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Sanrio Company Ltd (SNROF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.8B

SC Sanrio Company Ltd logo Sanrio Company Ltd SNROF · US
Price$7.39
Fair Value$3.78
Upside-48.9%
Quality81/100
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Strengths

Healthy Growth
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 91/100

Risks

!Trades 49% ABOVE our fair value of $3.78
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.50% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 91/100
Evidence: High Range $2.65 – $5.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $3.76 to $3.78 (+0.5%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 81/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($2.65 to $5.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$51.97 $3.22 Fair Value $3.78 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.22 – $51.97 · fair‑value band $2.65 – $5.34 · the $7.39 price screens above the $3.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Sanrio Company Ltd (SNROF) currently trades at $7.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.78, implying the stock looks roughly 48.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $183B. Revenue grew 32.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 44.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $73.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.65 (bear case) to $5.34 (bull case); at $7.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -49%, SNROF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.68 $3.56 $4.73 80
Residual Income $1.76 $2.76 $35.21 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1.69 $2.13 $2.63 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.64 $3.60 $4.96 38
Owner Earnings $2.82 $3.88 $5.34 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.69 $2.09 $2.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.80 $4.10 $5.56 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.42 $5.23 $7.06 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.01 $2.45 $2.95 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.71 $3.78 $5.12 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.10 $4.53 $6.20 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.60 $4.14 $5.39 54
PEG = 1.0 $0.7826 $1.12 $1.45 46
EPV $2.44 $2.75 $3.02 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.4022 $0.7687 $1.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.4022 $0.6066 $0.8174 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.88 $5.17 $6.46 63
P/S Multiple $0.7340 $0.9788 $1.22 58
P/B Multiple $1.81 $2.41 $3.01 55
EV/EBIT $4.42 $5.73 $7.04 53
EV/EBITDA $3.22 $4.14 $5.05 54
EV/Revenue $1.17 $1.46 $1.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3012 $0.4036 $0.6024 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.68 $3.56 $4.73 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.69 $2.13 $2.63 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.76 $2.76 $35.21 76
ROIC Compounder $2.47 $2.80 $3.11 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.01 $4.30 $5.59 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($4.30) versus Asset-Based ($0.4036). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $183B
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.3%
Return on equity 44.0%
Free cash flow $37.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 29.6
Operating margin 41.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.2500
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.6%
Net cash $73.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 81/100

Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 90
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sanrio Company, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, plans and sells social communication gifts, greeting cards, and books in Japan, Europe, North America, South America, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company also operates restaurants; and produces, promotes, and distributes movies.

Full company description

Sanrio Company, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, plans and sells social communication gifts, greeting cards, and books in Japan, Europe, North America, South America, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company also operates restaurants; and produces, promotes, and distributes movies. In addition, it engages in the planning, production, and sale of recorded music and video products; planning and presentation of musicals and live performances; copyright licensing; planning and operation of theme parks; planning, development, and sale of educational services and materials; planning, sale, and distribution of digital content; planning and sale of entertainment cards and publications; production and sale of video software; and advertising, marketing, and sports activities. Further, the company engages in the sale and rental of robots, rental of cars, and non-life insurance agency services. Sanrio Company, Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Shinagawa, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sanrio Company Ltd reported revenue of $145B in FY2025 versus $41.1B in FY2021, a compound +37.1%/yr. Reported net income was $41.7B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$145B
Latest YoY
+44.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+40.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.3%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Revenue +37.1%/yr
FY21 $41.1B
FY22 $52.8B
FY23 $72.6B
FY24 $100.0B
FY25 $145B
Net income
FY21 −$4.0B
FY22 $3.4B
FY23 $8.2B
FY24 $17.6B
FY25 $41.7B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −4.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −7.3 pp

of which total revenue +4.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −11.3 pp

EBIT margin +2.7 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SNROF screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sanrio Company Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNROF

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Return on assets 22% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.68× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 32
FUTURE100 · sector 24
PAST100 · sector 26
HEALTH84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND30 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$89.93 C$104.32 +16%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $828.38 $398.90 -52%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $245.15 $162.63 -34%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $531.89 $475.40 -11%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $202.66 $181.10 -11%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.00 $108.04 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥54.97 ¥40.40 -27%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $36.43 $35.52 -2%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 109.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -26%
Vibra Energia S.A VBBR3 R$33.04 R$36.96 +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sanrio Company Ltd (SNROF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.78 versus a price of $7.39, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNROF?
Our model-based fair value for Sanrio Company Ltd is $3.78 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.39.
What is the quality score of SNROF?
Sanrio Company Ltd has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sanrio Company Ltd (SNROF)?
Sanrio Company Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $183B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SNROF?
The net profit margin of Sanrio Company Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sanrio Company Ltd pay a dividend?
Sanrio Company Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.50% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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