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Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Synergy Green Industries Limited stock ₹62.95, price ₹565, upside -88.9%, quality 19 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Industrials · IN · ISIN INE00QT01015

SG Synergy Green Industries Limited logo Thin data Oct 26, 2026

Synergy Green Industries Limited

SGIL · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 89% below what the stock costs today.

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.4 %/yr in INR)
Loss over the last twelve months · -2.5% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2026 1.3%
Moderate debt
Fair value ₹62.95 · Strongly overvalued (−88.9%)
Quality 19/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/13)
Narrow moat 15/100 · thin data
Thin data
Structural break⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹668.50 ₹109.91 Fair Value ₹62.95 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹109.91 – ₹668.50 · fair‑value band ₹47.21 – ₹78.68 · the ₹564.95 price screens above the ₹62.95 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

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Company profile

Synergy Green Industries Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of wind turbine casting and other large precision castings in India.

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It offers wind turbine products, such as main frame, hub, bearing housing, hollow shaft, main axle, main and rotor bearing hosing, pillow block, and rotor, as well as gear box bearing flange, casing, housing, and planet carriers.

The company also provides general engineering products, including clamp and compressor cylinder, crusher MVP base and upper frame, platen moving and stat, and pump diffuser and casing. Synergy Green Industries Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Kolhapur, India.

Stock analysis

Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL) currently trades at ₹564.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹62.95, 88.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹70.22 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹564.95 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹16.67, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹47.21 (bear) to ₹78.68 (bull), the price of ₹564.95 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Synergy Green Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹3.7B in FY2026 versus ₹2.8B in FY2022, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹46.6M in FY2026, compounding +34.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap ₹8.8B (≈ $92.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 184.9 · P/S ratio 2.35 · EPS (TTM) ₹−5.71 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −89%, SGIL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹5.83 to ₹313.49). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹47.21 Fair Value ₹62.95 Bull ₹78.68
Price ₹564.95 · Upside -88.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ₹46.64 ₹44.64 ₹44.55 76
Gordon GGM ₹10.77 ₹17.15 ₹21.45 69
DDM Multi-Stage ₹10.77 ₹16.67 ₹18.52 67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹20.38 ₹117.82 ₹163.90 63
Lynch FV ₹33.26 ₹47.51 ₹61.76 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹33.26 ₹47.51 ₹61.76 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹10.77 ₹17.15 ₹21.45 69
DDM Multi-Stage ₹10.77 ₹16.67 ₹18.52 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹47.21 ₹62.95 ₹78.68 63
P/S Multiple ₹38.22 ₹50.96 ₹63.70 58
P/B Multiple ₹235.12 ₹313.49 ₹391.87 55
EV/EBIT ₹2.77 ₹54.85 ₹106.93 57
EV/EBITDA ₹93.59 ₹175.94 ₹258.30 64
EV/Revenue n/a ₹5.83 >₹23.32 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹34.83 ₹46.68 ₹69.67 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹46.64 ₹44.64 ₹44.55 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹49.15 ₹70.22 ₹91.28 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 37
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 14
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 23
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 70
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 48
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 45
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 53
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5.9% vs 2.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

SGIL screens overvalued: fair value 89% below the price. Compare with ATI Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 255 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 19 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.3% · Below median
Return on assets 1.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −2.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −5.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −10.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.33× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 184.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B 7.89× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.45× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 33.6× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 65
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)33 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)6 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Synergy Green Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SGIL

Frequently asked questions

Is Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹62.95 versus a price of ₹564.95, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SGIL?
Our model-based fair value for Synergy Green Industries Limited is ₹62.95 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹564.95.
What is the quality score of SGIL?
Synergy Green Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹62.95 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹47.21, optimistic scenario ₹78.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Synergy Green Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹62.95, about −89% upside versus a price of ₹564.95 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹47.21, optimistic scenario ₹78.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
Synergy Green Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
Does Synergy Green Industries Limited pay a dividend?
Synergy Green Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 0.28% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 26, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Synergy Green Industries Limited it is ₹62.95 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of ₹564.95. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Synergy Green Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, SGIL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹564.95, fair value ₹62.95, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SGIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹564.95); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹62.95). For Synergy Green Industries Limited the two are ₹502.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Synergy Green Industries Limited worth?
The market values Synergy Green Industries Limited at about ₹8.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is ₹564.95; our models calculate a fair value of ₹62.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SGIL?
Our models span a range for Synergy Green Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹47.21, base ₹62.95, optimistic ₹78.68 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price ₹564.95). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SGIL?
Synergy Green Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 184.9 (as of Oct 26, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹62.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.9, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 33.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Synergy Green Industries Limited (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 1.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SGIL from its 52-week high?
Synergy Green Industries Limited trades at ₹564.95, about 15% below its 52-week high of ₹668.50 and 23% above the low of ₹458.65 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹62.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Synergy Green Industries Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Synergy Green Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price ₹564.95, calculated fair value ₹62.95 (−89%), Quality Score 19/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SGIL calculated?
We run Synergy Green Industries Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹62.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Synergy Green Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was ₹564.95. Our model-based fair value is ₹62.95, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Synergy Green Industries Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹78.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Synergy Green Industries Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
The market capitalisation of Synergy Green Industries Limited is ₹8.8B (≈ $92.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Synergy Green Industries Limited is 2.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
Earnings per share at Synergy Green Industries Limited are ₹−5.71 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 184.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
The dividend yield of Synergy Green Industries Limited is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
The net margin of Synergy Green Industries Limited is −2.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Synergy Green Industries Limited is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Synergy Green Industries Limited is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
The operating margin of Synergy Green Industries Limited is −5.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
Revenue at Synergy Green Industries Limited is growing −10.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL)?
Earnings per share at Synergy Green Industries Limited are growing −89.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL) generate?
The free cash flow of Synergy Green Industries Limited is −₹1.3B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Synergy Green Industries Limited (SGIL) carry?
The net debt of Synergy Green Industries Limited is ₹2.4B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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