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Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Stolt-Nielsen Limited $85.52, price $37.00, upside +131.1%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN BMG850801025

SN Stolt-Nielsen Limited logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Stolt-Nielsen Limited

SOIEF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $85.52 · Strongly undervalued (+131.1%)
!Quality 50/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓5.4% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 46/100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$41.31 $3.91 Fair Value $85.52 Jun 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.91 – $41.31 · fair‑value band $51.62 – $121.24 · the $37.00 price screens below the $85.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Stolt-Nielsen Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, storage, and distribution solutions for bulk liquid chemicals, edible oils, acids, and other specialty liquids worldwide. It operates through five segments: Tankers, Terminals, Tank Containers, Stolt Sea Farm, and Stolt-Nielsen Gas.

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Stolt-Nielsen Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation, storage, and distribution solutions for bulk liquid chemicals, edible oils, acids, and other specialty liquids worldwide. It operates through five segments: Tankers, Terminals, Tank Containers, Stolt Sea Farm, and Stolt-Nielsen Gas. The company also produces, processes, and markets seafood, including turbot and sole; and stores and handles chemicals, clean petroleum products, liquefied petroleum gases, vegetable oils, and biofuels, as well as alternative fuels and feedstocks. In addition, it holds investment in logistics, distribution, liquid natural gas, and land-based aquaculture businesses. Further, it offers operations of deep-sea and regional chemical tankers to manufacturers and consumers of chemicals, edible oils, acids, and other bulk liquids; provides storage services for bulk liquids and gases; and logistics services. The company was founded in 1959 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Stolt-Nielsen Limited operates as a subsidiary of Fiducia Ltd.

Stock analysis

Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF) currently trades at $37.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $85.52, implying the stock looks roughly 56.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $109.77 per share, and 21 of the 24 models we run sit above the $37.00 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $30.39, and 3 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $51.62 (bear) to $121.24 (bull), the price of $37.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Stolt-Nielsen Limited reported revenue of $2.9B in FY2025 versus $2.2B in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was $362M in FY2025, compounding +46.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap $2.2B · P/E ratio 7.0 · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) $4.63 · Dividend yield 5.4% · Net margin 12.6% · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 57% fair-value upside, at 131%, SOIEF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $51.62 Fair Value $85.52 Bull $121.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.21 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $49.01 $77.79 $123.12 79
Growth DCF $51.63 $79.08 $119.76 78
Owner Earnings $71.02 $107.62 $165.27 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $49.01 $77.79 $123.12 79
Owner Earnings $71.02 $107.62 $165.27 76
5Y Revenue Exit $37.83 $67.89 $107.78 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $72.27 $127.30 $193.78 74
5Y P/E Exit $56.47 $100.05 $147.09 70
10Y Revenue Exit $39.76 $66.50 $97.49 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $62.35 $105.14 $155.22 67
10Y P/E Exit $52.81 $87.41 $123.88 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $46.37 $88.02 $109.60 66
EPV $28.53 $38.08 $46.32 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $22.93 $30.89 $38.74 69
DDM Multi-Stage $22.93 $31.28 $40.78 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $107.41 $143.21 $179.02 63
P/S Multiple $80.89 $107.86 $134.82 58
P/B Multiple $86.95 $115.94 $144.92 55
EV/EBIT $62.75 $94.31 $125.88 65
EV/EBITDA $105.11 $150.80 $196.49 67
EV/Revenue $35.63 $64.60 $93.57 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.68 $30.39 $45.36 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $51.63 $79.08 $119.76 78
Rev-Margin DCF $37.83 $69.29 $105.48 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $44.77 $54.20 $71.50 76
ROIC Compounder $28.53 $38.08 $46.69 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $76.84 $109.77 $142.70 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.7% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+61.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+56.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.56.2% vs 12.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 14%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.6% a year for the price and −1.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+0.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+0.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.2%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 226 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −10.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.3% · Above median
Return on assets 3.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.76× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.89× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.77× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 7.0× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 115.50 TWD 191.50 TWD +66%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.40 ¥5.58 +64%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stolt-Nielsen Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOIEF

Frequently asked questions

Is Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $85.52 versus a price of $37.00, about +131% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOIEF?
Our model-based fair value for Stolt-Nielsen Limited is $85.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $37.00.
What is the quality score of SOIEF?
Stolt-Nielsen Limited has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $85.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $51.62, optimistic scenario $121.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stolt-Nielsen Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $85.52, about +131% upside versus a price of $37.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $51.62, optimistic scenario $121.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
Stolt-Nielsen Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Stolt-Nielsen Limited pay a dividend?
Stolt-Nielsen Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Stolt-Nielsen Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +1.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SOIEF use?
Our models discount Stolt-Nielsen Limited at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Stolt-Nielsen Limited that is +1.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Stolt-Nielsen Limited grew +7.9 % a year. The price currently implies +1.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Stolt-Nielsen Limited (+1.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.69 %: that much free cash flow Stolt-Nielsen Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stolt-Nielsen Limited it is $85.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $37.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Stolt-Nielsen Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SOIEF trades below its calculated fair value: price $37.00, fair value $85.52, a gap of about +131% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOIEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($37.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($85.52). For Stolt-Nielsen Limited the two are $48.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stolt-Nielsen Limited worth?
The market values Stolt-Nielsen Limited at about $2.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $37.00; our models calculate a fair value of $85.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOIEF?
Our models span a range for Stolt-Nielsen Limited: cautious scenario $51.62, base $85.52, optimistic $121.24 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $37.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SOIEF?
Stolt-Nielsen Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $85.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 6.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stolt-Nielsen Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.3%, debt of 0.76 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOIEF from its 52-week high?
Stolt-Nielsen Limited trades at $37.00, about 8% below its 52-week high of $40.00 and 27% above the low of $29.20 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $85.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stolt-Nielsen Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stolt-Nielsen Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $37.00, calculated fair value $85.52 (+131%), Quality Score 50/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOIEF calculated?
We run Stolt-Nielsen Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $85.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Stolt-Nielsen Limited currently trades 57 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $37.00. Our model-based fair value is $85.52, about +131% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stolt-Nielsen Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($51.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($51.62 to $121.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF) come from?
Earnings per share at Stolt-Nielsen Limited grew +14.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin +4.0 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +5.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Stolt-Nielsen Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
The market capitalisation of Stolt-Nielsen Limited is $2.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Stolt-Nielsen Limited is 0.88 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
Earnings per share at Stolt-Nielsen Limited are $4.63 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
The dividend yield of Stolt-Nielsen Limited is 5.4% (payout 43.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
The net margin of Stolt-Nielsen Limited is 12.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stolt-Nielsen Limited is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stolt-Nielsen Limited is 8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
The operating margin of Stolt-Nielsen Limited is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
Revenue at Stolt-Nielsen Limited is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF)?
Earnings per share at Stolt-Nielsen Limited are growing −68.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Stolt-Nielsen Limited (SOIEF) carry?
The net debt of Stolt-Nielsen Limited is $2.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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