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Data-driven stock valuation

Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR (SMTOY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $69.5B · ISIN US8656172033

At a glance

SE Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR logo Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR SMTOY · US
Price$6.89
Fair Value$3.90
Upside−43.4%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 77% above our fair value of $3.90.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR is $3.90 per share against a price of $6.89, so the fair value sits 43% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.83% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 17 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.27 to $6.10

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $3.76 to $3.90 (+3.7%) since Sep 5, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.27 to $6.10). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$89.13 $6.21 Fair Value $3.90 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.21 – $89.13 · fair‑value band $2.27 – $6.10 · the $6.89 price screens above the $3.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR (SMTOY) currently trades at $6.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.90, implying the stock looks roughly 76.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $4.73 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $6.89 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.15, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR generated revenue of ¥5.1T at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue grew 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at ¥385B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $2.27 (bear) to $6.10 (bull), the price of $6.89 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −43%, SMTOY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.46 $2.30 $3.59 79
Growth DCF $1.48 $2.23 $3.30 78
Owner Earnings $2.61 $4.10 $6.37 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.46 $2.30 $3.59 79
Owner Earnings $2.61 $4.10 $6.37 75
5Y Revenue Exit $2.03 $3.45 $5.27 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.63 $4.57 $6.86 74
5Y P/E Exit $2.80 $4.89 $7.10 70
10Y Revenue Exit $1.73 $2.98 $4.68 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.19 $3.76 $5.89 67
10Y P/E Exit $2.30 $3.98 $6.07 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.66 $5.15 $6.85 65
Lynch FV $1.12 $1.60 $2.08 61
PEG = 1.0 $1.12 $1.60 $2.08 57
EPV $1.91 $2.24 $2.53 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.02 $5.36 $6.70 63
P/S Multiple $3.03 $4.05 $5.06 58
P/B Multiple $3.11 $4.14 $5.18 55
EV/EBIT $3.66 $4.90 $6.14 66
EV/EBITDA $3.67 $4.91 $6.15 67
EV/Revenue $2.45 $3.52 $4.60 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8573 $1.15 $1.71 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.48 $2.23 $3.30 78
Rev-Margin DCF $2.03 $3.43 $5.03 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.68 $2.15 $5.34 63
ROIC Compounder $1.96 $2.50 $3.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.31 $4.73 $6.15 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($4.73) versus Asset-Based ($1.15). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 30.4 as of Jun 23, 2026
P/S ratio 2.20 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.93 price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.4
Dividend yield 0.8% payout 2.0%
Net margin 7.2% FY2026
Return on equity 15.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 10.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥5.1T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.9% 3y avg +10.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +140%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥215B FY2026
Net debt ¥385B FY2026 · ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. manufactures and sells various materials in Japan and internationally. The company operates in Environment and Energy, Infocommunications, Automotive, Electronics, and Industrial Materials segments.

Full company description

Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. manufactures and sells various materials in Japan and internationally. The company operates in Environment and Energy, Infocommunications, Automotive, Electronics, and Industrial Materials segments. It offers vanadium redox flow battery, high voltage cable, sEMSA, industrial electric wires and cables, traveling cable, railway and transport machinery products, aluminum materials, heat shrink tubing and heat-resistant tubing/tapes, thermal control devices, and water treatment membrane; and fiber optic, fusion splicer and accessories, data center solutions, remote monitoring of FTTx distribution line, NanoPlug, CATV systems, set top box, optical and wireless devices, AirMT, non-contact multi-fiber interconnect, and low profile fiber-array. The company also provides electric wires and cables for automobiles, components for wiring harnesses, electronics, HVs and EVs, pedestrian radar, steel cords for tire reinforcement, steel wires for springs, abrasion-resistant parts, magnet wires, sintered ZnS lenses, wiring materials/electronics, sintered components, copper-diamond/molybdenum/ tungsten, chemical vapor deposition-diamond, sumicrystal, magnesium-silicon carbide, diamond/CBN cutting tool, dies wire drawing tool, and dresser, sintered aluminum-silicon carbide, and aluminum nitride. In addition, it offers electronic wires, flexible printed circuit, nickel alloy/cladded/plated wire, metal foam/electroplated wire, POREFLON PTFE membrane, the cross linked fluorine resin FEX, spiral shielded wires, coaxial cables, flat components, thunderbolt and USB4 cables, plated and alloy wires, and RGB laser modules; and PC steel wires, drills/endmills, CBN/PCD, milling and turning tools, and laser optics. The company was formerly known as Sumitomo Electric Wire & Cable Works and changed its name to Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. in January 1939. Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥5.4T in FY2026 versus ¥3.4T in FY2022, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥392B in FY2026, compounding +42.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$5.4T
Latest YoY
+15.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +40.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+40.0%
Dividend yield0.8%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 40.0% vs 10Y 13.9%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3.9% (2021) → 8.2% (2026) · rising
Worst earnings drop80% (2009) · in USD
⚠ Final year 2026 sits 162% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue +12.6%/yr
FY22 ¥3.4T
FY23 ¥4.0T
FY24 ¥4.4T
FY25 ¥4.7T
FY26 ¥5.4T
Net income +42.0%/yr
FY22 ¥96.3B
FY23 ¥113B
FY24 ¥150B
FY25 ¥194B
FY26 ¥392B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +9.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.2 %

of which total revenue +6.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.1 %

EBIT margin +3.5 %
Tax rate +0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SMTOY screens 77% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMTOY

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 640 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −45% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.4× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.36× · Pricier than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-10.7 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+13.2 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+2.6 %
FCF yield on price26.08 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.0 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 16
FUTURE75 · sector 21
PAST60 · sector 28
HEALTH94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND17 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $87.89 $47.50 −46%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,983 $2,287 −23%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 432,000 KRW 643,909 KRW +49%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥57.67 ¥84.47 +46%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.30 ₹80.63 −51%
Magna International Inc MGA $65.57 $68.17 +4%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $138.08 $58.07 −58%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,700 ₹11,534 −76%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥45.82 ¥28.28 −38%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,063 ₹393.20 −81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR (SMTOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.90 versus a price of $6.89, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMTOY?
Our model-based fair value for Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR is $3.90 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.89.
What is the quality score of SMTOY?
Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR (SMTOY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.90 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.27, optimistic scenario $6.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.90, about −43% upside versus a price of $6.89 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.27, optimistic scenario $6.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR (SMTOY)?
Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥5.1T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMTOY?
The net profit margin of Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR (SMTOY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -10.7 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.0 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.2 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMTOY use?
Our models discount Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd ADR at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.89, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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