SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc (SITE) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.8B
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc
SITE · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −3.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($89.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $93.79 – $251.70 · fair‑value band $50.70 – $89.93 · the $103.86 price screens above the $71.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc (SITE) currently trades at $103.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $71.95, implying the stock looks roughly 30.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc generated revenue of $4.7B at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. Net debt stands at $789M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $50.70 (bear case) to $89.93 (bull case); at $103.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -31%, SITE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($91.51) versus Dividend Discount ($1.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of landscape supplies in the United States and Canada.
Full company description
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of landscape supplies in the United States and Canada. The company provides irrigation products, including controllers, valves, sprinkler heads, irrigation pipes, micro irrigation, and drip products; fertilizer, grass seed, and ice melt products; control products, such as herbicides, fungicides, rodenticides, and other pesticides; hardscapes, which includes pavers, natural stones, blocks, and other durable materials; landscape accessories that include mulches, soil amendments, drainage pipes, tools, and sods; nursery goods, which consist of deciduous and evergreen shrubs, ornamental, shade, evergreen trees, field grown and container-grown nursery stock, roses, perennials, annuals, bulbs, and plant species and cultivars; and outdoor lighting products that include lighting fixtures, LED lamps, wires, transformers, and accessories. It also offers consultative services consisting of assistance with irrigation project take-offs, commercial project planning, generation of sales leads, business operations, and product support services, as well as a series of technical and business management seminars; and distributes branded products of third parties. In addition, the company provides product knowledge and technical expertise, project services, and partners program services. Additionally, it offers plant varieties under the Portfolio brand; and natural stone under the Solstice brand name. The company offers its products under the LESCO, SiteOne Green Tech, and Pro-Trade brand names. It markets its products primarily to residential and commercial landscape professionals who specializes in the design, installation, and maintenance of lawns, gardens, golf courses, and other outdoor spaces through branch network and direct distribution. SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Roswell, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $3.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $152M in FY2025, compounding −10.7%/yr from FY2021.
SITE screens 31% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Friday 8/7 Insider Buying Report: SITE, LUMN
- SiteOne Landscape Supply’s Subsidiary Devil Mountain Acquires Patterson Nursery Sales
- SITE Q2 Deep Dive: Mixed Demand Trends and Cost Pressures Shape Outlook
- SiteOne Landscape Supply Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 104 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,376 | $625.61 | -55% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $45.49 | $20.64 | -55% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $232.02 | $151.92 | -35% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $326.71 | $213.01 | -35% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $385.16 | $268.10 | -30% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$232.22 | C$127.90 | -45% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $329.35 | $191.65 | -42% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$102.50 | C$76.38 | -25% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 329.20 | kr 156.35 | -53% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $44.66 | $49.47 | +11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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