Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Standard Motor Products Inc $39.00, price $37.31, upside +4.5%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $20.97 – $47.20 · fair‑value band $26.65 – $50.69 · the $37.31 price screens below the $39.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Standard Motor Products, Inc. manufactures and distributes replacement automotive parts in the United States, Europe, Canada, Mexico, Poland, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Vehicle Control, Temperature Control, Nissens Automotive, and Engineered Solutions.
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Standard Motor Products, Inc. manufactures and distributes replacement automotive parts in the United States, Europe, Canada, Mexico, Poland, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Vehicle Control, Temperature Control, Nissens Automotive, and Engineered Solutions. It provides ignition, emissions, and fuel delivery systems, such as air injection and induction components, air management valves, regulators and solenoids, exhaust gas recirculation components, fuel injectors and components, fuel valves, ignition coils, connectors and sockets, modules, pumps, relays and fuses, starting and charging system parts, and vapor and purge components. The company also offers electrical switches and actuators; anti-lock brake and vehicle speed sensors, fluid level sensors, and pressure sensors comprising tire pressure monitoring, temperature sensors, advanced driver assistance systems sensors, battery cables, pigtails, and sockets; electrical wire, terminals, connectors, and tools for servicing a vehicle's electrical system; and spark plug, coil on plug boots, and ignition system accessories. In addition, it offers AC system components; other thermal components; and engine cooling, air conditioning, and engine efficiency products. Further, it provides thermal management products, sensors, switches, power distribution, electrification and electronics, injections and fuel delivery, ignition and emissions, and clamping devices for commercial and light vehicles, construction, agriculture, power sports, marine, hydraulics, and lawn and garden sectors. It serves retailers, warehouse distributors, original equipment manufacturers and their suppliers, system integrators, and original equipment service part manufacturers. The company was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.
Stock analysis
Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) currently trades at $37.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.00, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $40.85 per share, and 10 of the 23 models we run sit above the $37.31 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $18.44, and 13 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $26.65 (bear) to $50.69 (bull), the price of $37.31 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Standard Motor Products Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $41.3M in FY2025, compounding −17.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $839M · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) $3.72 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 2.3% · Return on equity 12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 5%, SMP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $26.65Fair Value $39.00Bull $50.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.78 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.3% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+11.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs −1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+37.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +34.6% a year for the price and +1.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Standard Motor Products Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 663 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside+4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.83× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Standard Motor Products Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMP
Frequently asked questions
Is Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $39.00 versus a price of $37.31, about +5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SMP?
Our model-based fair value for Standard Motor Products Inc is $39.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $37.31.
What is the quality score of SMP?
Standard Motor Products Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $39.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $26.65, optimistic scenario $50.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Standard Motor Products Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $39.00, about +5% upside versus a price of $37.31 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $26.65, optimistic scenario $50.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Standard Motor Products Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Standard Motor Products Inc pay a dividend?
Standard Motor Products Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Standard Motor Products Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +37.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMP use?
Our models discount Standard Motor Products Inc at 10.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Standard Motor Products Inc that is +37.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Standard Motor Products Inc grew +9.7 % a year. The price currently implies +37.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Standard Motor Products Inc (+37.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.23 %: that much free cash flow Standard Motor Products Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Standard Motor Products Inc it is $39.00 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $37.31. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Standard Motor Products Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SMP trades below its calculated fair value: price $37.31, fair value $39.00, a gap of about +5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($37.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($39.00). For Standard Motor Products Inc the two are $1.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Standard Motor Products Inc worth?
The market values Standard Motor Products Inc at about $839M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $37.31; our models calculate a fair value of $39.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMP?
Our models span a range for Standard Motor Products Inc: cautious scenario $26.65, base $39.00, optimistic $50.69 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $37.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMP?
Standard Motor Products Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $39.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 1.2, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 5.7.
What is the PEG ratio of SMP?
The PEG ratio of Standard Motor Products Inc is 0.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Standard Motor Products Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 12.4%, debt of 0.83 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMP from its 52-week high?
Standard Motor Products Inc trades at $37.31, about 16% below its 52-week high of $44.42 and 8% above the low of $34.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $39.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Standard Motor Products Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Standard Motor Products Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $37.31, calculated fair value $39.00 (+5%), Quality Score 55/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMP calculated?
We run Standard Motor Products Inc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $39.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Standard Motor Products Inc currently trades 5 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $37.31. Our model-based fair value is $39.00, about +5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Standard Motor Products Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($26.65 to $50.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) come from?
Earnings per share at Standard Motor Products Inc grew +1.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.3 %, EBIT margin +1.2 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Standard Motor Products Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The market capitalisation of Standard Motor Products Inc is $839M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Standard Motor Products Inc is 0.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Earnings per share at Standard Motor Products Inc are $3.72 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The dividend yield of Standard Motor Products Inc is 3.4% (payout 34.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The net margin of Standard Motor Products Inc is 2.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Standard Motor Products Inc is 12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Standard Motor Products Inc is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
The operating margin of Standard Motor Products Inc is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Revenue at Standard Motor Products Inc is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP)?
Earnings per share at Standard Motor Products Inc are growing +35.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Standard Motor Products Inc (SMP) carry?
The net debt of Standard Motor Products Inc is $610M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 32.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026