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Data-driven stock valuation

Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR (SGAMY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Communication Services · US · Market cap $2.8B · ISIN US8157941027

At a glance

SS Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR logo Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR SGAMY · US
Price$5.02
Fair Value$4.34
Upside−13.6%
Quality63/100

A solid business, but trading 16% above our fair value of $4.34.

As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR is $4.34 per share against a price of $5.02, so the fair value sits 14% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.52% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 15 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.26 to $6.22

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from $4.41 to $4.34 (−1.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +25.5% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.26 to $6.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$5.79 $2.40 Fair Value $4.34 Jan 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.40 – $5.79 · fair‑value band $3.26 – $6.22 · the $5.02 price screens above the $4.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR (SGAMY) currently trades at $5.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.34, implying the stock looks roughly 15.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $6.21 per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the $5.02 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.81, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR generated revenue of $488B at a net margin of −1.2%. Revenue grew 42.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −1.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $6.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Scenario range: $3.26 (bear) to $6.22 (bull), the price of $5.02 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −14%, SGAMY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.87 $2.54 $3.42 81
Growth DCF $1.92 $2.55 $3.35 80
Owner Earnings $0.9062 $1.20 $1.59 78
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.87 $2.54 $3.42 81
Owner Earnings $0.9062 $1.20 $1.59 78
5Y Revenue Exit $2.80 $4.34 $6.24 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.48 $5.53 $7.81 75
10Y Revenue Exit $2.33 $3.61 $5.18 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.83 $4.39 $6.29 68
Earnings-Based
EPV $3.25 $3.74 $4.16 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $4.69 $6.21 $7.73 66
EV/EBITDA $5.11 $6.76 $8.41 67
EV/Revenue $3.60 $5.07 $6.55 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.35 $1.81 $2.70 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.92 $2.55 $3.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.80 $4.35 $5.96 73
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $3.31 $3.95 $4.64 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.21) versus Asset-Based ($1.81). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) $−0.0400
Dividend yield 2.5%
Net margin −1.2% FY2026
Return on equity −1.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 17.9% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $488B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +42.8% 3y avg +9.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +248%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $22.9B FY2026
Net cash $6.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sega Sammy Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the entertainment contents business in Japan, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Entertainment Contents Business, Pachislot and Pachinko Machines Business, and Gaming Business segments.

Full company description

Sega Sammy Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the entertainment contents business in Japan, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Entertainment Contents Business, Pachislot and Pachinko Machines Business, and Gaming Business segments. The Entertainment Contents Business segment engages in the development and sale of consumer game software, such as Full Game and F2P, etc., as well as amusement machines; planning, production, and sale of animated films; and development, manufacture, and sale of toys. Its Pachislot and Pachinko Machines Business segment is involved in the development, manufacture, sale of pachislot and pachinko machines. The Gaming Business segment engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of gaming devices and casino machines; online gaming business; and development and operation of the Paradise City integrated resort. Sega Sammy Holdings Inc. was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Shinagawa, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR reported revenue of ¥517B in FY2026 versus ¥321B in FY2022, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥6.1B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$517B
Latest YoY
+20.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.4% (2021) → 9.7% (2026)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +12.7%/yr
FY22 ¥321B
FY23 ¥390B
FY24 ¥468B
FY25 ¥429B
FY26 ¥517B
Net income
FY22 ¥37.0B
FY23 ¥45.9B
FY24 ¥33.1B
FY25 ¥45.1B
FY26 −¥6.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2016-2026) +12.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.8 %

of which total revenue +2.9 % · buybacks/dilution +0.9 %

EBIT margin +7.4 %
Tax rate +1.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SGAMY screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Konami Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SGAMY

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 150 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 43% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.38× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 11.20× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE15 · sector 18
FUTURE100 · sector 7
PAST0 · sector 18
HEALTH81 · sector 100
DIVIDEND50 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Konami Group KNM £221.05 £71.97 −67%
NetEase, Inc 9999 HK$188.80 HK$263.39 +40%
Electronic Arts Inc EA $209.70 $76.57 −63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $214.69 $60.20 −72%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $41.29 $21.20 −49%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥13.90 ¥14.68 +6%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 234,500 KRW 356,218 KRW +52%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥28.57 ¥15.50 −46%
International Games System Co 3293 709.00 TWD 568.16 TWD −20%
CD Projekt S.A CDR 234.40 PLN 64.48 PLN −72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR (SGAMY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.34 versus a price of $5.02, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SGAMY?
Our model-based fair value for Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR is $4.34 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.02.
What is the quality score of SGAMY?
Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR (SGAMY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.34 (as of Aug 30, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.26, optimistic scenario $6.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.34, about −14% upside versus a price of $5.02 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.26, optimistic scenario $6.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR (SGAMY)?
Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $488B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SGAMY?
The net profit margin of Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR is about −1.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR pay a dividend?
Sega Sammy Holdings Inc ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.52% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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