Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Standard Motor Products Inc stock $38.86, price $44.46, that is 12.6% below the price, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 25 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $20.79 – $46.80 · fair‑value band $26.64 – $50.51 · the $44.46 price screens above the $38.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Standard Motor Products, Inc. manufactures and distributes replacement automotive parts in the United States, Europe, Canada, Mexico, Poland, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Vehicle Control, Temperature Control, Nissens Automotive, and Engineered Solutions.
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It provides ignition, emissions, and fuel delivery systems, such as air injection and induction components, air management valves, regulators and solenoids, exhaust gas recirculation components, fuel injectors and components, fuel valves, ignition coils, connectors and sockets, modules, pumps, relays and fuses, starting and charging system parts, and vapor and purge components.
The company also offers electrical switches and actuators; anti-lock brake and vehicle speed sensors, fluid level sensors, and pressure sensors comprising tire pressure monitoring, temperature sensors, advanced driver assistance systems sensors, battery cables, pigtails, and sockets; electrical wire, terminals, connectors, and tools for servicing a vehicle's electrical system; and spark plug, coil on plug boots, and ignition system accessories.
In addition, it offers AC system components; other thermal components; and engine cooling, air conditioning, and engine efficiency products.
Further, it provides thermal management products, sensors, switches, power distribution, electrification and electronics, injections and fuel delivery, ignition and emissions, and clamping devices for commercial and light vehicles, construction, agriculture, power sports, marine, hydraulics, and lawn and garden sectors.
It serves retailers, warehouse distributors, original equipment manufacturers and their suppliers, system integrators, and original equipment service part manufacturers. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.
Stock analysis
Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) currently trades at $44.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.86, 13% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $54.80 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the $44.46 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.46, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $26.64 (bear) to $50.51 (bull), the price of $44.46 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Standard Motor Products Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $41.3M in FY2025, compounding −17.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.0B Small · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) $4.03 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 3.8% · Return on equity 13.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −13%, SMP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$26.64Fair Value $38.86Bull$50.51
Price $44.46 · Downside -12.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.16 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFn/a$3.81$12.8577
Residual Income$23.10$23.61$25.0976
Growth DCFn/a$3.41$11.1775
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFn/a$3.81$12.8577
Owner Earningsn/an/a$1.5873
5Y Revenue Exit$22.99$53.52$91.9569
5Y EBITDA Exit$33.19$71.85$115.8173
5Y P/E Exit$1.37$14.70$28.0964
10Y Revenue Exit$10.07$33.77$64.3762
10Y EBITDA Exit$17.66$45.26$80.5665
10Y P/E Exitn/a$9.42$21.0561
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$12.58$31.59$41.0065
PEG = 1.0$5.80$8.29$10.7857
EPV$33.79$41.58$48.0974
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$9.65$16.35$23.6867
DDM Multi-Stage$9.65$13.87$17.9067
Multiples
P/E Multiple$30.53$40.70$50.8863
P/S Multiple$23.59$31.45$39.3258
P/B Multiple$28.93$38.58$48.2255
EV/EBIT$83.91$120.98$158.0565
EV/EBITDA$64.50$95.10$125.7066
EV/Revenue$40.04$68.90$97.7652
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$4.82$6.46$9.6454
Growth DCF
Growth DCFn/a$3.41$11.1775
Rev-Margin DCF$22.99$53.22$85.7370
Economic Profit
Residual Income$23.10$23.61$25.0976
ROIC Compounder$34.27$44.77$56.1872
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$23.47$33.53$43.5967
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.
In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors sold shares worth $1.2M and none bought.
SaleCarmine Joseph BroccoleCLO & Secretary2× since Nov 11, 2025: 6,398 shares, avg. $39.07$249,990Sep 9, 2026
SaleDale BurksChief Commercial Officer & EVP3× since Nov 10, 2025: 20,531 shares, avg. $38.76$795,827Aug 19, 2026
SaleRay NicholasCIO & VP IT4× since Nov 10, 2025: 17,450 shares, avg. $38.63$674,114Jun 8, 2026
SaleEric SillsCEO & President, Director1,531 shares at $38.26$58,576Nov 11, 2025
SaleNathan R. IlesChief Financial Officer1,356 shares at $38.30$51,935Nov 11, 2025
Plus 8 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.3% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+9.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.2% vs −0.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 10%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+40.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.4% a year for the price and +1.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Standard Motor Products Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 656 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−12.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets2.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)3.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)9.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.83× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Standard Motor Products Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMP
Frequently asked questions
Is Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $38.86 versus a price of $44.46, about 13% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMP?
Our model-based fair value for Standard Motor Products Inc is $38.86 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $44.46.
What is the quality score of SMP?
Standard Motor Products Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $38.86 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $26.64, optimistic scenario $50.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Standard Motor Products Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $38.86, about 13% lower versus a price of $44.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $26.64, optimistic scenario $50.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Standard Motor Products Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Standard Motor Products Inc pay a dividend?
Standard Motor Products Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.74% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Standard Motor Products Inc pays a dividend of $0.33 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 14, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2010. The payout ratio is 8.2% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.54 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Standard Motor Products Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +40.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.7 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMP use?
Our models discount Standard Motor Products Inc at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.84, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Standard Motor Products Inc that is +40.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Standard Motor Products Inc grew +9.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +40.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Standard Motor Products Inc (+40.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.85 %: that much free cash flow Standard Motor Products Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Standard Motor Products Inc it is $38.86 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $44.46. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Standard Motor Products Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, SMP trades above its calculated fair value: price $44.46, fair value $38.86, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($44.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($38.86). For Standard Motor Products Inc the two are $5.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Standard Motor Products Inc worth?
The market values Standard Motor Products Inc at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $44.46; our models calculate a fair value of $38.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMP?
Our models span a range for Standard Motor Products Inc: cautious scenario $26.64, base $38.86, optimistic $50.51 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $44.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMP?
Standard Motor Products Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $38.86 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 18.1. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.5, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
What is the PEG ratio of SMP?
The PEG ratio of Standard Motor Products Inc is 0.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Standard Motor Products Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 13.0%, debt of 0.83 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMP from its 52-week high?
Standard Motor Products Inc trades at $44.46, about 3% below its 52-week high of $45.98 and 30% above the low of $34.11 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $38.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Standard Motor Products Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Standard Motor Products Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $44.46, calculated fair value $38.86 (−13%), Quality Score 55/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMP calculated?
We run Standard Motor Products Inc through 25 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $38.86 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Standard Motor Products Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $44.46. Our model-based fair value is $38.86, about 13% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Standard Motor Products Inc right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($26.64 to $50.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) come from?
Earnings per share at Standard Motor Products Inc grew +1.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.3 %, EBIT margin +1.2 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Standard Motor Products Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The market capitalisation of Standard Motor Products Inc is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Standard Motor Products Inc is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Earnings per share at Standard Motor Products Inc are $4.03 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The dividend yield of Standard Motor Products Inc is 0.7% (payout 8.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The net margin of Standard Motor Products Inc is 3.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Standard Motor Products Inc is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Standard Motor Products Inc is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The operating margin of Standard Motor Products Inc is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Revenue at Standard Motor Products Inc is growing +1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Earnings per share at Standard Motor Products Inc are growing +18.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) carry?
The net debt of Standard Motor Products Inc is $610M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 32.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026