Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Shemen Industries Ltd ILS 29.83, price ILS 14.80, upside +101.6%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.53 ILA – 21.60 ILA · fair‑value band 26.18 ILA – 33.19 ILA · the 14.80 ILA price screens below the 29.83 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shemen Industries Ltd engages in leasing real estate properties to various tenants. The company is based in Haifa, Israel.
Stock analysis
Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN) currently trades at 14.80 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.83 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 50.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 54.94 ILA per share, and 14 of the 22 models we run sit above the 14.80 ILA price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 10.89 ILA, and 8 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 26.18 ILA (bear) to 33.19 ILA (bull), the price of 14.80 ILA sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Shemen Industries Ltd reported revenue of 5.8M ILS in FY2022 versus 560M ILS in FY2018, a compound −68.1%/yr. Reported net income was 71.7M ILS in FY2022, compounding +142.0%/yr from FY2018.
Key figures
Market cap 469M ILA · P/E ratio 4.5 · P/S ratio 55.7 · EPS (TTM) 3.30 ILA · Net margin 1,241% · Return on equity 22.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% · Operating margin −107%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at 102%, SMNIN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 26.18 ILAFair Value 29.83 ILABull 33.19 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+33.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+33.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2017 to 2022 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 1,881%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +41.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Operations · 37 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+102% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23% · Top 25%
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−107% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth36% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Operations median · lower = cheaper
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Is Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 29.83 ILA versus a price of 14.80 ILA, about +102% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMNIN?
Our model-based fair value for Shemen Industries Ltd is 29.83 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.80 ILA.
What is the quality score of SMNIN?
Shemen Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 29.83 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 26.18 ILA, optimistic scenario 33.19 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shemen Industries Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 29.83 ILA, about +102% upside versus a price of 14.80 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 26.18 ILA, optimistic scenario 33.19 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
Shemen Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.8M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shemen Industries Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +44.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -60.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMNIN use?
Our models discount Shemen Industries Ltd at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.07, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shemen Industries Ltd that is +44.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shemen Industries Ltd grew -60.0 % a year. The price currently implies +44.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shemen Industries Ltd (+44.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.00 %: that much free cash flow Shemen Industries Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shemen Industries Ltd it is 29.83 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 14.80 ILA. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shemen Industries Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SMNIN trades below its calculated fair value: price 14.80 ILA, fair value 29.83 ILA, a gap of about +102% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMNIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.80 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (29.83 ILA). For Shemen Industries Ltd the two are 15.03 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shemen Industries Ltd worth?
The market values Shemen Industries Ltd at about 469M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 14.80 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 29.83 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMNIN?
Our models span a range for Shemen Industries Ltd: cautious scenario 26.18 ILA, base 29.83 ILA, optimistic 33.19 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 14.80 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMNIN?
Shemen Industries Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 29.83 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 26.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shemen Industries Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 22.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMNIN from its 52-week high?
Shemen Industries Ltd trades at 14.80 ILA, about 21% below its 52-week high of 18.80 ILA and 14% above the low of 12.99 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 29.83 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shemen Industries Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value SMPH, AC, ALI, MEG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shemen Industries Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 14.80 ILA, calculated fair value 29.83 ILA (+102%), Quality Score 69/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMNIN calculated?
We run Shemen Industries Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 29.83 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Shemen Industries Ltd currently trades 102 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 14.80 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 29.83 ILA, about +102% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shemen Industries Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (26.18 ILA). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Shemen Industries Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
The market capitalisation of Shemen Industries Ltd is 469M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shemen Industries Ltd is 55.7 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
Earnings per share at Shemen Industries Ltd are 3.30 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
The net margin of Shemen Industries Ltd is 1,241% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shemen Industries Ltd is 22.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shemen Industries Ltd is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
The operating margin of Shemen Industries Ltd is −107% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
Revenue at Shemen Industries Ltd is growing +35.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −77.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
Earnings per share at Shemen Industries Ltd are growing −61.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN) hold?
Shemen Industries Ltd holds more cash than debt, 5.0M ILA net (fiscal year 2022). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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