Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Simplex Infrastructures Limited ₹68.32, price ₹245, upside -72.1%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹30.50 – ₹341.25 · fair‑value band ₹54.83 – ₹88.81 · the ₹245.01 price screens above the ₹68.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Simplex Infrastructures Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified infrastructure company in India and internationally. The company offers construction and engineering services for the piling, energy and power, building and housing, marine, roads and highways, railways, urban infrastructure, real estate, and other sectors.
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Simplex Infrastructures Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified infrastructure company in India and internationally. The company offers construction and engineering services for the piling, energy and power, building and housing, marine, roads and highways, railways, urban infrastructure, real estate, and other sectors. It also builds rail infrastructure, including rail tracks, station buildings, bridges, and culverts; and designs and constructs high-rise infrastructure, such as multistoried residential towers, institutional/IT buildings, hotels, hospitals, and mass housing projects. In addition, the company builds industrial structures comprising steel and power plants; and undertakes projects for cement, aluminum, copper, engineering, automobiles, petrochemicals, fertilizers, paper textiles, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, and other industrial plants. Further, it engages in erecting various types of power infrastructures that include thermal, hydel, and nuclear, as well as ultra-mega power projects; underwater piling, which comprise steel piling; and building bridges across rivers; and undertakes ground engineering projects, including pre-cast and jointed piling, cast-in-situ, and driven and bored piling, as well as soil investigation, soil compaction, diaphragm walls, grouting, and stone columns. Additionally, the company offers airport renovation and modernization; and mining and oil drilling services, as well as leases equipment; and sells scraps. Simplex Infrastructures Limited was incorporated in 1924 and is based in Kolkata, India.
Stock analysis
Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) currently trades at ₹245.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹68.32, 72.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹85.99 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹245.01 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹42.04, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹54.83 (bear) to ₹88.81 (bull), the price of ₹245.01 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Simplex Infrastructures Limited reported revenue of ₹10.2B in FY2026 versus ₹20.3B in FY2022, a compound −15.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹400M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹18.9B (≈ $196M) · P/E ratio 41.9 · P/S ratio 1.64 · EPS (TTM) ₹5.85 · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.3% · Operating margin 4.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −72%, SIMPLEXINF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹54.83Fair Value ₹68.32Bull ₹88.81
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.98 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −16.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4.7% (2021) → 2.5% (2026)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+55.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +48.9% a year for the price.
Compare Simplex Infrastructures Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 779 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−72.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.4% · Below median
Return on assets0.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth19.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.54× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)41.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.93× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.76× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF57.9× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA52.1× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)99· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)22· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)23· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹68.32 versus a price of ₹245.01, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIMPLEXINF?
Our model-based fair value for Simplex Infrastructures Limited is ₹68.32 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹245.01.
What is the quality score of SIMPLEXINF?
Simplex Infrastructures Limited has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹68.32 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹54.83, optimistic scenario ₹88.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Simplex Infrastructures Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹68.32, about −72% upside versus a price of ₹245.01 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹54.83, optimistic scenario ₹88.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
Simplex Infrastructures Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹10.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Simplex Infrastructures Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +55.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -14.2 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SIMPLEXINF use?
Our models discount Simplex Infrastructures Limited at 14.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.69, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Simplex Infrastructures Limited that is +55.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Simplex Infrastructures Limited grew -14.2 % a year. The price currently implies +55.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Simplex Infrastructures Limited (+55.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.73 %: that much free cash flow Simplex Infrastructures Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Simplex Infrastructures Limited it is ₹68.32 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹245.01. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Simplex Infrastructures Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, SIMPLEXINF trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹245.01, fair value ₹68.32, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIMPLEXINF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹245.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹68.32). For Simplex Infrastructures Limited the two are ₹176.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Simplex Infrastructures Limited worth?
The market values Simplex Infrastructures Limited at about ₹18.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹245.01; our models calculate a fair value of ₹68.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIMPLEXINF?
Our models span a range for Simplex Infrastructures Limited: cautious scenario ₹54.83, base ₹68.32, optimistic ₹88.81 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹245.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIMPLEXINF?
Simplex Infrastructures Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.9 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹68.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 52.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Simplex Infrastructures Limited (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 5.4%, debt of 1.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIMPLEXINF from its 52-week high?
Simplex Infrastructures Limited trades at ₹245.01, about 21% below its 52-week high of ₹310.15 and 75% above the low of ₹140.30 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹68.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Simplex Infrastructures Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Simplex Infrastructures Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹245.01, calculated fair value ₹68.32 (−72%), Quality Score 28/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIMPLEXINF calculated?
We run Simplex Infrastructures Limited through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹68.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Simplex Infrastructures Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹245.01. Our model-based fair value is ₹68.32, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Simplex Infrastructures Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹88.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of Simplex Infrastructures Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
The market capitalisation of Simplex Infrastructures Limited is ₹18.9B (≈ $196M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Simplex Infrastructures Limited is 1.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
Earnings per share at Simplex Infrastructures Limited are ₹5.85 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
The net margin of Simplex Infrastructures Limited is 3.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Simplex Infrastructures Limited is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Simplex Infrastructures Limited is −0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
The operating margin of Simplex Infrastructures Limited is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
Revenue at Simplex Infrastructures Limited is growing +19.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF)?
Earnings per share at Simplex Infrastructures Limited are growing +100% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Simplex Infrastructures Limited (SIMPLEXINF) carry?
The net debt of Simplex Infrastructures Limited is ₹14.6B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 44.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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