PT Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk (SDMU) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 95.4B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 65.80 IDR to 31.11 IDR (−52.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (35.79 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.00 IDR – 145.00 IDR · fair‑value band 28.10 IDR – 35.79 IDR · the 83.00 IDR price screens above the 31.11 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
PT Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk (SDMU) currently trades at 83.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 31.11 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 62.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk generated revenue of 76.1B IDR at a net margin of -16.2%. Revenue declined 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.5%. Net debt stands at 97.0B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 28.10 IDR (bear case) to 35.79 IDR (bull case); at 83.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 232% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -70% fair-value upside, at -63%, SDMU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (27.61 IDR) versus Asset-Based (9.80 IDR). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk engages in the transportation of toxic and hazardous chemicals in Indonesia. The company is also involved in the transportation of toxic and hazardous chemicals, and crude. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Sidomulyo Selaras Tbk reported revenue of 77.2B IDR in FY2025 versus 82.6B IDR in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −15.8B IDR in FY2025.
of which total revenue −4.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SDMU screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc →
Peer Group
Trucking · 46 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL | $225.23 | $103.37 | -54% |
| XPO, Inc XPO | $219.29 | $56.52 | -74% |
| TFI International Inc TFII | $155.83 | $110.79 | -29% |
| Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX | $75.19 | $8.58 | -89% |
| Saia, Inc SAIA | $438.29 | $129.64 | -70% |
| Schneider National, Inc SNDR | $38.19 | $12.37 | -68% |
| RXO, Inc RXO | $27.07 | $3.48 | -87% |
| ArcBest Corporation ARCB | $147.13 | $45.89 | -69% |
| Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN | $46.04 | $8.24 | -82% |
| Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co 600611 | ¥4.55 | ¥1.20 | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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