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SIT S.p.A (SIT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IT · Market cap €53.4M

SS SIT S.p.A SIT · MI
Price€2.59
Fair Value€2.33
Upside-10.0%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range €1.64 – €2.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from €3.95 to €2.33 (−41.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Our model range runs from €1.64 (bear) to €2.33 (bull), base €2.33. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€11.37 €0.8600 Fair Value €2.33 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.8600 – €11.37 · fair‑value band €1.64 – €2.33 · the €2.59 price screens above the €2.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

SIT S.p.A (SIT) currently trades at €2.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.33, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SIT S.p.A generated revenue of €321M at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at €121M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.64 (bear case) to €2.33 (bull case); at €2.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 121% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -10%, SIT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €1.59 €2.75 €4.60 80
Residual Income €2.56 €2.34 €1.47 76
Rev-Margin DCF €1.76 €4.18 €7.23 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €1.48 €2.70 €4.83 38
Owner Earnings €1.59 €2.84 €5.01 31
5Y Revenue Exit €1.76 €4.03 €7.43 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €6.59 €12.27 €19.95 41
10Y Revenue Exit €1.47 €3.13 €4.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €4.12 €7.67 €11.65 37
10Y P/E Exit €0.1600 €0.5600 €0.9100 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.2900 €0.4300 €0.5100 54
EPV €0.6600 €1.19 €1.62 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.08 €2.31 €2.57 70
DDM Multi-Stage €2.08 €2.50 €2.96 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €0.6700 €0.8900 €1.11 63
P/S Multiple €0.5400 €0.7200 €0.9000 58
P/B Multiple €0.5400 €0.7200 €0.9000 55
EV/EBIT €4.98 €7.88 €10.77 53
EV/EBITDA €13.52 €19.27 €25.01 54
EV/Revenue €2.49 €5.15 €7.81 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €2.06 €2.77 €4.13 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €1.59 €2.75 €4.60 80
Rev-Margin DCF €1.76 €4.18 €7.23 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.56 €2.34 €1.47 76
ROIC Compounder €0.6600 €1.19 €1.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €0.4700 €0.6700 €0.8700 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€3.13) versus Earnings-Based (€0.4300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €321M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.3%
Net margin 1.4%
Return on equity 1.3%
Free cash flow €17.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 54.5
More key figures
Operating margin 3.3%
EPS (TTM) €0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) +265%
Net debt €121M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SIT S.p.A. provides smart solutions for climate control and consumption measurement in Italy and internationally. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Padua, Italy. As of June 8, 2022, SIT S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Sit Technologies S.P.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SIT S.p.A reported revenue of €319M in FY2025 versus €381M in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was €1.0M in FY2025, compounding −40.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€319M
Latest YoY
+6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY21 €381M
FY22 €393M
FY23 €326M
FY24 €300M
FY25 €319M
Net income −40.5%/yr
FY21 €8.2M
FY22 €11.2M
FY23 −€23.4M
FY24 −€31.6M
FY25 €1.0M

SIT screens 10% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SIT S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIT

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.02× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 54.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.61× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 0
FUTURE 17 · sector 23
PAST 5 · sector 28
HEALTH 49 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SIT S.p.A (SIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.33 versus a price of €2.59, about −10% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIT?
Our model-based fair value for SIT S.p.A is €2.33 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €2.59.
What is the quality score of SIT?
SIT S.p.A has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
SIT S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €321M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SIT?
The net profit margin of SIT S.p.A is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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