SMC Corp (SMECF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $26.5B · ISIN JP3162600005
What is SMC Corp really worth?
SMC Corp
SMECF · US
A solid business, but trading 44% above our fair value of $302.03.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 31, 2026, revised from $306.91 to $302.03 (−1.6%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −7.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($392.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($211.42 to $392.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $288.86 – $661.25 · fair‑value band $211.42 – $392.65 · the $434.00 price screens above the $302.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
SMC Corp (SMECF) currently trades at $434.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $302.03, implying the stock looks roughly 43.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $352.07 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $434.00 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $115.81, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, SMC Corp generated revenue of $843B at a net margin of 19.9%. Revenue grew 15.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $663B. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $211.42 (bear case) to $392.65 (bull case); at $434.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −30%, SMECF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($352.07) versus Earnings-Based ($115.81). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).
Notify me when SMECF reaches fair value
Put SMECF on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
SMC Corporation manufactures, processes, and sells automatic control equipment worldwide. The company offers air management system, directional control valves, air cylinders, rotary actuators, air grippers, magnet grippers, electric actuators/cylinders, vacuum equipment, air grippers for collaborative robots, compact compressor, air preparation equipment, …
Full company description
SMC Corporation manufactures, processes, and sells automatic control equipment worldwide. The company offers air management system, directional control valves, air cylinders, rotary actuators, air grippers, magnet grippers, electric actuators/cylinders, vacuum equipment, air grippers for collaborative robots, compact compressor, air preparation equipment, modular F.R.L., pressure control equipment, booster regulators, lubrication equipment, gas generator, fittings and tubing, flow control equipment, speed controllers, silencers/exhaust cleaners/pressure gauges, air blowing equipment, switches/sensors/controllers, static neutralization equipment/ionizers, industrial device communication equipment/wireless system, process valves, chemical valves/fittings & tubing/needle valves, process pumps/diaphragm pumps, temperature control equipment, process gas equipment ap tech, high vacuum equipment, industrial filters/sintered metal elements, pneumatic instrumentation equipment, hydraulic equipment, and specialized products for general use. It serves automobiles, semiconductor/liquid crystal/electric, machine tool, food/beverages, physicochemical/medical/pharmaceutical, agriculture, energy, production facility, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Shoketsu Kinzoku Kogyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SMC Corporation in April 1986. SMC Corporation was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
SMC Corp reported revenue of ¥848B in FY2026 versus ¥727B in FY2022, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥168B in FY2026, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +6.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SMECF screens 44% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc GEV | $953.09 | $131.95 | −86% |
| SIE SIE | €289.85 | €139.77 | −52% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $402.78 | $168.65 | −58% |
| Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH | $995.02 | $398.69 | −60% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 206.60 | kr 112.59 | −46% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $564.40 | $348.94 | −38% |
| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $281.67 | $145.84 | −48% |
| Emerson Electric Co EMR | $155.18 | $58.44 | −62% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $236.25 | $125.80 | −47% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $417.53 | $125.76 | −70% |
Compare SMC Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is SMC Corp (SMECF) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of SMECF?
What is the quality score of SMECF?
What is the revenue of SMC Corp (SMECF)?
What is the net profit margin of SMECF?
Does SMC Corp pay a dividend?
Watch SMC Corp in the live analysis
One click puts SMC Corp on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.