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Sands China Ltd (SCHYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sands China Ltd $2.18, price $1.54, upside +41.6%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Sands China Ltd
SCHYF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $2.18 · Undervalued (+41.6%)
✓Quality 62/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −4.3 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.0% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
✓6.2% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Wide moat 66/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7990 – $5.02 · fair‑value band $1.46 – $2.90 · the $1.54 price screens below the $2.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Sands China Ltd. develops, owns, and operates integrated resorts and casinos in Macao.
Show more
Sands China Ltd. develops, owns, and operates integrated resorts and casinos in Macao. The company owns and operates The Venetian Macao, The Londoner Macao, The Parisian Macao resort, The Plaza Macao, and The Sands Macao casino; the Cotai Expo, a convention and exhibition hall; and The Venetian and The Londoner Arena, an entertainment venues, as well as Cotai Water Jet ferry for leisure and business travelers. It offers ferry transportation and leasing services, and pontoon leasing; gaming and other related activities; travel and tourism agency services; security services; and human resources administration services, as well as outsourcing services, including information technology, accounting, hotel management, and marketing. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Macau. Sands China Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Las Vegas Sands Corp.
Stock analysis
Sands China Ltd (SCHYF) currently trades at $1.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.18, implying the stock looks roughly 29.4% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $3.11 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the $1.54 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.6900, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $1.46 (bear) to $2.90 (bull), the price of $1.54 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Sands China Ltd reported revenue of $4.6B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $897M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $16.4B · P/E ratio 16.4 · P/S ratio 3.21 · EPS (TTM) $0.1100 · Dividend yield 6.2% · Net margin 19.6% · Return on equity 73.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 42%, SCHYF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.46
Fair Value $2.18
Bull $2.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0106 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$2.40
$4.69
$8.60
77
Growth DCF
$2.39
$4.52
$8.08
75
EPV
$0.8000
$1.03
$1.23
74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.40
$4.69
$8.60
77
Owner Earnings
$1.75
$3.53
$6.59
72
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.7100
$1.21
$1.81
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.83
$3.49
$5.53
73
5Y P/E Exit
$1.53
$2.88
$4.37
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.24
$1.90
$2.76
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.00
$3.56
$5.83
66
10Y P/E Exit
$1.80
$3.11
$4.88
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.7500
$3.34
$4.57
64
Lynch FV
$0.8700
$1.24
$1.61
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.8700
$1.24
$1.61
57
EPV
$0.8000
$1.03
$1.23
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.5900
$1.22
$1.94
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.5900
$1.03
$1.28
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$1.83
$2.44
$3.05
63
P/S Multiple
$0.5100
$0.6800
$0.8500
58
P/B Multiple
$0.5200
$0.6900
$0.8700
55
EV/EBIT
$1.59
$2.31
$3.03
65
EV/EBITDA
$1.75
$2.53
$3.30
67
EV/Revenue
n/a
$0.1100
$0.3200
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0900
$0.1200
$0.1700
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.39
$4.52
$8.08
75
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.7100
$1.24
$1.93
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.5900
$0.8300
$1.84
70
ROIC Compounder
$0.9800
$1.51
$2.20
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.46
$2.08
$2.71
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
62/100
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Profitability
61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
55/100
Spin-off in 2025: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2025.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.1% vs −4.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−73% → 28%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.8% a year for the price and +13.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+80.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.0%
Watch SCHYF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- 'Sands China's Community Revitalization Programme for Rua das Estalagens 2026' Unveils 24 Selected Enterprises
- Sands China Ltd's Dividend Analysis
- Sands China (SEHK:1928) Is First To Receive ISO 14001:2026 Certification
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Gambling
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $38.78 | $55.26 | +42% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$31.70 | HK$46.74 | +47% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $81.12 | $147.69 | +82% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $30.47 | $18.04 | −41% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.59 | $80.89 | +173% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6150 SGD | 0.5600 SGD | −9% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $50.76 | $31.15 | −39% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $71.23 | $130.75 | +84% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $136.11 | $152.57 | +12% |
| MGM China Holdings 2282 | HK$9.60 | HK$38.25 | +298% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Sands China Ltd (SCHYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.18 versus a price of $1.54, about +42% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SCHYF?
Our model-based fair value for Sands China Ltd is $2.18 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.54.
What is the quality score of SCHYF?
Sands China Ltd has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.18 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.46, optimistic scenario $2.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sands China Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.18, about +42% upside versus a price of $1.54 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.46, optimistic scenario $2.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
Sands China Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Sands China Ltd pay a dividend?
Sands China Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.23% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sands China Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -4.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.1 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCHYF use?
Our models discount Sands China Ltd at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.48, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sands China Ltd that is -4.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sands China Ltd (SCHYF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sands China Ltd grew +22.1 % a year. The price currently implies -4.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sands China Ltd (-4.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.53 %: that much free cash flow Sands China Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sands China Ltd it is $2.18 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $1.54. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sands China Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SCHYF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.54, fair value $2.18, a gap of about +42% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCHYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.18). For Sands China Ltd the two are $0.6400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sands China Ltd worth?
The market values Sands China Ltd at about $16.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $1.54; our models calculate a fair value of $2.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCHYF?
Our models span a range for Sands China Ltd: cautious scenario $1.46, base $2.18, optimistic $2.90 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $1.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is SCHYF from its 52-week high?
Sands China Ltd trades at $1.54, about 49% below its 52-week high of $3.00 and 2% above the low of $1.51 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sands China Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Wynn Resorts, Limited, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sands China Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $1.54, calculated fair value $2.18 (+42%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCHYF calculated?
We run Sands China Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sands China Ltd currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.54. Our model-based fair value is $2.18, about +42% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sands China Ltd right now?
Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($1.46 to $2.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF) come from?
Earnings per share at Sands China Ltd grew −7.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.5 %, EBIT margin −1.4 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sands China Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
The market capitalisation of Sands China Ltd is $16.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Sands China Ltd is 16.4 (as of Jun 23, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sands China Ltd is 3.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
Earnings per share at Sands China Ltd are $0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
The dividend yield of Sands China Ltd is 6.2% (payout 87.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
The net margin of Sands China Ltd is 19.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sands China Ltd is 73.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sands China Ltd is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
The operating margin of Sands China Ltd is 18.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
Revenue at Sands China Ltd is growing +12.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +41.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sands China Ltd (SCHYF)?
Earnings per share at Sands China Ltd are growing −4.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sands China Ltd (SCHYF) carry?
The net debt of Sands China Ltd is $5.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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