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Scholastic Corporation (SCHL) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $785M

SC Scholastic Corporation logo Scholastic Corporation SCHL · US
Price$41.98
Fair Value$36.47
Upside-13.1%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.87% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/15)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range $27.17 – $36.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −7.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($36.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$47.34 $15.28 Fair Value $36.47 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $15.28 – $47.34 · fair‑value band $27.17 – $36.47 · the $41.98 price screens above the $36.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Scholastic Corporation (SCHL) currently trades at $41.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.47, implying the stock looks roughly 13.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Scholastic Corporation generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at $251M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $27.17 (bear case) to $36.47 (bull case); at $41.98, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -13%, SCHL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $28.16 $37.08 $51.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF $12.71 $17.94 $25.01 74
ROIC Compounder $0.4900 $1.53 $2.40 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $27.27 $36.64 $52.96 38
Owner Earnings $9.25 $13.71 $21.49 31
5Y Revenue Exit $12.71 $17.14 $23.59 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $34.58 $54.37 $80.55 41
10Y Revenue Exit $18.59 $23.19 $27.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $31.10 $45.66 $62.15 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.4900 $1.53 $2.40 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.96 $12.07 $14.11 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.96 $12.72 $15.71 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $5.58 $9.83 $14.07 53
EV/EBITDA $47.54 $65.77 $83.99 54
EV/Revenue $2.51 $6.64 $10.78 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $26.85 $35.98 $53.70 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $28.16 $37.08 $51.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF $12.71 $17.94 $25.01 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.4900 $1.53 $2.40 72

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($35.98) versus Earnings-Based ($1.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.9%
Net margin 3.9%
Return on equity 6.9%
Free cash flow $72.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.6
More key figures
Operating margin -8.3%
EPS (TTM) $2.41
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +26.9%
Net debt $251M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Scholastic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, publishes and distributes children's books in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Scholastic Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, publishes and distributes children's books in the United States and internationally. The Children's Book Publishing and Distribution segment engages in the publication and distribution of children's print, digital, and audiobooks, as well as media and interactive products through its school reading events and trade channels; and operates school-based book clubs and book fairs. Its original publications include Harry Potter, The Hunger Games, The Baby-Sitters Club, The Magic School Bus, Captain Underpants, Dog Man, Wings of Fire, Cat Kid Comic Club, Clifford The Big Red Dog, and I Survived, Goosebumps; licensed properties comprising the Peppa Pig and Pokémon; and publishes and creates Klutz and Make Believe Ideas titles, such as Mini Shake Shop, Pokémon Stained Glass, LEGO Miniature Photography, and the Never Touch series. The Education Solutions segment publishes and distributes classroom magazines under the Scholastic News, Scholastic Scope, Storyworks, Let's Find Out, and Junior Scholastic names; supplemental and classroom materials and programs, and related support services; print and online reference and non-fiction products; and provides consulting services. The Entertainment segment provides the development, production, distribution and licensing of kids' and family film and television content. The International segment publishes and distributes English, Hindi, and French language books; and operates school-based marketing channels, as well as supplying original and licensed children's books, and supplemental educational materials, including professional books for teachers. It distributes its products and services directly to schools and libraries through retail stores and the internet. Scholastic Corporation was founded in 1920 and is based in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Scholastic Corporation reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.6B
Latest YoY
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (35Y)
+4.3%
Revenue +5.7%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.6B
Net income
FY21 −$11.0M
FY22 $81.0M
FY23 $86.3M
FY24 $12.1M
FY25 −$1.9M

SCHL screens 13% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Scholastic Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCHL

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Publishing · 110 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Below median
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.80× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 28 · sector 21
HEALTH 87 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 37 · sector 57

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Scholastic Corporation (SCHL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.47 versus a price of $41.98, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCHL?
Our model-based fair value for Scholastic Corporation is $36.47 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $41.98.
What is the quality score of SCHL?
Scholastic Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Scholastic Corporation (SCHL)?
Scholastic Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCHL?
The net profit margin of Scholastic Corporation is about 3.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Scholastic Corporation pay a dividend?
Scholastic Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.87% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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