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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation THB 9.02, price THB 3.78, upside +138.5%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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SM
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation
SMIC01 · BKCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value 9.02 THB · Strongly undervalued (+138.5%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +8.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
9‑month range 3.02 THB – 5.60 THB · fair‑value band 6.02 THB – 11.72 THB · the 3.78 THB price screens below the 9.02 THB fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, testing, and sale of integrated circuits wafer and various compound semiconductors in the United States, China, and Eurasia.
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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, testing, and sale of integrated circuits wafer and various compound semiconductors in the United States, China, and Eurasia. The company is also involved in the manufacturing, sale, and trading of semiconductor products; and research and development activities. In addition, it offers semiconductor foundry and technology services; supporting services comprising design and IP support, photomask manufacturing, etc.; development, design, and technical services related to integrated circuits; marketing related services; and private education services. Further, the company tests and sells self-produced products, and other services. Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01) currently trades at 3.78 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.02 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 58.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 75.49 THB per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the 3.78 THB price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 14.05 THB, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 6.02 THB (bear) to 11.72 THB (bull), the price of 3.78 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation reported revenue of $9.3B in FY2025 versus $7.3B in FY2022, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was $685M in FY2025, compounding −27.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap 35.6B THB (≈ $1.1B) · P/E ratio 1.4 · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) 2.97 THB · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% · Operating margin 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 139%, SMIC01 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 6.02 THB
Fair Value 9.02 THB
Bull 11.72 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.25 THB per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV
10.29 THB
14.05 THB
17.18 THB
70
ROIC Compounder
10.29 THB
14.05 THB
17.18 THB
68
EV/EBITDA
257.18 THB
348.67 THB
440.15 THB
66
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
19.53 THB
108.26 THB
150.28 THB
58
Lynch FV
30.21 THB
43.16 THB
56.10 THB
56
PEG = 1.0
30.21 THB
43.16 THB
56.10 THB
52
EPV
10.29 THB
14.05 THB
17.18 THB
70
Multiples
P/E Multiple
60.30 THB
80.40 THB
100.50 THB
61
P/S Multiple
36.61 THB
48.81 THB
61.02 THB
56
P/B Multiple
36.61 THB
48.81 THB
61.02 THB
53
EV/EBIT
61.24 THB
87.42 THB
113.59 THB
64
EV/EBITDA
257.18 THB
348.67 THB
440.15 THB
66
EV/Revenue
22.42 THB
39.43 THB
56.44 THB
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
44.93 THB
60.20 THB
89.85 THB
52
Economic Profit
Residual Income
61.47 THB
58.41 THB
58.35 THB
66
ROIC Compounder
10.29 THB
14.05 THB
17.18 THB
68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
52.84 THB
75.49 THB
98.14 THB
63
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
49/100
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Profitability
19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.25% → 11%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 329 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Valuation of the Thailand market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $228.38 | $198.56 | −13% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $459.20 | $505.12 | +10% |
| Broadcom Inc AVGO | $351.19 | $303.10 | −14% |
| Micron Technology, Inc MU | $1,054 | $151.51 | −86% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD | $611.76 | $122.60 | −80% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,833,000 KRW | 2,016,300 KRW | +10% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | $115.93 | $33.67 | −71% |
| Arm Holdings ARM | $310.32 | $44.44 | −86% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 5,285 TWD | 3,142 TWD | −41% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $280.09 | $81.75 | −71% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9.02 THB versus a price of 3.78 THB, about +139% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMIC01?
Our model-based fair value for Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is 9.02 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.78 THB.
What is the quality score of SMIC01?
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 9.02 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.02 THB, optimistic scenario 11.72 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 9.02 THB, about +139% upside versus a price of 3.78 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 6.02 THB, optimistic scenario 11.72 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation it is 9.02 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 3.78 THB. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SMIC01 trades below its calculated fair value: price 3.78 THB, fair value 9.02 THB, a gap of about +139% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMIC01?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3.78 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (9.02 THB). For Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation the two are 5.24 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation worth?
The market values Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation at about 35.6B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 3.78 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 9.02 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMIC01?
Our models span a range for Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation: cautious scenario 6.02 THB, base 9.02 THB, optimistic 11.72 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 3.78 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMIC01?
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 9.02 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 0.1, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.1.
What is the PEG ratio of SMIC01?
The PEG ratio of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is 0.05 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
Balance-sheet figures for Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.6%, debt of 0.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 3.78 THB, calculated fair value 9.02 THB (+139%), Quality Score 49/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMIC01 calculated?
We run Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 9.02 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was 3.78 THB. Our model-based fair value is 9.02 THB, about +139% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (6.02 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (6.02 THB to 11.72 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
The market capitalisation of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is 35.6B THB (≈ $1.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is 0.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
Earnings per share at Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation are 2.97 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
The net margin of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is 7.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is 1.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
The operating margin of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01)?
Revenue at Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is growing +11.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01) generate?
The free cash flow of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is −$5.2B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC01) carry?
The net debt of Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation is $6.7B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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