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Sogn Sparebank (SOGN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · NO · Market cap 202M NOK

SS Sogn Sparebank SOGN · OL
Pricekr 319.00
Fair Valuekr 638.00
Upside+100.0%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 43.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
6.30% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range kr 478.50 – kr 797.50 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 478.50). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 365.00 kr 77.95 Fair Value kr 638.00 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 77.95 – kr 365.00 · fair‑value band kr 478.50 – kr 797.50 · the kr 319.00 price screens below the kr 638.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Sogn Sparebank (SOGN) currently trades at kr 319.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 638.00, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sogn Sparebank generated revenue of 254M NOK at a net margin of 43.3%. Revenue declined 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at 6.8B NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 478.50 (bear case) to kr 797.50 (bull case); at kr 319.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 100%, SOGN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income kr 1,577 kr 1,640 kr 1,684 76
P/E Multiple kr 1,743 kr 2,324 kr 2,905 63
P/B Multiple kr 2,176 kr 2,901 kr 3,627 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 1,743 kr 2,324 kr 2,905 63
P/B Multiple kr 2,176 kr 2,901 kr 3,627 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 1,036 kr 1,389 kr 2,072 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 1,577 kr 1,640 kr 1,684 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 2,324) versus Asset-Based (kr 1,389). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 254M NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.3%
Net margin 43.9%
Return on equity 9.2%
Free cash flow 174M NOK FY2025
P/E ratio 14.7
More key figures
Operating margin 51.5%
EPS (TTM) kr 21.76
Dividend yield 6.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.5%
Net debt 6.8B NOK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sogn Sparebank provides various banking products and services in Norway. The bank primarily serves small and medium-sized enterprises in Sogn and offers retail banking services nationwide, focusing on growth areas and larger cities, with Sogn as its priority market.

Full company description

Sogn Sparebank provides various banking products and services in Norway. The bank primarily serves small and medium-sized enterprises in Sogn and offers retail banking services nationwide, focusing on growth areas and larger cities, with Sogn as its priority market. Its offerings include deposit accounts, lending products, insurance solutions, and securities trading, delivered through both digital platforms and physical branches. The company offers savings and pensions, housing loans, housing loans for young people, fixed-rate loans, proof of financing, moving mortgages, credit lines, refinance the housing loan, cabin loans, refinancing, car loans, loans for motorcycles, campers and atvs, consumer loans, car insurance, travel insurance, home insurance, home contents insurance, child insurance, e-scooter insurance, dog insurance. The company was incorporated in 1846 and is headquartered in Årdalstangen, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sogn Sparebank reported revenue of kr 257M in FY2025 versus kr 192M in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was kr 113M in FY2025, compounding +21.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
257M NOK
Latest YoY
−45.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY21 kr 192M
FY22 kr 250M
FY23 kr 247M
FY24 kr 471M
FY25 kr 257M
Net income +21.3%/yr
FY21 kr 52.3M
FY22 kr 67.3M
FY23 kr 104M
FY24 kr 104M
FY25 kr 113M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +19.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.3 pp

of which total revenue +8.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +10.8 pp
Tax rate −0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sogn Sparebank Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOGN

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.3% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.7× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 44
PAST 37 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sogn Sparebank (SOGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 638.00 versus a price of kr 319.00, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOGN?
Our model-based fair value for Sogn Sparebank is kr 638.00 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 319.00.
What is the quality score of SOGN?
Sogn Sparebank has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sogn Sparebank (SOGN)?
Sogn Sparebank reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 254M NOK (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SOGN?
The net profit margin of Sogn Sparebank is about 43.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 43.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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