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Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Shoe Zone PLC £0.91, price £0.73, upside +24.7%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · GB · ISIN GB00BLTVCF91

SZ Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Shoe Zone PLC

SHOE · LSE

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value £0.9100 · Undervalued (+25%)
!Quality 61/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.0 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.8% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 1.3%
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 18/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£2.73 £0.4250 Fair Value £0.9100 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.4250 – £2.73 · fair‑value band £0.8000 – £1.12 · the £0.7300 price screens below the £0.9100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Shoe Zone plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a footwear retailer in the United Kingdom. The company offers boots, slippers, wellies, trainers, shoes, safety footwear, canvas, and sandals for men, women, boys, and girls. It also provides handbags, schoolbags, socks, shoe care products, and bracelets.

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Shoe Zone plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a footwear retailer in the United Kingdom. The company offers boots, slippers, wellies, trainers, shoes, safety footwear, canvas, and sandals for men, women, boys, and girls. It also provides handbags, schoolbags, socks, shoe care products, and bracelets. The company sells products through its stores and website, shoezone.com. Shoe Zone plc was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Leicester, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE) currently trades at £0.7300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.9100, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £3.14 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the £0.7300 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at £0.3400, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: £0.8000 (bear) to £1.12 (bull), the price of £0.7300 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Shoe Zone PLC reported revenue of £149M in FY2025 versus £119M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was £1.9M in FY2025, compounding −28.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 33.8M GBX · P/S ratio 0.16 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0300 · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity −3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.5% · Operating margin −7.2% · Revenue (TTM) £141M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 25%, SHOE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.8000 Fair Value £0.9100 Bull £1.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF £3.77 £5.10 £7.49 80
Growth DCF £3.92 £5.21 £7.33 79
Owner Earnings £3.78 £5.12 £7.52 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £3.77 £5.10 £7.49 80
Owner Earnings £3.78 £5.12 £7.52 77
5Y Revenue Exit £2.10 £2.58 £3.26 74
5Y EBITDA Exit £3.92 £5.73 £8.12 75
5Y P/E Exit £1.93 £2.28 £2.72 72
10Y Revenue Exit £2.73 £3.14 £3.54 68
10Y EBITDA Exit £3.83 £5.04 £6.33 70
10Y P/E Exit £2.65 £2.96 £3.22 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.2800 £0.3400 £0.3800 67
EPV £0.8000 £0.9000 £0.9900 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £1.53 £1.67 £1.87 69
DDM Multi-Stage £1.53 £1.89 £2.38 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.6700 £0.9000 £1.12 63
P/S Multiple £0.5200 £0.6900 £0.8700 58
P/B Multiple £0.5200 £0.6900 £0.8700 55
EV/EBIT £1.52 £1.99 £2.45 66
EV/EBITDA £4.67 £6.19 £7.70 67
EV/Revenue £1.07 £1.47 £1.87 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.3900 £0.5200 £0.7800 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £3.92 £5.21 £7.33 79
Rev-Margin DCF £2.10 £2.66 £3.40 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.6000 £0.6100 £0.5900 76
ROIC Compounder £0.8000 £0.9200 £1.05 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.4800 £0.6800 £0.8800 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.1% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20% vs −13%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−10% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 105 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +25% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −12% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.24× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)66 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 100
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 53

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX €52.90 €58.19 +10%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX $131.59 $84.95 −35%
Fast Retailing Co 6288 HK$33.84 HK$30.74 −9%
Ross Stores, Inc ROST $233.98 $118.41 −49%
Burlington Stores, Inc BURL $256.85 $149.57 −42%
Trent Limited TRENT ₹2,774 ₹709.49 −74%
lululemon athletica inc., LULU $102.28 $299.63 +193%
Aritzia Inc ATZ C$125.27 C$137.80 +10%
The Gap, Inc GAP $21.46 $36.67 +71%
Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN $75.02 $93.78 +25%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shoe Zone PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHOE

Frequently asked questions

Is Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.9100 versus a price of £0.7300, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHOE?
Our model-based fair value for Shoe Zone PLC is £0.9100 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.7300.
What is the quality score of SHOE?
Shoe Zone PLC has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.9100 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.8000, optimistic scenario £1.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shoe Zone PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.9100, about +25% upside versus a price of £0.7300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.8000, optimistic scenario £1.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
Shoe Zone PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £141M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shoe Zone PLC it is £0.9100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.7300. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shoe Zone PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SHOE trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.7300, fair value £0.9100, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHOE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.7300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.9100). For Shoe Zone PLC the two are £0.1800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shoe Zone PLC worth?
The market values Shoe Zone PLC at about 33.8M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.7300; our models calculate a fair value of £0.9100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHOE?
Our models span a range for Shoe Zone PLC: cautious scenario £0.8000, base £0.9100, optimistic £1.12 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.7300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shoe Zone PLC (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHOE from its 52-week high?
Shoe Zone PLC trades at £0.7300, about 10% below its 52-week high of £0.8150 and 72% above the low of £0.4250 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.9100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shoe Zone PLC?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, The TJX Companies, Inc, Fast Retailing Co, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shoe Zone PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.7300, calculated fair value £0.9100 (+25%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHOE calculated?
We run Shoe Zone PLC through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.9100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Shoe Zone PLC currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.7300. Our model-based fair value is £0.9100, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shoe Zone PLC right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.8000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE) come from?
Earnings per share at Shoe Zone PLC grew −0.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.3 %, EBIT margin +0.9 %, tax rate −0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Shoe Zone PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
The market capitalisation of Shoe Zone PLC is 33.8M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shoe Zone PLC is 0.16 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
Earnings per share at Shoe Zone PLC are £−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
The net margin of Shoe Zone PLC is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shoe Zone PLC is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shoe Zone PLC is 12.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
The operating margin of Shoe Zone PLC is −7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
Revenue at Shoe Zone PLC is growing −12.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE)?
Earnings per share at Shoe Zone PLC are growing −14.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE) generate?
The free cash flow of Shoe Zone PLC is 17.1M GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shoe Zone PLC (SHOE) carry?
The net debt of Shoe Zone PLC is 28.7M GBX (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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