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Shanthi Gears Limited (SHANTIGEAR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹34.4B

SG Shanthi Gears Limited SHANTIGEAR · NSE
Price₹393.35
Fair Value₹122.38
Upside-68.9%
Quality54/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.11% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range ₹71.22 – ₹199.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −7.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹199.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹71.22 to ₹199.44). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹671.87 ₹78.92 Fair Value ₹122.38 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹78.92 – ₹671.87 · fair‑value band ₹71.22 – ₹199.44 · the ₹393.35 price screens above the ₹122.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanthi Gears Limited (SHANTIGEAR) currently trades at ₹393.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹122.38, implying the stock looks roughly 68.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanthi Gears Limited generated revenue of ₹5.2B at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue declined 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹752M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹71.22 (bear case) to ₹199.44 (bull case); at ₹393.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -69%, SHANTIGEAR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹65.06 ₹82.76 ₹228.77 76
Growth DCF ₹50.51 ₹77.94 ₹122.76 72
Gordon GGM ₹46.04 ₹95.73 ₹151.87 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹50.42 ₹79.24 ₹126.98 38
Owner Earnings ₹73.43 ₹118.58 ₹193.36 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹78.80 ₹135.85 ₹212.79 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹103.62 ₹185.18 ₹286.11 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹119.03 ₹215.82 ₹324.33 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹65.80 ₹116.38 ₹192.33 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹84.81 ₹151.80 ₹251.60 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹94.88 ₹173.79 ₹282.49 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹67.95 ₹275.73 ₹375.22 54
Lynch FV ₹68.97 ₹98.53 ₹128.09 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹68.97 ₹98.53 ₹128.09 46
EPV ₹86.54 ₹99.33 ₹110.52 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹46.04 ₹95.73 ₹151.87 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹46.04 ₹80.72 ₹100.48 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹157.39 ₹209.85 ₹262.31 63
P/S Multiple ₹101.42 ₹135.23 ₹169.04 58
P/B Multiple ₹127.41 ₹169.88 ₹212.35 55
EV/EBIT ₹155.81 ₹204.48 ₹253.14 53
EV/EBITDA ₹141.87 ₹185.89 ₹229.91 54
EV/Revenue ₹95.00 ₹131.51 ₹168.02 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹28.68 ₹38.43 ₹57.36 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹50.51 ₹77.94 ₹122.76 72
Rev-Margin DCF ₹78.80 ₹134.02 ₹202.18 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹65.06 ₹82.76 ₹228.77 76
ROIC Compounder ₹94.86 ₹123.14 ₹160.01 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹120.00 ₹171.43 ₹222.86 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹171.43) versus Asset-Based (₹38.43). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹5.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.8%
Net margin 14.8%
Return on equity 18.2%
Free cash flow ₹254M FY2026
P/E ratio 39.3
More key figures
Operating margin 14.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹10.01
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -27.6%
Net cash ₹752M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanthi Gears Limited designs, manufactures, supplies, and services gears and gear boxes in India, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company provides helical and bevel helical, worm, extruder, and cooling tower gear boxes, as well as geared motors.

Full company description

Shanthi Gears Limited designs, manufactures, supplies, and services gears and gear boxes in India, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company provides helical and bevel helical, worm, extruder, and cooling tower gear boxes, as well as geared motors. It also offers gears and pinions; special gearboxes; and iron, iron castings, phosphor bronze, aluminum bronze, leaded bronze, and copper alloy castings. In addition, the company provides installation support, refurbishment, and on-site services. Its products are used in steel, cement, sugar, crane and material handling, power, paper, rubber and plastics, off-highway and mining, process, compressor, railway, textile, and aerospace applications. The company was founded in 1960 and is based in Coimbatore, India. Shanthi Gears Limited operates as a subsidiary of Tube Investments of India Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Shanthi Gears Limited reported revenue of ₹5.2B in FY2026 versus ₹3.3B in FY2022, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹767M in FY2026, compounding +15.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹5.2B
Latest YoY
−14.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.2%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.4%
Revenue +12.0%/yr
FY22 ₹3.3B
FY23 ₹4.5B
FY24 ₹5.4B
FY25 ₹6.0B
FY26 ₹5.2B
Net income +15.9%/yr
FY22 ₹425M
FY23 ₹671M
FY24 ₹823M
FY25 ₹960M
FY26 ₹767M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +20.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +15.2 pp

of which total revenue +14.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.8 pp

EBIT margin +8.3 pp
Tax rate −0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SHANTIGEAR screens 69% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanthi Gears Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHANTIGEAR

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 805 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth -12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.81× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 32.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 73 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

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1SIE 1SIE €281.75 €91.93 -67%
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Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 210.00 kr 112.59 -46%
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Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥39.17 ¥22.68 -42%
ABB India Limited ABB ₹7,645 ₹1,322 -83%
Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND ₹5,315 ₹1,355 -75%
Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited BHEL ₹421.70 ₹96.51 -77%
Siemens Limited SIEMENS ₹4,019 ₹746.83 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanthi Gears Limited (SHANTIGEAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹122.38 versus a price of ₹393.35, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHANTIGEAR?
Our model-based fair value for Shanthi Gears Limited is ₹122.38 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹393.35.
What is the quality score of SHANTIGEAR?
Shanthi Gears Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanthi Gears Limited (SHANTIGEAR)?
Shanthi Gears Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHANTIGEAR?
The net profit margin of Shanthi Gears Limited is about 14.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanthi Gears Limited pay a dividend?
Shanthi Gears Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.11% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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