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Skanska AB (SKA-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 104B SEK (≈ $10.9B) · ISIN SE0000113250

What is Skanska AB really worth?

SA Skanska AB SKA-B · ST
Pricekr 271.90
Fair Valuekr 229.11
Upside−15.7%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 19% above our fair value of kr 229.11.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.3% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Weak on valuation: 12 out of 100

For context

·5.15% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 156.41 – kr 305.77

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −0.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 156.41 to kr 305.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 275.40 kr 112.85 Fair Value kr 229.11 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 112.85 – kr 275.40 · fair‑value band kr 156.41 – kr 305.77 · the kr 271.90 price screens above the kr 229.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Skanska AB (SKA-B) currently trades at kr 271.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 229.11, implying the stock looks roughly 18.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 245.67 per share, and 4 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 271.90 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 104.87, and 18 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Skanska AB generated revenue of 172B SEK at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue declined 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at 5.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 156.41 (bear case) to kr 305.77 (bull case); at kr 271.90, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −16%, SKA-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence kr 118.94 kr 158.20 kr 227.08 81
Growth DCF kr 122.93 kr 160.90 kr 223.01 79
Owner Earnings kr 176.14 kr 236.59 kr 342.62 77
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence kr 118.94 kr 158.20 kr 227.08 81
Owner Earnings kr 176.14 kr 236.59 kr 342.62 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 135.58 kr 197.55 kr 283.67 72
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 185.73 kr 283.57 kr 406.90 75
5Y P/E Exit kr 175.97 kr 266.83 kr 369.38 71
10Y Revenue Exit kr 124.34 kr 177.76 kr 240.35 67
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 159.19 kr 234.83 kr 323.35 69
10Y P/E Exit kr 153.17 kr 223.73 kr 298.07 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 98.27 kr 178.04 kr 219.85 66
EPV kr 126.41 kr 145.33 kr 161.88 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 227.61 kr 303.48 kr 379.35 63
P/S Multiple kr 184.25 kr 245.67 kr 307.09 58
P/B Multiple kr 184.25 kr 245.67 kr 307.09 55
EV/EBIT kr 213.20 kr 279.96 kr 346.72 66
EV/EBITDA kr 258.52 kr 340.38 kr 422.25 67
EV/Revenue kr 155.86 kr 217.13 kr 278.39 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 78.26 kr 104.87 kr 156.53 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 122.93 kr 160.90 kr 223.01 79
Rev-Margin DCF kr 135.58 kr 199.11 kr 274.13 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 134.80 kr 147.90 kr 207.62 76
ROIC Compounder kr 126.41 kr 145.33 kr 163.80 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 161.02 kr 230.03 kr 299.04 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 245.67) versus Asset-Based (kr 104.87). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.8 as of Jun 8, 2026
P/S ratio 0.58 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 13.76 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.8
Dividend yield 5.1% payout 102%
Net margin 3.2% FY2025
Return on equity 9.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 172B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −10.0% 3y avg +2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 4.1B SEK FY2025
Net debt 5.4B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Skanska AB (publ) operates as a construction and project development company in the Nordics, Europe, and the United States. It operates through four segments: Construction, Residential Development, Commercial Property Development, and Investment Properties.

Full company description

Skanska AB (publ) operates as a construction and project development company in the Nordics, Europe, and the United States. It operates through four segments: Construction, Residential Development, Commercial Property Development, and Investment Properties. The Construction segment builds social infrastructure, including schools, hospitals, healthcare, and judicial buildings; mass transit comprising rails, subways, and airports; highways, bridges, and tunnels; data centers and advanced tech manufacturing buildings/facilities; energy; defense-related buildings and infrastructure; offices, manufacturing, and other commercial buildings; and residential multifamily buildings. Its Residential Development segment develops and builds single and multifamily homes. The Commercial Property Development segment initiates, develops, leases, and divests in offices, life-science, and logistics and commercial warehouses, as well as residential rental properties. Its Investment Properties segment invests and manages office properties. The company was formerly known as Skånska Cementgjuteriet and changed its name to Skanska AB (publ) in December 1983. Skanska AB (publ) was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Skanska AB reported revenue of 177B SEK in FY2025 versus 144B SEK in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 5.7B SEK in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
177B SEK
Latest YoY
+0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+1.5% (−3.6 + 5.1)
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY21 144B SEK
FY22 163B SEK
FY23 167B SEK
FY24 176B SEK
FY25 177B SEK
Net income −4.5%/yr
FY21 6.9B SEK
FY22 8.3B SEK
FY23 5.0B SEK
FY24 5.6B SEK
FY25 5.7B SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.8 %

of which total revenue +1.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −2.2 %
Tax rate +0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SKA-B screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Skanska AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SKA-B

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 817 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth −10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.69× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.61× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.82× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE12 · sector 17
FUTURE0 · sector 12
PAST39 · sector 26
HEALTH96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND100 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $620.06 $143.92 −77%
Vinci SA DG €114.35 €185.62 +62%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,615 $519.97 −68%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 −46%
Ferrovial N.V FER €57.28 €19.17 −67%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €426.40 €203.87 −52%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 373,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −30%
EMCOR Group EME $775.04 $549.47 −29%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $241.00 $100.00 −59%
Bouygues SA EN €46.65 €65.67 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Skanska AB (SKA-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 229.11 versus a price of kr 271.90, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SKA-B?
Our model-based fair value for Skanska AB is kr 229.11 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 271.90.
What is the quality score of SKA-B?
Skanska AB has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Skanska AB (SKA-B)?
Skanska AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 172B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SKA-B?
The net profit margin of Skanska AB is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Skanska AB pay a dividend?
Skanska AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.15% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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