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Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Starbucks Corporation THB 1.44, price THB 1.60, upside -10.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · TH · ISIN US8552441094

SC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Starbucks Corporation

SBUX80 · BK

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 1.44 THB · Overvalued (−10.0%)
!Quality 52/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +4.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!2.2% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1.84 THB 1.28 THB Fair Value 1.44 THB May 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

17‑month range 1.28 THB – 1.84 THB · fair‑value band 0.7737 THB – 2.09 THB · the 1.60 THB price screens above the 1.44 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Starbucks Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development.

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Starbucks Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee internationally. The company operates through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Its stores offer coffee, tea, and other beverages, roasted whole beans and ground coffees, complementary food, packaged coffees, single-serve products, and ready-to-drink beverages; and various food products, such as pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. The company also licenses its trademarks through licensed stores, and grocery and foodservice accounts. The company offers its products under the Starbucks Coffee, Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Ethos, and Starbucks Reserve brands. Starbucks Corporation was founded in 1971 and is based in Seattle, Washington.

Stock analysis

Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80) currently trades at 1.60 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.44 THB, 10.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 2.36 THB per share, and 8 of the 20 models we run sit above the 1.60 THB price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.6525 THB, and 12 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.7737 THB (bear) to 2.09 THB (bull), the price of 1.60 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Starbucks Corporation reported revenue of $37.2B in FY2025 versus $32.3B in FY2022, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.9B in FY2025, compounding −17.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 2.0B THB (≈ $60.2M) · P/E ratio 0.0 · EPS (TTM) 57.94 THB · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.5% · Operating margin 12.9% · Revenue (TTM) $38.3B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −10%, SBUX80 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.7737 THB Fair Value 1.44 THB Bull 2.09 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (55.46 THB per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.6278 THB 0.9853 THB 1.39 THB 77
Growth DCF 0.6454 THB 0.9720 THB 1.33 THB 75
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.25 THB 2.28 THB 3.42 THB 71
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.6278 THB 0.9853 THB 1.39 THB 77
Owner Earnings 0.1266 THB 0.3447 THB 0.5915 THB 70
5Y Revenue Exit 0.8435 THB 1.58 THB 2.47 THB 68
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.25 THB 2.28 THB 3.42 THB 71
5Y P/E Exit 0.7659 THB 1.44 THB 2.10 THB 67
10Y Revenue Exit 0.6930 THB 1.26 THB 1.93 THB 63
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.9443 THB 1.66 THB 2.52 THB 64
10Y P/E Exit 0.6892 THB 1.18 THB 1.71 THB 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.7305 THB 1.57 THB 2.00 THB 63
PEG = 1.0 0.2436 THB 0.3481 THB 0.4525 THB 55
EPV 0.5121 THB 0.6525 THB 0.7664 THB 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.77 THB 2.36 THB 2.95 THB 63
P/S Multiple 1.37 THB 1.83 THB 2.28 THB 58
EV/EBIT 2.14 THB 3.07 THB 4.01 THB 65
EV/EBITDA 2.13 THB 3.06 THB 3.99 THB 67
EV/Revenue 1.15 THB 1.93 THB 2.70 THB 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.6454 THB 0.9720 THB 1.33 THB 75
Rev-Margin DCF 0.8435 THB 1.60 THB 2.39 THB 68
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 0.5277 THB 0.6865 THB 0.8253 THB 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.31 THB 1.87 THB 2.43 THB 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 57
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−7.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 10%

SBUX80 screens overvalued: fair value 10% below the price. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 208 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −31.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 8.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.00× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD $233.60 $162.81 −30%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $32.32 $35.55 +10%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $138.28 $76.78 −44%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $71.48 $73.34 +3%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $199.75 $175.20 −12%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $40.80 $50.76 +24%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $158.45 $128.55 −19%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $301.81 $233.22 −23%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $37.89 $10.27 −73%
Guming Holdings 1364 HK$21.64 HK$31.58 +46%

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Starbucks Corporation · Fair Value
1.44 THB −10%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Starbucks Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SBUX80

Frequently asked questions

Is Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.44 THB versus a price of 1.60 THB, about −10% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SBUX80?
Our model-based fair value for Starbucks Corporation is 1.44 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.60 THB.
What is the quality score of SBUX80?
Starbucks Corporation has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.44 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7737 THB, optimistic scenario 2.09 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Starbucks Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.44 THB, about −10% upside versus a price of 1.60 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.7737 THB, optimistic scenario 2.09 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
Starbucks Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $38.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Starbucks Corporation pay a dividend?
Starbucks Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.22% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Starbucks Corporation it is 1.44 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.60 THB. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Starbucks Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SBUX80 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.60 THB, fair value 1.44 THB, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SBUX80?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.60 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.44 THB). For Starbucks Corporation the two are 0.1603 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Starbucks Corporation worth?
The market values Starbucks Corporation at about 2.0B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.60 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 1.44 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SBUX80?
Our models span a range for Starbucks Corporation: cautious scenario 0.7737 THB, base 1.44 THB, optimistic 2.09 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.60 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SBUX80?
Starbucks Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.44 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.0, EV/EBITDA 2.0.
What is the PEG ratio of SBUX80?
The PEG ratio of Starbucks Corporation is 0.00 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How far is SBUX80 from its 52-week high?
Starbucks Corporation trades at 1.60 THB, about 13% below its 52-week high of 1.84 THB and 25% above the low of 1.28 THB (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.44 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Starbucks Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, Restaurant Brands International Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Starbucks Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.60 THB, calculated fair value 1.44 THB (−10%), Quality Score 52/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SBUX80 calculated?
We run Starbucks Corporation through 20 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.44 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Starbucks Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was 1.60 THB. Our model-based fair value is 1.44 THB, about −10% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Starbucks Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide (0.7737 THB to 2.09 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Starbucks Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
The market capitalisation of Starbucks Corporation is 2.0B THB (≈ $60.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
Earnings per share at Starbucks Corporation are 57.94 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
The dividend yield of Starbucks Corporation is 2.2% (payout 0.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
The net margin of Starbucks Corporation is 5.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Starbucks Corporation is 15.5% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
The operating margin of Starbucks Corporation is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
Revenue at Starbucks Corporation is growing −1.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80)?
Earnings per share at Starbucks Corporation are growing +85.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80) generate?
The free cash flow of Starbucks Corporation is $2.4B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Starbucks Corporation (SBUX80) carry?
The net debt of Starbucks Corporation is $12.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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