The Sage Group (SGE) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · GB · Market cap 7.6B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from £8.06 to £8.09 (+0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +21.6% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (£5.36 to £10.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £4.55 – £10.83 · fair‑value band £5.36 – £10.28 · the £8.50 price screens above the £8.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
The Sage Group (SGE) currently trades at £8.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £8.09, implying the stock looks roughly 4.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Sage Group generated revenue of £2.6B at a net margin of 14.6%. Revenue grew 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 75.6%. Net debt stands at £1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £5.36 (bear case) to £10.28 (bull case); at £8.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -5%, SGE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£8.59) versus Asset-Based (£0.5400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Sage Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, offers technology solutions and services for small and medium businesses in North America, Europe, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Africa and Asia-Pacific.
Full company description
The Sage Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, offers technology solutions and services for small and medium businesses in North America, Europe, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Africa and Asia-Pacific. It offers Sage Intacct, cloud accounting and financial management software for mid-sized and growing businesses; Sage People, an integrated HR and Payroll solution; Sage 200, a scalable management solution; Sage X3, a flexible, intuitive, and tailored business solution; Sage Accounting, a cloud software for managing invoicing, cash flow, tax, and more, from anywhere. Ideal for small businesses; Sage Payroll for start-ups and small businesses manage their payroll; and Sage HR for small and mid-sized businesses for record management, leave management, staff scheduling, and expenses services. The company also provides Sage 50 accounts, that manages accounting, inventory, and payments, as well as Sage 50 payroll. The Sage Group plc was formerly known as Ployfinal Public Limited Company and changed its name to The Sage Group plc in September 1988. The company was founded in 1981 and is based in Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Sage Group reported revenue of £2.5B in FY2025 versus £1.8B in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was £369M in FY2025, compounding +6.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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