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SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. (SPELS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · IN · Market cap ₹7.3B

SS SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. SPELS · BSE
Price₹150.35
Fair Value₹218.26
Upside+45.2%
Quality59/100
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Strengths

Trades 45% below our fair value of ₹218.26

Risks

!Weak Growth
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: Low Range ₹43.65 – ₹414.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from ₹217.42 to ₹218.26 (+0.4%) since Aug 13, 2026.

A solid business, screening 45% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (₹43.65 to ₹414.51). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹260.90 ₹10.92 Fair Value ₹218.26 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹10.92 – ₹260.90 · fair‑value band ₹43.65 – ₹414.51 · the ₹150.35 price screens below the ₹218.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. (SPELS) currently trades at ₹150.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹218.26, implying the stock looks roughly 45.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at ₹62.8M. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. Net debt stands at ₹209M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹43.65 (bear case) to ₹414.51 (bull case); at ₹150.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 45%, SPELS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹1,201 ₹1,646 ₹2,383 80
NCAV (Graham) ₹16.15 ₹21.53 ₹32.30 50
EV/Revenue ₹118.43 ₹218.26 ₹318.09 43
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹1,148 ₹1,610 ₹2,438 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹517.27 ₹645.97 ₹829.49 39
10Y Revenue Exit ₹758.53 ₹875.49 ₹986.09 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue ₹118.43 ₹218.26 ₹318.09 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹16.15 ₹21.53 ₹32.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹1,201 ₹1,646 ₹2,383 80

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹1,646) versus Asset-Based (₹21.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹62.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.9%
Return on equity -299%
Free cash flow ₹128M FY2026
Operating margin 117%
EPS (TTM) ₹-5.17
More key figures
Net debt ₹209M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SPEL Semiconductor Limited provides contract manufacturing services for semiconductor companies in India. The company offers turnkey solutions, including wafer sort, assembly, test, and drop-shipment services; and value-added services, such as package design, failure analysis and full reliability test, test program development, and product characterization.

Full company description

SPEL Semiconductor Limited provides contract manufacturing services for semiconductor companies in India. The company offers turnkey solutions, including wafer sort, assembly, test, and drop-shipment services; and value-added services, such as package design, failure analysis and full reliability test, test program development, and product characterization. It also provides packaging solutions for semiconductors used in various applications, such as communications, consumer electronics, computing, industrials, and automotive. The company offers its products to integrated device manufacturers and fabless companies in the United States, Asia, and Europe. SPEL Semiconductor Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Chennai, India. SPEL Semiconductor Limited operates as a subsidiary of Natronix Semiconductor Technology Private Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. reported revenue of ₹62.8M in FY2026 versus ₹94.9M in FY2022, a compound −9.8%/yr. Reported net income was −₹238M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹62.8M
Latest YoY
−20.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.5%
Revenue −9.8%/yr
FY22 ₹94.9M
FY23 ₹112M
FY24 ₹120M
FY25 ₹78.6M
FY26 ₹62.8M
Net income
FY22 −₹128M
FY23 −₹30.9M
FY24 −₹168M
FY25 −₹210M
FY26 −₹238M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPELS

Peer Group

Semiconductors · 326 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +45% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 117% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 3.56× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.48× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.20× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE94 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 59
PAST0 · sector 22
HEALTH0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 19

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $225.01 $98.98 -56%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $429.15 $291.42 -32%
Broadcom Inc 1AVGO €366.85 €121.25 -67%
Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC C$43.68 C$6.23 -86%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,504,000 KRW 1,481,291 KRW -2%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD €428.20 €56.33 -87%
Intel Corporation INTC C$54.50 C$16.95 -69%
MediaTek Inc 2454 3,845 TWD 1,559 TWD -59%
SK Square Co 402340 1,024,000 KRW 1,204,862 KRW +18%
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation 0981 HK$73.00 HK$13.18 -82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. (SPELS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹218.26 versus a price of ₹150.35, about +45% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SPELS?
Our model-based fair value for SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. is ₹218.26 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹150.35.
What is the quality score of SPELS?
SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. (SPELS)?
SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹62.8M (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPELS?
The net profit margin of SPEL SEMICONDUCTOR LTD. is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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