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Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC VND 12,587, price VND 22,700, upside -44.6%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · VN · ISIN VN000000SBT4

TT Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC

SBT · VN

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 12,587 VND · Strongly overvalued (−45%)
!Quality 32/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +17.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 8 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

25,377 VND 7,760 VND Fair Value 12,587 VND Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7,760 VND – 25,377 VND · fair‑value band 8,964 VND – 17,721 VND · the 22,700 VND price screens above the 12,587 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Thanh Thanh Cong - Bien Hoa Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of in sugar and its by-products in Vietnam and internationally.

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Thanh Thanh Cong - Bien Hoa Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of in sugar and its by-products in Vietnam and internationally. The company is also involved in the production, transmission, and distribution of electricity; planting sugarcane and industrial crops; producing and trading fertilizers and agricultural materials; production of alcohol and non-alcoholic beverages, mineral and bottled water, soft drinks, fruit juice, soy milk, latex, cassava, and rubber; and cow breeding business. In addition, it engages in constructing civil projects and industrial zone infrastructure; hotels and restaurants businesses; trading of real estate properties, agricultural machines and tools, and oil and gas; rental of houses and apartments; investment activities; and wholesale of commercial goods. Further, the company offers planting and technical advisory; packaging, warehousing, and storage; electrical system installation; and food industry machineries and equipment installation services, as well as technical and consulting management services for the sugar industry. Additionally, it is involved in producing and developing mechanic machineries for sugar canes production; mechanical processing and cattle raising services; and trading of commodities and derivatives. Thanh Thanh Cong - Bien Hoa Joint Stock Company was formerly known as Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh Joint Stock Company and changed its name to Thanh Thanh Cong - Bien Hoa Joint Stock Company in November 2017. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Tan Chau, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT) currently trades at 22,700 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12,587 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 80.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 46,103 VND per share, and 4 of the 17 models we run sit above the 22,700 VND price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 7,900 VND, and 13 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 8,964 VND (bear) to 17,721 VND (bull), the price of 22,700 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC reported revenue of 28.5T VND in FY2025 versus 14.9T VND in FY2021, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was 812B VND in FY2025, compounding +5.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 19.6T VND · P/E ratio 30.8 · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) 737.77 VND · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −45%, SBT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 8,964 VND Fair Value 12,587 VND Bull 17,721 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (737.77 VND per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 9,073 VND 9,363 VND 9,579 VND 76
EPV 9,435 VND 11,066 VND 12,426 VND 74
Owner Earnings 23,915 VND 46,103 VND 83,227 VND 73
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 23,915 VND 46,103 VND 83,227 VND 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6,095 VND 34,708 VND 48,246 VND 63
Lynch FV 9,757 VND 13,939 VND 18,120 VND 61
PEG = 1.0 9,757 VND 13,939 VND 18,120 VND 57
EPV 9,435 VND 11,066 VND 12,426 VND 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 633.57 VND 1,142 VND 1,572 VND 68
DDM Multi-Stage 633.57 VND 1,043 VND 1,220 VND 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 14,118 VND 18,824 VND 23,530 VND 63
P/S Multiple 11,429 VND 15,238 VND 19,048 VND 58
P/B Multiple 11,429 VND 15,238 VND 19,048 VND 55
EV/EBIT 18,657 VND 25,718 VND 32,780 VND 66
EV/EBITDA 19,423 VND 26,740 VND 34,057 VND 67
EV/Revenue 12,592 VND 19,072 VND 25,552 VND 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5,896 VND 7,900 VND 11,791 VND 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 9,073 VND 9,363 VND 9,579 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 9,435 VND 11,066 VND 13,304 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 14,520 VND 20,743 VND 26,967 VND 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 14
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 5%

SBT screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Mondelez International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 81 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.55× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.83× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.72× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)65 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)73 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)8 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ $61.08 $28.86 −53%
The Hershey Company HSY $168.46 $91.25 −46%
Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP CHF 8,650 CHF 4,796 −45%
Barry Callebaut AG BARN CHF 1,141 CHF 654.80 −43%
ORION Corp 271560 110,100 KRW 203,315 KRW +85%
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB $39.00 $22.28 −43%
Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 ¥19.81 ¥9.09 −54%
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN ₹676.40 ₹158.54 −77%
PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI 1,265 IDR 935.74 IDR −26%
ORION Holdings 001800 23,750 KRW 92,076 KRW +288%

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Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC · Fair Value
12,587 VND −80%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SBT

Frequently asked questions

Is Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12,587 VND versus a price of 22,700 VND, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SBT?
Our model-based fair value for Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is 12,587 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 22,700 VND.
What is the quality score of SBT?
Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 12,587 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8,964 VND, optimistic scenario 17,721 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 12,587 VND, about −45% upside versus a price of 22,700 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8,964 VND, optimistic scenario 17,721 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.2T VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC pay a dividend?
Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.39% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC it is 12,587 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 22,700 VND. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SBT trades above its calculated fair value: price 22,700 VND, fair value 12,587 VND, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SBT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22,700 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (12,587 VND). For Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC the two are 10,113 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC worth?
The market values Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC at about 19.6T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 22,700 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 12,587 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SBT?
Our models span a range for Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC: cautious scenario 8,964 VND, base 12,587 VND, optimistic 17,721 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 22,700 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SBT?
Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 12,587 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 16.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.7%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SBT from its 52-week high?
Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC trades at 22,700 VND, about 11% below its 52-week high of 25,377 VND and 17% above the low of 19,434 VND (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 12,587 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 22,700 VND, calculated fair value 12,587 VND (−45%), Quality Score 32/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SBT calculated?
We run Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 12,587 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 22,700 VND. Our model-based fair value is 12,587 VND, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (17,721 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (8,964 VND to 17,721 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC

How large is the market capitalisation of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
The market capitalisation of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is 19.6T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is 0.88 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
Earnings per share at Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC are 737.77 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
The dividend yield of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is 0.4% (payout 11.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
The net margin of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
The operating margin of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
Revenue at Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is growing +12.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT)?
Earnings per share at Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC are growing +7.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT) generate?
The free cash flow of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is −1.2T VND (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC (SBT) carry?
The net debt of Thanh Thanh Cong Tay Ninh JSC is 13.1T VND (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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