Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Grupo Simec SAB de CV stock $34.27, price $26.00, upside +31.8%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $21.76 – $37.00 · fair‑value band $14.49 – $44.55 · the $26.00 price screens below the $34.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V. manufactures, processes, and distributes special bar quality (SBQ) steel and structural steel products in Mexico, the United States, Brazil, Canada, Latin America, and internationally.
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The company produces I-beams, channels, structural and commercial angles, hot rolled bars, flat bars, rebars, cold-finished bars, electro-welded wire mesh and mesh panels, and wire rods, as well as other semi-finished trade products.
Its SBQ products are used across a range of engineered end-user applications, including axles, hubs, and crankshafts for automobiles and light trucks, machine tools, and off-highway equipment; and structural steel products are used in the non-residential construction market and other construction applications.
The company also exports its steel products to Central and South America, and Europe. The company was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Guadalajara, Mexico. Grupo Simec, S.A.B. de C.V. is a subsidiary of Industrias CH, S.A.B. de C.V.
Stock analysis
Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM) currently trades at $26.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $34.27, implying the stock looks roughly 24% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $95.37 per share, and 12 of the 15 models we run sit above the $26.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.84, and 3 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $14.49 (bear) to $44.55 (bull), the price of $26.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Grupo Simec SAB de CV ADR reported revenue of 33.7B MXN in FY2025 versus 55.6B MXN in FY2021, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was 10.5B MXN in FY2025, compounding +2.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.4B Mid · P/E ratio 22.0 · P/S ratio 6.87 · EPS (TTM) $1.18 · Net margin 31.2% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 107% (5-year average) · Operating margin 15.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 32%, SIM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$14.49Fair Value $34.27Bull$44.55
Price $26.00 · Upside +31.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.01 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV$21.37$23.37$25.1474
Residual Income$25.30$33.52$58.8873
ROIC Compounder$21.88$27.22$32.3872
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings$47.52$95.37$197.8971
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$25.00$167.15$234.1463
Lynch FV$48.89$69.85$90.8061
PEG = 1.0$48.89$69.85$90.8057
EPV$21.37$23.37$25.1474
Multiples
P/E Multiple$46.87$62.50$78.1263
P/S Multiple$13.27$17.70$22.1258
P/B Multiple$45.09$60.12$75.1555
EV/EBIT$29.53$36.03$42.5466
EV/EBITDA$26.62$32.16$37.6967
EV/Revenue$22.41$27.72$33.0354
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$7.81$11.84$14.8054
Economic Profit
Residual Income$25.30$33.52$58.8873
ROIC Compounder$21.88$27.22$32.3872
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$62.29$88.98$115.6867
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.0% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.9.8% vs 24.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 16%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (84 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
AI conclusion: The almost debt-free balance sheet supports staying power through steel cycles yet negative free cash flow and missing moat signals undermine margin sustainability in this commoditized business.
Main risk: Weakening volumes and prices in steel cycles would hit revenues and profits given the focus on long steel products for construction and industry.
Grupo Simec makes long steel products for construction and industry with production sites in Mexico and North America. It runs the business with almost no debt despite sharp drops in revenue and profits last year. Does that conservative balance sheet give it real staying power through steel cycles, or does it leave the company too exposed when volumes and prices weaken?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 410 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+31.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.8% · Above median
Return on assets14.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)11.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)15.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)15.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Simec SAB de CV ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIM
Frequently asked questions
Is Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $34.27 versus a price of $26.00, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SIM?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Simec SAB de CV is $34.27 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.00.
What is the quality score of SIM?
Grupo Simec SAB de CV has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $34.27 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.49, optimistic scenario $44.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Simec SAB de CV ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $34.27, about +32% upside versus a price of $26.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $14.49, optimistic scenario $44.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
Grupo Simec SAB de CV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 31.6B MXN (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Simec SAB de CV it is $34.27 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $26.00. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Grupo Simec SAB de CV ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, SIM trades below its calculated fair value: price $26.00, fair value $34.27, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($34.27). For Grupo Simec SAB de CV the two are $8.27 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Simec SAB de CV ADR worth?
The market values Grupo Simec SAB de CV at about $4.4B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $26.00; our models calculate a fair value of $34.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIM?
Our models span a range for Grupo Simec SAB de CV: cautious scenario $14.49, base $34.27, optimistic $44.55 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $26.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIM?
Grupo Simec SAB de CV trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $34.27 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 12.9. Other multiples: PEG 4.4, P/B 1.4, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 8.3.
What is the PEG ratio of SIM?
The PEG ratio of Grupo Simec SAB de CV is 4.43 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Simec SAB de CV (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 5.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIM from its 52-week high?
Grupo Simec SAB de CV trades at $26.00, about 24% below its 52-week high of $34.35 and 5% above the low of $24.70 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $34.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Simec SAB de CV ADR?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Simec SAB de CV ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $26.00, calculated fair value $34.27 (+32%), Quality Score 57/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIM calculated?
We run Grupo Simec SAB de CV through 15 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $34.27 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Simec SAB de CV currently trades 24% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $26.00. Our model-based fair value is $34.27, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Simec SAB de CV ADR right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($14.49 to $44.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM) come from?
Earnings per share at Grupo Simec SAB de CV grew +20.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.6 %, EBIT margin +11.6 %, tax rate +2.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Grupo Simec SAB de CV
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Simec SAB de CV is $4.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Simec SAB de CV is 6.87 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Simec SAB de CV are $1.18 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
The net margin of Grupo Simec SAB de CV is 31.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Simec SAB de CV is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Simec SAB de CV is 107% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
The operating margin of Grupo Simec SAB de CV is 15.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
Revenue at Grupo Simec SAB de CV is growing +15.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −14.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Simec SAB de CV are growing +30.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM) generate?
The free cash flow of Grupo Simec SAB de CV is −1.2B MXN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Grupo Simec SAB de CV (SIM) hold?
Grupo Simec SAB de CV holds more cash than debt, 28.6B MXN net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 8, 2026