SIT S.p.A (SIT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SIT S.p.A stock €2.21, price €1.87, upside +18.2%, quality 56 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 20 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.8600 – €11.37 · fair‑value band €1.45 – €3.37 · the €1.87 price screens below the €2.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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SIT S.p.A. provides smart solutions for climate control and consumption measurement in Italy and internationally. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Padua, Italy. As of June 8, 2022, SIT S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Sit Technologies S.P.A.
Stock analysis
SIT S.p.A (SIT) currently trades at €1.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.21, implying the stock looks roughly 15% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €3.02 per share, and 11 of the 17 models we run sit above the €1.87 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.4600, and 6 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.45 (bear) to €3.37 (bull), the price of €1.87 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
SIT S.p.A reported revenue of €319M in FY2025 versus €381M in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was €1.0M in FY2025, compounding −40.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €44.7M Micro · P/E ratio 17.0 · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) €0.1100 · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 18%, SIT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€1.45Fair Value €2.21Bull€3.37
Price €1.87 · Upside +18.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0943 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−39.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−39.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−39.7% vs 12.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +4.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Above median
Fair Value upside+18.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.8% · Below median
Return on assets0.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)1.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)3.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−6.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.02× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)17.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.49× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SIT S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIT
Frequently asked questions
Is SIT S.p.A (SIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.21 versus a price of €1.87, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SIT?
Our model-based fair value for SIT S.p.A is €2.21 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.87.
What is the quality score of SIT?
SIT S.p.A has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.21 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 20 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.45, optimistic scenario €3.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SIT S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.21, about +18% upside versus a price of €1.87 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.45, optimistic scenario €3.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
SIT S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €316M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What growth is priced into SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SIT S.p.A would have to grow free cash flow by +6.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.1 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SIT use?
Our models discount SIT S.p.A at 15.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.07, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SIT S.p.A that is +6.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (15.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SIT S.p.A (SIT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SIT S.p.A grew -0.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +6.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SIT S.p.A (SIT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SIT S.p.A (+6.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 36.80 %: that much free cash flow SIT S.p.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SIT S.p.A it is €2.21 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €1.87. It is the blended result of 20 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is SIT S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, SIT trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.87, fair value €2.21, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.87); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.21). For SIT S.p.A the two are €0.3400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SIT S.p.A worth?
The market values SIT S.p.A at about €44.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €1.87; our models calculate a fair value of €2.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIT?
Our models span a range for SIT S.p.A: cautious scenario €1.45, base €2.21, optimistic €3.37 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €1.87). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIT?
SIT S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.0 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.21 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 7.5 (reported for FY2025: 28.3). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 11.0. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 5.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
Balance-sheet figures for SIT S.p.A (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 1.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIT from its 52-week high?
SIT S.p.A trades at €1.87, about 37% below its 52-week high of €2.95 and at the low of €1.87 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SIT S.p.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SIT S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €1.87, calculated fair value €2.21 (+18%), Quality Score 56/100, from 20 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIT calculated?
We run SIT S.p.A through 20 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €2.21 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. SIT S.p.A currently trades 15% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €1.87. Our model-based fair value is €2.21, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SIT S.p.A right now?
A fairly wide model range (€1.45 to €3.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of SIT S.p.A
How large is the market capitalisation of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
The market capitalisation of SIT S.p.A is €44.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SIT S.p.A is 0.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
Earnings per share at SIT S.p.A are €0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
The net margin of SIT S.p.A is 0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SIT S.p.A is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SIT S.p.A is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
The operating margin of SIT S.p.A is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
Revenue at SIT S.p.A is growing −6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SIT S.p.A (SIT)?
Earnings per share at SIT S.p.A are growing +265% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SIT S.p.A (SIT) carry?
The net debt of SIT S.p.A is €121M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 9, 2026