Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Sensen Networks Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.03, upside +3.0%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0190 – A$0.1600 · fair‑value band A$0.0276 – A$0.0342 · the A$0.0300 price screens below the A$0.0309 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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SenSen Networks Limited develops and sells SenDISA platform-based products and services in North America, Australia, New Zealand, and Asia.
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SenSen Networks Limited develops and sells SenDISA platform-based products and services in North America, Australia, New Zealand, and Asia. It offers its solutions for government and law enforcement, such as heavy vehicle detection and classification, intelligence portal, and traffic and highway enforcement; live curb awareness; city asset management; intelligent video analytics, including threat detection, behaviour analysis, and alerting and response; and fuel theft prevention platform for retail theft prevention, fuel recovery service. SenSen Networks Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in South Melbourne, Australia.
Stock analysis
Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS) currently trades at A$0.0300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0309, implying the stock looks roughly 2.9% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$0.0500 per share, and 9 of the 21 models we run sit above the A$0.0300 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 12 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0276 (bear) to A$0.0342 (bull), the price of A$0.0300 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sensen Networks Ltd reported revenue of A$15.4M in FY2025 versus A$5.5M in FY2021, a compound +29.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$450K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$23.5M (≈ $16.5M) · P/S ratio 1.31 · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 27.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −42.1% · Operating margin −22.1% · Revenue (TTM) A$16.5M · Revenue growth (YoY) +20.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 3%, SNS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0276Fair Value A$0.0309Bull A$0.0342
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +43.4% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−135.3% (2020) → −2.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 377 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)27% · Top 25%
Return on assets−1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−22% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth20% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0309 versus a price of A$0.0300, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SNS?
Our model-based fair value for Sensen Networks Ltd is A$0.0309 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0300.
What is the quality score of SNS?
Sensen Networks Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0309 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0276, optimistic scenario A$0.0342. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sensen Networks Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0309, about +3% upside versus a price of A$0.0300 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0276, optimistic scenario A$0.0342. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
Sensen Networks Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$16.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sensen Networks Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +5.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +32.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SNS use?
Our models discount Sensen Networks Ltd at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.47, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sensen Networks Ltd that is +5.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sensen Networks Ltd grew +32.5 % a year. The price currently implies +5.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sensen Networks Ltd (+5.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.83 %: that much free cash flow Sensen Networks Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sensen Networks Ltd it is A$0.0309 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0300. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sensen Networks Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SNS trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0300, fair value A$0.0309, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SNS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0309). For Sensen Networks Ltd the two are A$0.0009 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sensen Networks Ltd worth?
The market values Sensen Networks Ltd at about A$23.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0300; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0309 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SNS?
Our models span a range for Sensen Networks Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0276, base A$0.0309, optimistic A$0.0342 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sensen Networks Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 27.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SNS from its 52-week high?
Sensen Networks Ltd trades at A$0.0300, about 76% below its 52-week high of A$0.1250 and 36% above the low of A$0.0220 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0309 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sensen Networks Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sensen Networks Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0300, calculated fair value A$0.0309 (+3%), Quality Score 64/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SNS calculated?
We run Sensen Networks Ltd through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0309, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sensen Networks Ltd currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was A$0.0300. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0309, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sensen Networks Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Sensen Networks Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
The market capitalisation of Sensen Networks Ltd is A$23.5M (≈ $16.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sensen Networks Ltd is 1.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
The net margin of Sensen Networks Ltd is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sensen Networks Ltd is 27.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sensen Networks Ltd is −42.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
The operating margin of Sensen Networks Ltd is −22.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS)?
Revenue at Sensen Networks Ltd is growing +20.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Sensen Networks Ltd (SNS) hold?
Sensen Networks Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$206K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026