SSC Security Services Corp (SECU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Aug 5, 2026: fair value of SSC Security Services Corp C$1.84, price C$4.40, upside -58.2%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$1.84 – C$4.41 · fair‑value band C$1.73 – C$1.84 · the C$4.40 price screens above the C$1.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SSC Security Services Corp. provides cyber, physical, and electronic security services to commercial, industrial, and public sector clients in Canada. The company's physical security services consist of on-site security guards, remote continuous camera monitoring, mobile patrol, and investigative services.
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SSC Security Services Corp. provides cyber, physical, and electronic security services to commercial, industrial, and public sector clients in Canada. The company's physical security services consist of on-site security guards, remote continuous camera monitoring, mobile patrol, and investigative services. Its cyber security services include managed security services, vulnerability and risk analysis, cyber security consulting services, CISO consulting, and cyber security staff augmentation services. The company's electronic security services comprise designs, builds, installations, and monitoring of electronic security systems. It serves federal and provincial governments, crown corporations, hospitals, airports, utility companies, and police forces. The company was formerly known as Input Capital Corp. and changed its name to SSC Security Services Corp. in October 2021. SSC Security Services Corp. is headquartered in Regina, Canada.
Stock analysis
SSC Security Services Corp (SECU) currently trades at C$4.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.84, 58.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of C$2.44 per share, and 1 of the 21 models we run sit above the C$4.40 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$0.2200, and 20 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: C$1.73 (bear) to C$1.84 (bull), the price of C$4.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SSC Security Services Corp reported revenue of C$119M in FY2025 versus C$20.3M in FY2021, a compound +55.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$159K in FY2025, compounding −46.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$80.4M (≈ $56.4M) · P/E ratio 146.7 · P/S ratio 0.20 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0300 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −58%, SECU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$1.73Fair Value C$1.84Bull C$1.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
’18
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’20
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−37.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → −1%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.9% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 105 stocks
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Is SSC Security Services Corp (SECU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.84 versus the last price from Aug 5, 2026 of C$4.40, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SECU?
Our model-based fair value for SSC Security Services Corp is C$1.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 5, 2026): C$4.40.
What is the quality score of SECU?
SSC Security Services Corp has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$1.84 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$1.73, optimistic scenario C$1.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SSC Security Services Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$1.84, about −58% upside versus the last price from Aug 5, 2026 of C$4.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$1.73, optimistic scenario C$1.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
SSC Security Services Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$128M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does SSC Security Services Corp pay a dividend?
SSC Security Services Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SSC Security Services Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +29.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +36.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SECU use?
Our models discount SSC Security Services Corp at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.67, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SSC Security Services Corp that is +29.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SSC Security Services Corp (SECU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SSC Security Services Corp grew +36.1 % a year. The price currently implies +29.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +10.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SSC Security Services Corp (+29.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.01 %: that much free cash flow SSC Security Services Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SSC Security Services Corp it is C$1.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$4.40. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SSC Security Services Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SECU trades above its calculated fair value: price C$4.40, fair value C$1.84, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SECU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$4.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$1.84). For SSC Security Services Corp the two are C$2.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SSC Security Services Corp worth?
The market values SSC Security Services Corp at about C$80.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$4.40; our models calculate a fair value of C$1.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SECU?
Our models span a range for SSC Security Services Corp: cautious scenario C$1.73, base C$1.84, optimistic C$1.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$4.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SECU?
SSC Security Services Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 146.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$1.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 10.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
Balance-sheet figures for SSC Security Services Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SECU from its 52-week high?
SSC Security Services Corp trades at C$4.40, at its 52-week high of C$4.41 and 138% above the low of C$1.85 (as of Aug 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$1.84 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SSC Security Services Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SSC Security Services Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$4.40, calculated fair value C$1.84 (−58%), Quality Score 64/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SECU calculated?
We run SSC Security Services Corp through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$1.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SSC Security Services Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
The latest price we hold is from Aug 5, 2026 and stands at C$4.40. Our model-based fair value is C$1.84, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SSC Security Services Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$1.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (C$1.73 to C$1.84), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of SSC Security Services Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
The market capitalisation of SSC Security Services Corp is C$80.4M (≈ $56.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SSC Security Services Corp is 0.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
Earnings per share at SSC Security Services Corp are C$0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 146.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
The dividend yield of SSC Security Services Corp is 2.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
The net margin of SSC Security Services Corp is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SSC Security Services Corp is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SSC Security Services Corp is −2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
The operating margin of SSC Security Services Corp is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
Revenue at SSC Security Services Corp is growing +15.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SSC Security Services Corp (SECU)?
Earnings per share at SSC Security Services Corp are growing +15.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SSC Security Services Corp (SECU) carry?
The net debt of SSC Security Services Corp is C$13.2M (fiscal year 2019, ≈ 8.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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