Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Shriro Holdings Ltd A$3.02, price A$0.73, upside +313.7%, quality 83 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.4183 – A$0.8143 · fair‑value band A$2.26 – A$3.78 · the A$0.7300 price screens below the A$3.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Shriro Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes consumer products in Australia, New Zealand, the United States, China, and internationally.
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Shriro Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes consumer products in Australia, New Zealand, the United States, China, and internationally. The company offers calculators, watches, electronic musical instruments, audio products, kitchen appliances, laundry, bathroom and sanitaryware products, consumer electronics, car audio, amplifiers, professional DJ equipment, hi-fi/speakers, gas heaters, gas barbeques, pizza ovens, charcoal barbeques, electric heaters, and cooling products. It also provides home appliances, portable air conditioners, fans, air purifiers, heater, dehumidifiers, ducting solutions, laundry tubs, ironing centres, waste disposers, and related accessories. The company markets and distributes its products under its own brands, including Everdure, Everdure by Heston Blumenthal, Robinhood, Omega, and Omega Altise; and third party owned brands, such as Casio, Pioneer, Grohe, and American Standard. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Chatswood, Australia.
Stock analysis
Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM) currently trades at A$0.7300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.02, implying the stock looks roughly 75.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$2.89 per share, and 21 of the 22 models we run sit above the A$0.7300 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.3300, and 1 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$2.26 (bear) to A$3.78 (bull), the price of A$0.7300 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Shriro Holdings Ltd reported revenue of A$111M in FY2025 versus A$192M in FY2021, a compound −12.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$10.8M in FY2025, compounding −5.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$50.9M (≈ $35.7M) · P/E ratio 5.2 · P/S ratio 0.51 · EPS (TTM) A$0.1400 · Dividend yield 4.1% · Net margin 9.7% · Return on equity 31.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 314%, SHM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$2.26Fair Value A$3.02Bull A$3.78
Price A$0.7300 · Upside +313.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0865 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−11.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−0.7% vs 3.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 11%
2025 sits 65% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−26.4%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −28.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 204 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score83 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)31.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets12.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)7.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Is Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$3.02 versus a price of A$0.7300, about +314% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHM?
Our model-based fair value for Shriro Holdings Ltd is A$3.02 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.7300.
What is the quality score of SHM?
Shriro Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$3.02 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$2.26, optimistic scenario A$3.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shriro Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$3.02, about +314% upside versus a price of A$0.7300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$2.26, optimistic scenario A$3.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
Shriro Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$111M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Shriro Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Shriro Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.11% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shriro Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -26.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.3 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SHM use?
Our models discount Shriro Holdings Ltd at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shriro Holdings Ltd that is -26.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shriro Holdings Ltd grew -10.3 % a year. The price currently implies -26.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shriro Holdings Ltd (-26.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 27.00 %: that much free cash flow Shriro Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shriro Holdings Ltd it is A$3.02 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.7300. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shriro Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, SHM trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.7300, fair value A$3.02, a gap of about +314% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.7300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$3.02). For Shriro Holdings Ltd the two are A$2.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shriro Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Shriro Holdings Ltd at about A$50.9M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.7300; our models calculate a fair value of A$3.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHM?
Our models span a range for Shriro Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario A$2.26, base A$3.02, optimistic A$3.78 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$0.7300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SHM?
Shriro Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.2 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$3.02 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 9.1. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shriro Holdings Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 31.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 83/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHM from its 52-week high?
Shriro Holdings Ltd trades at A$0.7300, about 10% below its 52-week high of A$0.8143 and 8% above the low of A$0.6729 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$3.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shriro Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shriro Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$0.7300, calculated fair value A$3.02 (+314%), Quality Score 83/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHM calculated?
We run Shriro Holdings Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$3.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shriro Holdings Ltd currently trades 76 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was A$0.7300. Our model-based fair value is A$3.02, about +314% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shriro Holdings Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (83/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$2.26). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM) come from?
Earnings per share at Shriro Holdings Ltd grew −1.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.7 %, EBIT margin −0.6 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shriro Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
The market capitalisation of Shriro Holdings Ltd is A$50.9M (≈ $35.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shriro Holdings Ltd is 0.51 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
Earnings per share at Shriro Holdings Ltd are A$0.1400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
The dividend yield of Shriro Holdings Ltd is 4.1% (payout 21.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
The net margin of Shriro Holdings Ltd is 9.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shriro Holdings Ltd is 31.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shriro Holdings Ltd is 15.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
The operating margin of Shriro Holdings Ltd is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
Revenue at Shriro Holdings Ltd is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM)?
Earnings per share at Shriro Holdings Ltd are growing +233% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shriro Holdings Ltd (SHM) carry?
The net debt of Shriro Holdings Ltd is A$895K (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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