Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Smothong Group Public Company Limited THB 12.26, price THB 3.26, upside +276.1%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
11‑month range 3.19 THB – 4.90 THB · fair‑value band 5.02 THB – 15.76 THB · the 3.26 THB price screens below the 12.26 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Smothong Group Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and distribution of crude palm oil in Thailand. It offers crude palm oil and palm kernel oil, as well as by-products, including palm shells, palm fibers, empty palm bunches, chopped palm bunches, palm cakes, and dried palm cakes.
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Smothong Group Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and distribution of crude palm oil in Thailand. It offers crude palm oil and palm kernel oil, as well as by-products, including palm shells, palm fibers, empty palm bunches, chopped palm bunches, palm cakes, and dried palm cakes. The company is also involved in producing and distributing electricity from biogas fuel. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Surat Thani, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO) currently trades at 3.26 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.26 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 73.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 33.78 THB per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the 3.26 THB price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2.20 THB, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 5.02 THB (bear) to 15.76 THB (bull), the price of 3.26 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Smothong Group Public Company Limited reported revenue of 9.9B THB in FY2025 versus 5.9B THB in FY2023, a compound +29.6%/yr. Reported net income was 679M THB in FY2025, compounding +76.3%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap 3.5B THB (≈ $105M) · P/E ratio 4.1 · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) 0.8000 THB · Dividend yield 10.7% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 32.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 276%, SMO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 5.02 THBFair Value 12.26 THBBull 15.76 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3403 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.3% a year for the price.
Compare Smothong Group Public Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 284 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)32.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets10.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)6.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−0.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth56.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)10.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Smothong Group Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMO
Frequently asked questions
Is Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.26 THB versus a price of 3.26 THB, about +276% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMO?
Our model-based fair value for Smothong Group Public Company Limited is 12.26 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3.26 THB.
What is the quality score of SMO?
Smothong Group Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 12.26 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.02 THB, optimistic scenario 15.76 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Smothong Group Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 12.26 THB, about +276% upside versus a price of 3.26 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 5.02 THB, optimistic scenario 15.76 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
Smothong Group Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.8B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Smothong Group Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Smothong Group Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Smothong Group Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +21.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew +29.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMO use?
Our models discount Smothong Group Public Company Limited at 14.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Smothong Group Public Company Limited that is +21.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Smothong Group Public Company Limited grew +29.6 % a year. The price currently implies +21.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Smothong Group Public Company Limited (+21.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.31 %: that much free cash flow Smothong Group Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Smothong Group Public Company Limited it is 12.26 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 3.26 THB. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Smothong Group Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SMO trades below its calculated fair value: price 3.26 THB, fair value 12.26 THB, a gap of about +276% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3.26 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (12.26 THB). For Smothong Group Public Company Limited the two are 9.00 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Smothong Group Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Smothong Group Public Company Limited at about 3.5B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 3.26 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 12.26 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMO?
Our models span a range for Smothong Group Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 5.02 THB, base 12.26 THB, optimistic 15.76 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 3.26 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMO?
Smothong Group Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 12.26 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Smothong Group Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 32.8%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 69/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Smothong Group Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Smothong Group Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 3.26 THB, calculated fair value 12.26 THB (+276%), Quality Score 69/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMO calculated?
We run Smothong Group Public Company Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 12.26 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Smothong Group Public Company Limited currently trades 73 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 3.26 THB. Our model-based fair value is 12.26 THB, about +276% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Smothong Group Public Company Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (5.02 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (5.02 THB to 15.76 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Smothong Group Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
The market capitalisation of Smothong Group Public Company Limited is 3.5B THB (≈ $105M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Smothong Group Public Company Limited is 0.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
Earnings per share at Smothong Group Public Company Limited are 0.8000 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
The dividend yield of Smothong Group Public Company Limited is 10.7% (payout 43.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
The net margin of Smothong Group Public Company Limited is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Smothong Group Public Company Limited is 32.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Smothong Group Public Company Limited is 12.8% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
The operating margin of Smothong Group Public Company Limited is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
Revenue at Smothong Group Public Company Limited is growing +56.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO)?
Earnings per share at Smothong Group Public Company Limited are growing −24.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Smothong Group Public Company Limited (SMO) carry?
The net debt of Smothong Group Public Company Limited is 386M THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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