWAD trades below its calculated fair value: price 22.80 THB, fair value 45.60 THB, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SAWAD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.80 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (45.60 THB). For Srisawad Power 1979 PCL the two are 22.80 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Srisawad Power 1979 PCL worth?
The market values Srisawad Power 1979 PCL at about 37.9B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 22.80 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 45.60 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SAWAD?
Our models span a range for Srisawad Power 1979 PCL: cautious scenario 16.18 THB, base 45.60 THB, optimistic 76.89 THB per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 22.80 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SAWAD?
Srisawad Power 1979 PCL trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 45.60 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.0, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
What is the PEG ratio of SAWAD?
The PEG ratio of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 0.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 14.0%, debt of 1.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SAWAD from its 52-week high?
Srisawad Power 1979 PCL trades at 22.80 THB, about 26% below its 52-week high of 30.65 THB and 15% above the low of 19.90 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 45.60 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Srisawad Power 1979 PCL?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Srisawad Power 1979 PCL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 22.80 THB, calculated fair value 45.60 THB (+100%), Quality Score 50/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SAWAD calculated?
We run Srisawad Power 1979 PCL through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 45.60 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Srisawad Power 1979 PCL currently trades 100 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 22.80 THB. Our model-based fair value is 45.60 THB, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Srisawad Power 1979 PCL right now?
The model range is unusually wide (16.18 THB to 76.89 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD) come from?
Earnings per share at Srisawad Power 1979 PCL grew +12.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +16.9 %, EBIT margin −1.4 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL
How large is the market capitalisation of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
The market capitalisation of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 37.9B THB (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 1.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
Earnings per share at Srisawad Power 1979 PCL are 3.17 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
The dividend yield of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 3.1% (payout 22.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
The net margin of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 26.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
The operating margin of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 56.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
Revenue at Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is growing +17.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD)?
Earnings per share at Srisawad Power 1979 PCL are growing +22.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Srisawad Power 1979 PCL (SAWAD) carry?
The net debt of Srisawad Power 1979 PCL is 57.5B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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