Molinos Juan Semino S.A (SEMI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · AR · Market cap 60.3B ARS
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −2.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (9.01 ARS). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The models converge in a tight band (8.59 ARS to 9.01 ARS), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.03 ARS – 175.00 ARS · fair‑value band 8.59 ARS – 9.01 ARS · the 16.75 ARS price screens above the 8.72 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Molinos Juan Semino S.A (SEMI) currently trades at 16.75 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.72 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 47.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Molinos Juan Semino S.A generated revenue of 53.4B ARS at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue declined 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at 183M ARS. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.59 ARS (bear case) to 9.01 ARS (bull case); at 16.75 ARS, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -48%, SEMI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (19.40 ARS) versus Economic Profit (6.02 ARS). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Molinos Juan Semino S.A. engages in the production and sale of grains and byproducts in Argentina. It offers flours, gluten, native and modified starches, dextrins, proteins, and pre-mixes. The company's products are used in the food, refrigeration, textile, paper, and other industries.
Full company description
Molinos Juan Semino S.A. engages in the production and sale of grains and byproducts in Argentina. It offers flours, gluten, native and modified starches, dextrins, proteins, and pre-mixes. The company's products are used in the food, refrigeration, textile, paper, and other industries. It also exports its products to Brazil, Chile, Bolivia, Uruguay, Paraguay, Ecuador, Peru, the United States, Japan, China, Malaysia, Taiwan, Thailand, Hong Kong, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Russia. Molinos Juan Semino S.A. was founded in 1865 and is based in Carcarañá, Argentina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Molinos Juan Semino S.A reported revenue of 61.6B ARS in FY2025 versus 4.0B ARS in FY2021, a compound +97.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B ARS in FY2025.
SEMI screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 288 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.90 | ¥48.19 | +18% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥14.51 | ¥12.08 | -17% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 188.40 | kr 262.59 | +39% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,120 IDR | 7,076 IDR | +127% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 22.00 THB | 55.71 THB | +153% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,540 IDR | 3,105 IDR | +102% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,300 IDR | 7,463 IDR | +2% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,070 IDR | 7,231 IDR | +249% |
| Thaifoods Group TFGR | 10.60 THB | 23.53 THB | +122% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,845 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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