Sobha Limited (SOBHA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Sobha Limited ₹307, price ₹1,213, upside -74.7%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹217.57 – ₹2,115 · fair‑value band ₹296.06 – ₹384.35 · the ₹1,213 price screens above the ₹307.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Sobha Limited engages in the construction, development, sale, management, and operation of residential and commercial real estate under the Sobha brand primarily in India. It operates through two segments, Real Estate, and Contractual and Manufacturing.
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Sobha Limited engages in the construction, development, sale, management, and operation of residential and commercial real estate under the Sobha brand primarily in India. It operates through two segments, Real Estate, and Contractual and Manufacturing. The Real Estate segment comprises development, sale, management, and operation of townships and housing projects, as well as leasing of commercial premises. The Contractual and Manufacturing segment is involved in the development of commercial premises and other related activities, as well as manufacturing activities related to interiors, glazing, and metal works and concrete products. Its residential real estate portfolio includes apartments, villas, row houses, townships, and plotted developments. The company also provides contracting business services comprising design, civil and structural works, MEP, interior fit-outs, aluminum and glazing systems, and landscaping; glazing and metal works products, such as aluminum doors and windows, structural glazing systems, stainless steel finishes, and pre-engineered building modules tailored for commercial and institutional use; concrete products, including a range of concrete blocks, kerbs, pavers, drainage channels, and paving elements; and interior products that consist of doors, door frames, modular kitchens, wardrobes, customized furniture, paneling, partitions, and upholstered joinery elements; and precast products, including columns, beams, slabs, staircases, and facade panels. The company was formerly known as Sobha Developers Limited and changed its name to Sobha Limited in August 2014. Sobha Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, India.
Stock analysis
Sobha Limited (SOBHA) currently trades at ₹1,213, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹307.48, 74.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹712.22 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹1,213 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹38.37, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹296.06 (bear) to ₹384.35 (bull), the price of ₹1,213 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Sobha Limited reported revenue of ₹51.9B in FY2026 versus ₹25.6B in FY2022, a compound +19.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.9B in FY2026, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹130B (≈ $1.3B) · P/E ratio 56.1 · P/S ratio 2.09 · EPS (TTM) ₹21.62 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −75%, SOBHA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹296.06Fair Value ₹307.48Bull ₹384.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹7.92 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ −20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−21.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−0.2% vs 0.9%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 95% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+33.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +28.2% a year for the price and +12.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 568 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−74.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.2% · Above median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth50.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.09× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)56.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.75× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.31× · Pricier than median
P/FCF49.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA33.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 72
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)17· sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)10· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sobha Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOBHA
Frequently asked questions
Is Sobha Limited (SOBHA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹307.48 versus a price of ₹1,213, about −75% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOBHA?
Our model-based fair value for Sobha Limited is ₹307.48 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,213.
What is the quality score of SOBHA?
Sobha Limited has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹307.48 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹296.06, optimistic scenario ₹384.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sobha Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹307.48, about −75% upside versus a price of ₹1,213 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹296.06, optimistic scenario ₹384.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
Sobha Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹56.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Sobha Limited pay a dividend?
Sobha Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.49% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sobha Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +33.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.8 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SOBHA use?
Our models discount Sobha Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sobha Limited that is +33.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sobha Limited (SOBHA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sobha Limited grew +19.8 % a year. The price currently implies +33.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sobha Limited (SOBHA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sobha Limited (+33.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.01 %: that much free cash flow Sobha Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sobha Limited it is ₹307.48 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹1,213. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sobha Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, SOBHA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,213, fair value ₹307.48, a gap of about −75% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOBHA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,213); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹307.48). For Sobha Limited the two are ₹905.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sobha Limited worth?
The market values Sobha Limited at about ₹130B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,213; our models calculate a fair value of ₹307.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOBHA?
Our models span a range for Sobha Limited: cautious scenario ₹296.06, base ₹307.48, optimistic ₹384.35 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹1,213). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SOBHA?
Sobha Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.1 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹307.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 33.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sobha Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOBHA from its 52-week high?
Sobha Limited trades at ₹1,213, about 29% below its 52-week high of ₹1,701 and 5% above the low of ₹1,157 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹307.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sobha Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sobha Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹1,213, calculated fair value ₹307.48 (−75%), Quality Score 36/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOBHA calculated?
We run Sobha Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹307.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sobha Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1,213. Our model-based fair value is ₹307.48, about −75% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sobha Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹384.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Sobha Limited (SOBHA) come from?
Earnings per share at Sobha Limited grew −5.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.8 %, EBIT margin −14.3 %, tax rate +1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sobha Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
The market capitalisation of Sobha Limited is ₹130B (≈ $1.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sobha Limited is 2.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
Earnings per share at Sobha Limited are ₹21.62 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
The dividend yield of Sobha Limited is 0.5% (payout 27.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
The net margin of Sobha Limited is 3.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sobha Limited is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sobha Limited is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
The operating margin of Sobha Limited is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
Revenue at Sobha Limited is growing +50.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sobha Limited (SOBHA)?
Earnings per share at Sobha Limited are growing +274% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sobha Limited (SOBHA) hold?
Sobha Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹4.5B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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