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Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A (SEIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · IT · Market cap €5.2M

SE Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A SEIF · MI
Price€0.2420
Fair Value€0.2055
Upside-15.1%
Quality40/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -7.1% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.1470 – €0.2640 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from €0.2057 to €0.2055 (−0.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −12.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€0.7450 €0.1840 Fair Value €0.2055 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.1840 – €0.7450 · fair‑value band €0.1470 – €0.2640 · the €0.2420 price screens above the €0.2055 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A (SEIF) currently trades at €0.2420, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2055, implying the stock looks roughly 15.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A generated revenue of €36.4M at a net margin of -7.1%. Revenue grew 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -57.9%. Net debt stands at €5.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.1470 (bear case) to €0.2640 (bull case); at €0.2420, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -15%, SEIF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €0.4300 €0.5100 €0.5900 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.4300 €0.5400 €0.6400 61
EV/EBITDA €1.29 €1.74 €2.19 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.4300 €0.5100 €0.5900 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.4300 €0.5400 €0.6400 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €1.29 €1.74 €2.19 54

Widest divergence: Multiples (€1.74) versus Dividend Discount (€0.5100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €36.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.5%
Net margin -7.1%
Return on equity -57.9%
Free cash flow −€1.4M FY2025
Operating margin -6.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.1100
EPS growth (YoY) -90.7%
Net debt €5.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A. operates as an independent multimedia publisher in Italy. The company publishes printed and digital newspaper under the Il Fatto Quotidiano name; online newspaper under the ilfattoquotidiano.it; monthly magazine under the FQ MILLENNIUM name; and the publishing house under the Paper First name.

Full company description

Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A. operates as an independent multimedia publisher in Italy. The company publishes printed and digital newspaper under the Il Fatto Quotidiano name; online newspaper under the ilfattoquotidiano.it; monthly magazine under the FQ MILLENNIUM name; and the publishing house under the Paper First name. It is also involved in the production of television content under the Loft Produzioni name; and production of shows, as well as organization of events. Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Rome, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A reported revenue of €31.5M in FY2025 versus €33.0M in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€2.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 4/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€31.5M
Latest YoY
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY21 €33.0M
FY22 €35.0M
FY23 €30.5M
FY24 €31.3M
FY25 €31.5M
Net income
FY21 €169K
FY22 €2.5M
FY23 −€2.4M
FY24 −€1.7M
FY25 −€2.6M

SEIF screens 15% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEIF

Peer Group

Publishing · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on assets -8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 38
FUTURE 43 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 57

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A (SEIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2055 versus a price of €0.2420, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SEIF?
Our model-based fair value for Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A is €0.2055 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.2420.
What is the quality score of SEIF?
Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A (SEIF)?
Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €36.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SEIF?
The net profit margin of Società Editoriale Il Fatto S.p.A is about -7.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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