Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT IDR 138, price IDR 264, upside -47.8%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range 70.00 IDR – 312.98 IDR · fair‑value band 87.51 IDR – 228.05 IDR · the 264.00 IDR price screens above the 137.75 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Semacom Integrated Tbk manufactures and sells electrical panels in Indonesia. The company also engages in assembling of electric batteries and renewable energy related activities. In addition, it is involved in power distribution systems; and installation and panel testing services.
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PT Semacom Integrated Tbk manufactures and sells electrical panels in Indonesia. The company also engages in assembling of electric batteries and renewable energy related activities. In addition, it is involved in power distribution systems; and installation and panel testing services. PT Semacom Integrated Tbk was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Bogor, Indonesia. PT Semacom Integrated Tbk is a subsidiary of Pt Semacom Global Mandiri.
Stock analysis
Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA) currently trades at 264.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 137.75 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 91.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 223.92 IDR per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the 264.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 67.59 IDR, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 87.51 IDR (bear) to 228.05 IDR (bull), the price of 264.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Semacom Integrated Tbk PT reported revenue of 168B IDR in FY2025 versus 198B IDR in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was 9.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 128B IDR (≈ $7.2M) · P/E ratio 5.4 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) 17.47 IDR · Net margin 5.7% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% · Operating margin 7.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 222% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −48%, SEMA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 87.51 IDRFair Value 137.75 IDRBull 228.05 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (12.83 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+55.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+19.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+19.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 6%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+40.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.1% a year for the price.
Compare Semacom Integrated Tbk PT with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 828 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−48% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−33% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)5.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.79× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.84× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF0.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA11.0× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)22· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 25
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 137.75 IDR versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of 264.00 IDR, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SEMA?
Our model-based fair value for Semacom Integrated Tbk PT is 137.75 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): 264.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SEMA?
Semacom Integrated Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 137.75 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 87.51 IDR, optimistic scenario 228.05 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Semacom Integrated Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 137.75 IDR, about −48% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of 264.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 87.51 IDR, optimistic scenario 228.05 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
Semacom Integrated Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 153B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Semacom Integrated Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +40.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SEMA use?
Our models discount Semacom Integrated Tbk PT at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Semacom Integrated Tbk PT that is +40.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Semacom Integrated Tbk PT grew +15.2 % a year. The price currently implies +40.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (+40.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.39 %: that much free cash flow Semacom Integrated Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Semacom Integrated Tbk PT it is 137.75 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 264.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Semacom Integrated Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SEMA trades above its calculated fair value: price 264.00 IDR, fair value 137.75 IDR, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SEMA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (264.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (137.75 IDR). For Semacom Integrated Tbk PT the two are 126.25 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Semacom Integrated Tbk PT worth?
The market values Semacom Integrated Tbk PT at about 128B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 264.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 137.75 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SEMA?
Our models span a range for Semacom Integrated Tbk PT: cautious scenario 87.51 IDR, base 137.75 IDR, optimistic 228.05 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 264.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SEMA?
Semacom Integrated Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 137.75 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 11.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SEMA from its 52-week high?
Semacom Integrated Tbk PT trades at 264.00 IDR, at its 52-week high of 264.00 IDR and 222% above the low of 82.00 IDR (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 137.75 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Semacom Integrated Tbk PT?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Semacom Integrated Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 264.00 IDR, calculated fair value 137.75 IDR (−48%), Quality Score 57/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SEMA calculated?
We run Semacom Integrated Tbk PT through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 137.75 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Semacom Integrated Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at 264.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 137.75 IDR, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Semacom Integrated Tbk PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (228.05 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (87.51 IDR to 228.05 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
The market capitalisation of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT is 128B IDR (≈ $7.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT is 0.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
Earnings per share at Semacom Integrated Tbk PT are 17.47 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
The net margin of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT is 5.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
The operating margin of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
Revenue at Semacom Integrated Tbk PT is growing −32.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA)?
Earnings per share at Semacom Integrated Tbk PT are growing −21.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Semacom Integrated Tbk PT (SEMA) carry?
The net debt of Semacom Integrated Tbk PT is 38.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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