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Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · Il · Market cap 469M ILA

SI Shemen Industries Ltd SMNIN · TA
Price14.84 ILA
Fair Value40.84 ILA
Upside+175.2%
Quality69/100
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Mixed Growth
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/8)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range 34.21 ILA – 47.38 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price −9.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 175% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (34.21 ILA). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

22.75 ILA 7.93 ILA Fair Value 40.84 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7.93 ILA – 22.75 ILA · fair‑value band 34.21 ILA – 47.38 ILA · the 14.84 ILA price screens below the 40.84 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN) currently trades at 14.84 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.84 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 175.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 5.8M ILA. Revenue grew 35.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.0M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 34.21 ILA (bear case) to 47.38 ILA (bull case); at 14.84 ILA, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 62% fair-value upside, at 175%, SMNIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1.49 ILA 1.83 ILA 2.37 ILA 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.9100 ILA 1.07 ILA 1.24 ILA 74
ROIC Compounder 30.48 ILA 35.61 ILA 40.50 ILA 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.45 ILA 1.81 ILA 2.43 ILA 38
Owner Earnings 26.38 ILA 34.32 ILA 47.64 ILA 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.9100 ILA 1.05 ILA 1.25 ILA 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 23.83 ILA 40.67 ILA 62.97 ILA 41
5Y P/E Exit 25.25 ILA 43.13 ILA 64.36 ILA 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1.14 ILA 1.26 ILA 1.37 ILA 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 13.86 ILA 23.63 ILA 34.42 ILA 37
10Y P/E Exit 14.65 ILA 25.02 ILA 35.17 ILA 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 21.97 ILA 26.86 ILA 30.21 ILA 54
EPV 30.48 ILA 34.60 ILA 38.04 ILA 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 50.90 ILA 67.86 ILA 84.83 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 0.3100 ILA 0.4200 ILA 0.5200 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 41.20 ILA 54.94 ILA 68.67 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 62.71 ILA 83.53 ILA 104.35 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 48.18 ILA 64.16 ILA 80.14 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 0.5200 ILA 0.6300 ILA 0.7500 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.12 ILA 10.89 ILA 16.25 ILA 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.49 ILA 1.83 ILA 2.37 ILA 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.9100 ILA 1.07 ILA 1.24 ILA 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 18.25 ILA 24.13 ILA 73.82 ILA 61
ROIC Compounder 30.48 ILA 35.61 ILA 40.50 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 35.94 ILA 51.34 ILA 66.75 ILA 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (54.94 ILA) versus Growth DCF (1.07 ILA). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.8M ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +35.6%
Net margin 1,241%
Return on equity 22.9%
Free cash flow 3.3M ILA FY2022
P/E ratio 6.4
More key figures
Operating margin -107%
EPS (TTM) 3.30 ILA
EPS growth (YoY) -61.5%
Net cash 5.0M ILA FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 91
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shemen Industries Ltd engages in leasing real estate properties to various tenants. The company is based in Haifa, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years

Shemen Industries Ltd reported revenue of 5.8M ILA in FY2022 versus 560M ILA in FY2018, a compound −68.1%/yr. Reported net income was 71.7M ILA in FY2022, compounding +142.0%/yr from FY2018.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2022)
5.8M ILS
Latest YoY
+112.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−77.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−60.0%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.3%
Revenue −68.1%/yr
FY18 560M ILA
FY19 509M ILA
FY20 489M ILA
FY21 2.7M ILA
FY22 5.8M ILA
Net income +142.0%/yr
FY18 2.1M ILA
FY19 −7.4M ILA
FY20 −88.8M ILA
FY21 10.5M ILA
FY22 71.7M ILA

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Shemen Industries Ltd · Fair Value
40.84 ILA +175%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shemen Industries Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMNIN

Peer Group

Real Estate Operations · 38 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +175% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -107% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 100
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 92 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 0

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

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DDPR DDPR 93.00 PHP 112.27 PHP +21%
ALLHC ALLHC 1.16 PHP 0.7200 PHP -38%
DMW DMW 5.00 PHP 5.83 PHP +17%
FLI FLI 0.7000 PHP 1.75 PHP +150%
SLI SLI 2.08 PHP 5.20 PHP +150%
PT Rimo International Lestari Tbk RIMO 50.00 IDR 80.85 IDR +62%
BEL BEL 1.21 PHP 3.03 PHP +150%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.84 ILA versus a price of 14.84 ILA, about +175% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMNIN?
Our model-based fair value for Shemen Industries Ltd is 40.84 ILA (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 14.84 ILA.
What is the quality score of SMNIN?
Shemen Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shemen Industries Ltd (SMNIN)?
Shemen Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.8M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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